Serveur d'exploration MERS

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Mapping Potential Amplification and Transmission Hotspots for MERS-CoV, Kenya.

Identifieur interne : 000852 ( PubMed/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000851; suivant : 000853

Mapping Potential Amplification and Transmission Hotspots for MERS-CoV, Kenya.

Auteurs : Stephen Gikonyo [Kenya] ; Tabitha Kimani [Kenya] ; Joseph Matere [Kenya] ; Joshua Kimutai [Kenya] ; Stella G. Kiambi [Kenya] ; Austine O. Bitek [Kenya] ; K J Z. Juma Ngeiywa [Kenya] ; Yilma J. Makonnen [Kenya] ; Astrid Tripodi [Italie] ; Subhash Morzaria [Italie] ; Juan Lubroth [Italie] ; Gabriel Rugalema [Kenya] ; Folorunso Oludayo Fasina [Kenya]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:29549589

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English descriptors

Abstract

Dromedary camels have been implicated consistently as the source of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) human infections and attention to prevent and control it has focused on camels. To understanding the epidemiological role of camels in the transmission of MERS-CoV, we utilized an iterative empirical process in Geographic Information System (GIS) to identify and qualify potential hotspots for maintenance and circulation of MERS-CoV, and produced risk-based surveillance sites in Kenya. Data on camel population and distribution were used to develop camel density map, while camel farming system was defined using multi-factorial criteria including the agro-ecological zones (AEZs), production and marketing practices. Primary and secondary MERS-CoV seroprevalence data from specific sites were analyzed, and location-based prevalence matching with camel densities was conducted. High-risk convergence points (migration zones, trade routes, camel markets, slaughter slabs) were profiled and frequent cross-border camel movement mapped. Results showed that high camel-dense areas and interaction (markets and migration zones) were potential hotspot for transmission and spread. Cross-border contacts occurred with in-migrated herds at hotspot locations. AEZ differential did not influence risk distribution and plausible risk factors for spatial MERS-CoV hotspots were camel densities, previous cases of MERS-CoV, high seroprevalence and points of camel convergences. Although Kenyan camels are predisposed to MERS-CoV, no shedding is documented to date. These potential hotspots, determined using anthropogenic, system and trade characterizations should guide selection of sampling/surveillance sites, high-risk locations, critical areas for interventions and policy development in Kenya, as well as instigate further virological examination of camels.

DOI: 10.1007/s10393-018-1317-6
PubMed: 29549589


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pubmed:29549589

Le document en format XML

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<term>Cartographie géographique</term>
<term>Coronavirus du syndrome respiratoire du Moyen-Orient</term>
<term>Prévalence</term>
<term>Surveillance de la santé publique</term>
<term>Systèmes d'information géographique</term>
<term>Études séroépidémiologiques</term>
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<term>Kenya</term>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Dromedary camels have been implicated consistently as the source of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) human infections and attention to prevent and control it has focused on camels. To understanding the epidemiological role of camels in the transmission of MERS-CoV, we utilized an iterative empirical process in Geographic Information System (GIS) to identify and qualify potential hotspots for maintenance and circulation of MERS-CoV, and produced risk-based surveillance sites in Kenya. Data on camel population and distribution were used to develop camel density map, while camel farming system was defined using multi-factorial criteria including the agro-ecological zones (AEZs), production and marketing practices. Primary and secondary MERS-CoV seroprevalence data from specific sites were analyzed, and location-based prevalence matching with camel densities was conducted. High-risk convergence points (migration zones, trade routes, camel markets, slaughter slabs) were profiled and frequent cross-border camel movement mapped. Results showed that high camel-dense areas and interaction (markets and migration zones) were potential hotspot for transmission and spread. Cross-border contacts occurred with in-migrated herds at hotspot locations. AEZ differential did not influence risk distribution and plausible risk factors for spatial MERS-CoV hotspots were camel densities, previous cases of MERS-CoV, high seroprevalence and points of camel convergences. Although Kenyan camels are predisposed to MERS-CoV, no shedding is documented to date. These potential hotspots, determined using anthropogenic, system and trade characterizations should guide selection of sampling/surveillance sites, high-risk locations, critical areas for interventions and policy development in Kenya, as well as instigate further virological examination of camels.</div>
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<DateCompleted>
<Year>2019</Year>
<Month>01</Month>
<Day>28</Day>
</DateCompleted>
<DateRevised>
<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>03</Month>
<Day>24</Day>
</DateRevised>
<Article PubModel="Print-Electronic">
<Journal>
<ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1612-9210</ISSN>
<JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet">
<Volume>15</Volume>
<Issue>2</Issue>
<PubDate>
<Year>2018</Year>
<Month>06</Month>
</PubDate>
</JournalIssue>
<Title>EcoHealth</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Ecohealth</ISOAbbreviation>
</Journal>
<ArticleTitle>Mapping Potential Amplification and Transmission Hotspots for MERS-CoV, Kenya.</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination>
<MedlinePgn>372-387</MedlinePgn>
</Pagination>
<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1007/s10393-018-1317-6</ELocationID>
<Abstract>
<AbstractText>Dromedary camels have been implicated consistently as the source of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) human infections and attention to prevent and control it has focused on camels. To understanding the epidemiological role of camels in the transmission of MERS-CoV, we utilized an iterative empirical process in Geographic Information System (GIS) to identify and qualify potential hotspots for maintenance and circulation of MERS-CoV, and produced risk-based surveillance sites in Kenya. Data on camel population and distribution were used to develop camel density map, while camel farming system was defined using multi-factorial criteria including the agro-ecological zones (AEZs), production and marketing practices. Primary and secondary MERS-CoV seroprevalence data from specific sites were analyzed, and location-based prevalence matching with camel densities was conducted. High-risk convergence points (migration zones, trade routes, camel markets, slaughter slabs) were profiled and frequent cross-border camel movement mapped. Results showed that high camel-dense areas and interaction (markets and migration zones) were potential hotspot for transmission and spread. Cross-border contacts occurred with in-migrated herds at hotspot locations. AEZ differential did not influence risk distribution and plausible risk factors for spatial MERS-CoV hotspots were camel densities, previous cases of MERS-CoV, high seroprevalence and points of camel convergences. Although Kenyan camels are predisposed to MERS-CoV, no shedding is documented to date. These potential hotspots, determined using anthropogenic, system and trade characterizations should guide selection of sampling/surveillance sites, high-risk locations, critical areas for interventions and policy development in Kenya, as well as instigate further virological examination of camels.</AbstractText>
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<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Gikonyo</LastName>
<ForeName>Stephen</ForeName>
<Initials>S</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases - (ECTAD) Kenya, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), UN Office in Nairobi, Gigiri, Kenya.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
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<LastName>Kimani</LastName>
<ForeName>Tabitha</ForeName>
<Initials>T</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases - (ECTAD), Regional Office for East Africa Kenya, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), UN Office in Nairobi, Gigiri, Kenya.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
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<LastName>Matere</LastName>
<ForeName>Joseph</ForeName>
<Initials>J</Initials>
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<Affiliation>Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases - (ECTAD) Kenya, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), UN Office in Nairobi, Gigiri, Kenya.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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<LastName>Kimutai</LastName>
<ForeName>Joshua</ForeName>
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</AffiliationInfo>
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<ForeName>Stella G</ForeName>
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<ForeName>Austine O</ForeName>
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<LastName>Juma Ngeiywa</LastName>
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<Affiliation>Directorate of Veterinary Services, State Department of Livestock, Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, Nairobi, Kenya.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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<LastName>Makonnen</LastName>
<ForeName>Yilma J</ForeName>
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<Affiliation>Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases - (ECTAD), Regional Office for East Africa Kenya, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), UN Office in Nairobi, Gigiri, Kenya.</Affiliation>
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<ForeName>Astrid</ForeName>
<Initials>A</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Animal Health Service, Animal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO), Rome, Italy.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<LastName>Morzaria</LastName>
<ForeName>Subhash</ForeName>
<Initials>S</Initials>
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<Affiliation>Animal Health Service, Animal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO), Rome, Italy.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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<ForeName>Gabriel</ForeName>
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</AffiliationInfo>
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<ForeName>Folorunso Oludayo</ForeName>
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<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Emergency Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases - (ECTAD) Kenya, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), UN Office in Nairobi, Gigiri, Kenya. Folorunso.fasina@fao.org.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Department of Veterinary Tropical Diseases, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa. Folorunso.fasina@fao.org.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
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<Language>eng</Language>
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<Grant>
<GrantID>OSRO/GLO/505/USA</GrantID>
<Agency>United States Agency for International Development</Agency>
<Country>International</Country>
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<Month>03</Month>
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<DescriptorName UI="D000820" MajorTopicYN="N">Animal Diseases</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000635" MajorTopicYN="N">transmission</QualifierName>
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<MeshHeading>
<DescriptorName UI="D000818" MajorTopicYN="N">Animals</DescriptorName>
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<DescriptorName UI="D002162" MajorTopicYN="N">Camelus</DescriptorName>
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<Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">MERS-CoV</Keyword>
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