The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study
Identifieur interne : 001159 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 001158; suivant : 001160The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study
Auteurs : Heesoo Joo [États-Unis] ; Ronald E. Henry [États-Unis] ; Yeon-Kyeng Lee [Corée du Sud] ; Andre D. Berro [États-Unis] ; Brian A. Maskery [États-Unis]Source :
- Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease [ 1477-8939 ] ; 2019.
Abstract
The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers’ decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.
We estimated changes in monthly numbers of visitors to the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 2015 compared to projected values by selected areas. We tested whether areas’ experience of a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases or distance to the ROK had a significant effect on travel to the ROK during the MERS outbreak using t-tests and regression models.
The percentage changes in visitors from areas with a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases decreased more than the percentage changes in visitors from their counterparts in June (52.4% vs. 23.3%) and July (60.0% vs. 31.4%) during the 2015 MERS outbreak. The percentage changes in visitors from the close and intermediate categories decreased more than the far category. The results from regression models and sensitivity analyses demonstrated that areas with ≥100 SARS cases and closer proximity to the ROK had significantly larger percentage decreases in traveler volumes during the outbreak.
During the 2015 MERS outbreak, areas with a previous sizable SARS outbreak and areas near the ROK showed greater decreases in percentage changes in visitors to the ROK.
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DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009
PubMed: 31102656
PubMed Central: 6688921
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study</title><author><name sortKey="Joo, Heesoo" sort="Joo, Heesoo" uniqKey="Joo H" first="Heesoo" last="Joo">Heesoo Joo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Henry, Ronald E" sort="Henry, Ronald E" uniqKey="Henry R" first="Ronald E." last="Henry">Ronald E. Henry</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" sort="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yeon-Kyeng" last="Lee">Yeon-Kyeng Lee</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Berro, Andre D" sort="Berro, Andre D" uniqKey="Berro A" first="Andre D." last="Berro">Andre D. Berro</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maskery, Brian A" sort="Maskery, Brian A" uniqKey="Maskery B" first="Brian A." last="Maskery">Brian A. Maskery</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">31102656</idno><idno type="pmc">6688921</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6688921</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:6688921</idno><idno type="doi">10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009</idno><date when="2019">2019</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">001159</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">001159</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">001159</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">001159</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study</title><author><name sortKey="Joo, Heesoo" sort="Joo, Heesoo" uniqKey="Joo H" first="Heesoo" last="Joo">Heesoo Joo</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Henry, Ronald E" sort="Henry, Ronald E" uniqKey="Henry R" first="Ronald E." last="Henry">Ronald E. Henry</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" sort="Lee, Yeon Kyeng" uniqKey="Lee Y" first="Yeon-Kyeng" last="Lee">Yeon-Kyeng Lee</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Berro, Andre D" sort="Berro, Andre D" uniqKey="Berro A" first="Andre D." last="Berro">Andre D. Berro</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maskery, Brian A" sort="Maskery, Brian A" uniqKey="Maskery B" first="Brian A." last="Maskery">Brian A. Maskery</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease</title><idno type="ISSN">1477-8939</idno><idno type="eISSN">1873-0442</idno><imprint><date when="2019">2019</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Background</title><p>The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers’ decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>We estimated changes in monthly numbers of visitors to the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 2015 compared to projected values by selected areas. We tested whether areas’ experience of a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases or distance to the ROK had a significant effect on travel to the ROK during the MERS outbreak using t-tests and regression models.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>The percentage changes in visitors from areas with a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases decreased more than the percentage changes in visitors from their counterparts in June (52.4% vs. 23.3%) and July (60.0% vs. 31.4%) during the 2015 MERS outbreak. The percentage changes in visitors from the close and intermediate categories decreased more than the far category. The results from regression models and sensitivity analyses demonstrated that areas with ≥100 SARS cases and closer proximity to the ROK had significantly larger percentage decreases in traveler volumes during the outbreak.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>During the 2015 MERS outbreak, areas with a previous sizable SARS outbreak and areas near the ROK showed greater decreases in percentage changes in visitors to the ROK.</p></sec></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Korea Centers For Disease Control And Prevention" uniqKey="Korea Centers For Disease Control And Prevention">Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Korean Ministry Of Health And Welfare" uniqKey="Korean Ministry Of Health And Welfare">Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="World Health Organization" uniqKey="World Health Organization">World Health Organization</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Korea Tourism Organization" uniqKey="Korea Tourism Organization">Korea Tourism Organization</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Joo, H" uniqKey="Joo H">H. 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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Travel Med Infect Dis</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Travel Med Infect Dis</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1477-8939</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1873-0442</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Elsevier Science</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">31102656</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">6688921</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">S1477-8939(18)30392-2</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/j.tmaid.2019.05.009</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>The effects of past SARS experience and proximity on declines in numbers of travelers to the Republic of Korea during the 2015 MERS outbreak: A retrospective study</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au1"><name><surname>Joo</surname><given-names>Heesoo</given-names></name><email>hjoo@cdc.gov</email><xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">a</xref><xref rid="cor1" ref-type="corresp">∗</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au2"><name><surname>Henry</surname><given-names>Ronald E.</given-names></name><xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">a</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au3"><name><surname>Lee</surname><given-names>Yeon-Kyeng</given-names></name><xref rid="aff2" ref-type="aff">b</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au4"><name><surname>Berro</surname><given-names>Andre D.</given-names></name><xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">a</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" id="au5"><name><surname>Maskery</surname><given-names>Brian A.</given-names></name><xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">a</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><label>a</label>Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA</aff><aff id="aff2"><label>b</label>Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of Korea</aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1"><label>∗</label>Corresponding author. Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, MS H16-4, Atlanta, GA, 30333, USA. <email>hjoo@cdc.gov</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>15</day><month>5</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><pmc-comment> PMC Release delay is 0 months and 0 days and was based on .</pmc-comment>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub" iso-8601-date="2019-08-01"><season>July-August</season><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>15</day><month>5</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>30</volume><fpage>54</fpage><lpage>66</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>5</day><month>11</month><year>2018</year></date><date date-type="rev-recd"><day>9</day><month>5</month><year>2019</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>10</day><month>5</month><year>2019</year></date></history><permissions><license><license-p>Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract id="abs0010"><sec><title>Background</title><p>The experience of previous sizable outbreaks may affect travelers’ decisions to travel to an area with an ongoing outbreak.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>We estimated changes in monthly numbers of visitors to the Republic of Korea (ROK) in 2015 compared to projected values by selected areas. We tested whether areas’ experience of a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases or distance to the ROK had a significant effect on travel to the ROK during the MERS outbreak using t-tests and regression models.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>The percentage changes in visitors from areas with a previous SARS outbreak of ≥100 cases decreased more than the percentage changes in visitors from their counterparts in June (52.4% vs. 23.3%) and July (60.0% vs. 31.4%) during the 2015 MERS outbreak. The percentage changes in visitors from the close and intermediate categories decreased more than the far category. The results from regression models and sensitivity analyses demonstrated that areas with ≥100 SARS cases and closer proximity to the ROK had significantly larger percentage decreases in traveler volumes during the outbreak.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>During the 2015 MERS outbreak, areas with a previous sizable SARS outbreak and areas near the ROK showed greater decreases in percentage changes in visitors to the ROK.</p></sec></abstract></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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