Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases
Identifieur interne : 001935 ( Main/Merge ); précédent : 001934; suivant : 001936Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases
Auteurs : T. Déirdre Hollingsworth ; Emily R. Adams ; Roy M. Anderson ; Katherine Atkins ; Sarah Bartsch [États-Unis] ; María-Gloria Basá Ez ; Matthew Behrend [États-Unis] ; David J. Blok [Pays-Bas] ; Lloyd A. C. Chapman ; Luc Coffeng [Pays-Bas] ; Orin Courtenay ; Ron E. Crump ; Sake J. De Vlas [Pays-Bas] ; Andy Dobson [États-Unis] ; Louise Dyson ; Hajnal Farkas ; Alison P. Galvani [États-Unis] ; Manoj Gambhir ; David Gurarie [États-Unis] ; Michael A. Irvine ; Sarah Jervis ; Matt J. Keeling ; Louise Kelly-Hope ; Charles King [États-Unis] ; Bruce Y. Lee [États-Unis] ; Epke A. Le Rutte [Pays-Bas] ; Thomas M. Lietman [États-Unis] ; Martial Ndeffo-Mbah [États-Unis] ; Graham F. Medley ; Edwin Michael [États-Unis] ; Abhishek Pandey [États-Unis] ; Jennifer K. Peterson [États-Unis] ; Amy Pinsent ; Travis C. Porco [États-Unis] ; Jan Hendrik Richardus [Pays-Bas] ; Lisa Reimer ; Kat S. Rock ; Brajendra K. Singh [États-Unis] ; Wilma Stolk [Pays-Bas] ; Subramanian Swaminathan [Inde] ; Steve J. Torr ; Jeffrey Townsend [États-Unis] ; James Truscott ; Martin Walker ; Alexandra ZouevaSource :
- Parasites & Vectors [ 1756-3305 ] ; 2015.
Abstract
Quantitative analysis and mathematical models are useful tools in informing strategies to control or eliminate disease. Currently, there is an urgent need to develop these tools to inform policy to achieve the 2020 goals for neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). In this paper we give an overview of a collection of novel model-based analyses which aim to address key questions on the dynamics of transmission and control of nine NTDs: Chagas disease, visceral leishmaniasis, human African trypanosomiasis, leprosy, soil-transmitted helminths, schistosomiasis, lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis and trachoma. Several common themes resonate throughout these analyses, including: the importance of epidemiological setting on the success of interventions; targeting groups who are at highest risk of infection or re-infection; and reaching populations who are not accessing interventions and may act as a reservoir for infection,. The results also highlight the challenge of maintaining elimination ‘as a public health problem’ when true elimination is not reached. The models elucidate the factors that may be contributing most to persistence of disease and discuss the requirements for eventually achieving true elimination, if that is possible. Overall this collection presents new analyses to inform current control initiatives. These papers form a base from which further development of the models and more rigorous validation against a variety of datasets can help to give more detailed advice. At the moment, the models’ predictions are being considered as the world prepares for a final push towards control or elimination of neglected tropical diseases by 2020.
Url:
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-015-1235-1
PubMed: 26652272
PubMed Central: 4674954
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<author><name sortKey="Crump, Ron E" sort="Crump, Ron E" uniqKey="Crump R" first="Ron E." last="Crump">Ron E. Crump</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Kelly Hope, Louise" sort="Kelly Hope, Louise" uniqKey="Kelly Hope L" first="Louise" last="Kelly-Hope">Louise Kelly-Hope</name>
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<author><name sortKey="King, Charles" sort="King, Charles" uniqKey="King C" first="Charles" last="King">Charles King</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Ndeffo Mbah, Martial" sort="Ndeffo Mbah, Martial" uniqKey="Ndeffo Mbah M" first="Martial" last="Ndeffo-Mbah">Martial Ndeffo-Mbah</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Michael, Edwin" sort="Michael, Edwin" uniqKey="Michael E" first="Edwin" last="Michael">Edwin Michael</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Pandey, Abhishek" sort="Pandey, Abhishek" uniqKey="Pandey A" first="Abhishek" last="Pandey">Abhishek Pandey</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Porco, Travis C" sort="Porco, Travis C" uniqKey="Porco T" first="Travis C." last="Porco">Travis C. Porco</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Richardus, Jan Hendrik" sort="Richardus, Jan Hendrik" uniqKey="Richardus J" first="Jan Hendrik" last="Richardus">Jan Hendrik Richardus</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Rock, Kat S" sort="Rock, Kat S" uniqKey="Rock K" first="Kat S." last="Rock">Kat S. Rock</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Singh, Brajendra K" sort="Singh, Brajendra K" uniqKey="Singh B" first="Brajendra K." last="Singh">Brajendra K. Singh</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Stolk, Wilma" sort="Stolk, Wilma" uniqKey="Stolk W" first="Wilma" last="Stolk">Wilma Stolk</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Swaminathan, Subramanian" sort="Swaminathan, Subramanian" uniqKey="Swaminathan S" first="Subramanian" last="Swaminathan">Subramanian Swaminathan</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Walker, Martin" sort="Walker, Martin" uniqKey="Walker M" first="Martin" last="Walker">Martin Walker</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Zoueva, Alexandra" sort="Zoueva, Alexandra" uniqKey="Zoueva A" first="Alexandra" last="Zoueva">Alexandra Zoueva</name>
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<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases</title>
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</author>
<author><name sortKey="Adams, Emily R" sort="Adams, Emily R" uniqKey="Adams E" first="Emily R." last="Adams">Emily R. Adams</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2">Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, L3 5QA UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">L3 5QA UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Anderson, Roy M" sort="Anderson, Roy M" uniqKey="Anderson R" first="Roy M." last="Anderson">Roy M. Anderson</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff3">Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">W2 1PG UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Atkins, Katherine" sort="Atkins, Katherine" uniqKey="Atkins K" first="Katherine" last="Atkins">Katherine Atkins</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff4">London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">WC1E 7HT UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Bartsch, Sarah" sort="Bartsch, Sarah" uniqKey="Bartsch S" first="Sarah" last="Bartsch">Sarah Bartsch</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff5">Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Basa Ez, Maria Gloria" sort="Basa Ez, Maria Gloria" uniqKey="Basa Ez M" first="María-Gloria" last="Basá Ez">María-Gloria Basá Ez</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff3">Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">W2 1PG UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Behrend, Matthew" sort="Behrend, Matthew" uniqKey="Behrend M" first="Matthew" last="Behrend">Matthew Behrend</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff6">Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Seattle</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Blok, David J" sort="Blok, David J" uniqKey="Blok D" first="David J." last="Blok">David J. Blok</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Chapman, Lloyd A C" sort="Chapman, Lloyd A C" uniqKey="Chapman L" first="Lloyd A. C." last="Chapman">Lloyd A. C. Chapman</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Coffeng, Luc" sort="Coffeng, Luc" uniqKey="Coffeng L" first="Luc" last="Coffeng">Luc Coffeng</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Courtenay, Orin" sort="Courtenay, Orin" uniqKey="Courtenay O" first="Orin" last="Courtenay">Orin Courtenay</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Crump, Ron E" sort="Crump, Ron E" uniqKey="Crump R" first="Ron E." last="Crump">Ron E. Crump</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="De Vlas, Sake J" sort="De Vlas, Sake J" uniqKey="De Vlas S" first="Sake J." last="De Vlas">Sake J. De Vlas</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Dobson, Andy" sort="Dobson, Andy" uniqKey="Dobson A" first="Andy" last="Dobson">Andy Dobson</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff8">Princeton University, New Jersey, NJ 08544 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">New Jersey</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Princeton University, New Jersey</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Dyson, Louise" sort="Dyson, Louise" uniqKey="Dyson L" first="Louise" last="Dyson">Louise Dyson</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Farkas, Hajnal" sort="Farkas, Hajnal" uniqKey="Farkas H" first="Hajnal" last="Farkas">Hajnal Farkas</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Galvani, Alison P" sort="Galvani, Alison P" uniqKey="Galvani A" first="Alison P." last="Galvani">Alison P. Galvani</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff9">Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Yale University, New Haven</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gambhir, Manoj" sort="Gambhir, Manoj" uniqKey="Gambhir M" first="Manoj" last="Gambhir">Manoj Gambhir</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff10">Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3800 Australia</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">VIC 3800 Australia</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gurarie, David" sort="Gurarie, David" uniqKey="Gurarie D" first="David" last="Gurarie">David Gurarie</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff11">Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Ohio</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Irvine, Michael A" sort="Irvine, Michael A" uniqKey="Irvine M" first="Michael A." last="Irvine">Michael A. Irvine</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Jervis, Sarah" sort="Jervis, Sarah" uniqKey="Jervis S" first="Sarah" last="Jervis">Sarah Jervis</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Keeling, Matt J" sort="Keeling, Matt J" uniqKey="Keeling M" first="Matt J." last="Keeling">Matt J. Keeling</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kelly Hope, Louise" sort="Kelly Hope, Louise" uniqKey="Kelly Hope L" first="Louise" last="Kelly-Hope">Louise Kelly-Hope</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2">Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, L3 5QA UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">L3 5QA UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="King, Charles" sort="King, Charles" uniqKey="King C" first="Charles" last="King">Charles King</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff11">Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Ohio</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lee, Bruce Y" sort="Lee, Bruce Y" uniqKey="Lee B" first="Bruce Y." last="Lee">Bruce Y. Lee</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff5">Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Maryland</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Le Rutte, Epke A" sort="Le Rutte, Epke A" uniqKey="Le Rutte E" first="Epke A." last="Le Rutte">Epke A. Le Rutte</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lietman, Thomas M" sort="Lietman, Thomas M" uniqKey="Lietman T" first="Thomas M." last="Lietman">Thomas M. Lietman</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff12">University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Californie</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Ndeffo Mbah, Martial" sort="Ndeffo Mbah, Martial" uniqKey="Ndeffo Mbah M" first="Martial" last="Ndeffo-Mbah">Martial Ndeffo-Mbah</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff9">Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Yale University, New Haven</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Medley, Graham F" sort="Medley, Graham F" uniqKey="Medley G" first="Graham F." last="Medley">Graham F. Medley</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff4">London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">WC1E 7HT UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Michael, Edwin" sort="Michael, Edwin" uniqKey="Michael E" first="Edwin" last="Michael">Edwin Michael</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff13">University of Notre Dame, South Bend, IN 47556 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Indiana</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>University of Notre Dame, South Bend</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Pandey, Abhishek" sort="Pandey, Abhishek" uniqKey="Pandey A" first="Abhishek" last="Pandey">Abhishek Pandey</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff9">Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Yale University, New Haven</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Peterson, Jennifer K" sort="Peterson, Jennifer K" uniqKey="Peterson J" first="Jennifer K." last="Peterson">Jennifer K. Peterson</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff8">Princeton University, New Jersey, NJ 08544 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">New Jersey</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Princeton University, New Jersey</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Pinsent, Amy" sort="Pinsent, Amy" uniqKey="Pinsent A" first="Amy" last="Pinsent">Amy Pinsent</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff10">Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3800 Australia</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">VIC 3800 Australia</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Porco, Travis C" sort="Porco, Travis C" uniqKey="Porco T" first="Travis C." last="Porco">Travis C. Porco</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff12">University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Californie</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Richardus, Jan Hendrik" sort="Richardus, Jan Hendrik" uniqKey="Richardus J" first="Jan Hendrik" last="Richardus">Jan Hendrik Richardus</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Reimer, Lisa" sort="Reimer, Lisa" uniqKey="Reimer L" first="Lisa" last="Reimer">Lisa Reimer</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2">Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, L3 5QA UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">L3 5QA UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Rock, Kat S" sort="Rock, Kat S" uniqKey="Rock K" first="Kat S." last="Rock">Kat S. Rock</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">CV4 7AL UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Singh, Brajendra K" sort="Singh, Brajendra K" uniqKey="Singh B" first="Brajendra K." last="Singh">Brajendra K. Singh</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff13">University of Notre Dame, South Bend, IN 47556 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Indiana</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>University of Notre Dame, South Bend</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Stolk, Wilma" sort="Stolk, Wilma" uniqKey="Stolk W" first="Wilma" last="Stolk">Wilma Stolk</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff7">Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam, Netherlands</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Pays-Bas</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Erasmus University Medical Center, 3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>3015 CE Rotterdam</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Swaminathan, Subramanian" sort="Swaminathan, Subramanian" uniqKey="Swaminathan S" first="Subramanian" last="Swaminathan">Subramanian Swaminathan</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="Aff14">Vector Control Research Centre, Pondicherry, 605006 India</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Inde</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Vector Control Research Centre, Pondicherry</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Pondicherry</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Torr, Steve J" sort="Torr, Steve J" uniqKey="Torr S" first="Steve J." last="Torr">Steve J. Torr</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2">Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, L3 5QA UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">L3 5QA UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Townsend, Jeffrey" sort="Townsend, Jeffrey" uniqKey="Townsend J" first="Jeffrey" last="Townsend">Jeffrey Townsend</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="Aff9">Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520 USA</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:cityArea>Yale University, New Haven</wicri:cityArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Truscott, James" sort="Truscott, James" uniqKey="Truscott J" first="James" last="Truscott">James Truscott</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff3">Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">W2 1PG UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Walker, Martin" sort="Walker, Martin" uniqKey="Walker M" first="Martin" last="Walker">Martin Walker</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff3">Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">W2 1PG UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Zoueva, Alexandra" sort="Zoueva, Alexandra" uniqKey="Zoueva A" first="Alexandra" last="Zoueva">Alexandra Zoueva</name>
<affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff15">Children’s Investment Fund Foundation, London, W1S 2FT UK</nlm:aff>
<wicri:noCountry code="subfield">W1S 2FT UK</wicri:noCountry>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">Parasites & Vectors</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1756-3305</idno>
<imprint><date when="2015">2015</date>
</imprint>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Quantitative analysis and mathematical models are useful tools in informing strategies to control or eliminate disease. Currently, there is an urgent need to develop these tools to inform policy to achieve the 2020 goals for neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). In this paper we give an overview of a collection of novel model-based analyses which aim to address key questions on the dynamics of transmission and control of nine NTDs: Chagas disease, visceral leishmaniasis, human African trypanosomiasis, leprosy, soil-transmitted helminths, schistosomiasis, lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis and trachoma. Several common themes resonate throughout these analyses, including: the importance of epidemiological setting on the success of interventions; targeting groups who are at highest risk of infection or re-infection; and reaching populations who are not accessing interventions and may act as a reservoir for infection,. The results also highlight the challenge of maintaining elimination ‘as a public health problem’ when true elimination is not reached. The models elucidate the factors that may be contributing most to persistence of disease and discuss the requirements for eventually achieving true elimination, if that is possible. Overall this collection presents new analyses to inform current control initiatives. These papers form a base from which further development of the models and more rigorous validation against a variety of datasets can help to give more detailed advice. At the moment, the models’ predictions are being considered as the world prepares for a final push towards control or elimination of neglected tropical diseases by 2020.</p>
</div>
</front>
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</analytic>
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</analytic>
</biblStruct>
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</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Warren, Ks" uniqKey="Warren K">KS Warren</name>
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</analytic>
</biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Anderson, R" uniqKey="Anderson R">R Anderson</name>
</author>
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<author><name sortKey="Truscott, J" uniqKey="Truscott J">J Truscott</name>
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</biblStruct>
<biblStruct></biblStruct>
<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Ramaiah, K" uniqKey="Ramaiah K">K Ramaiah</name>
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</biblStruct>
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<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Irvine, Ma" uniqKey="Irvine M">MA Irvine</name>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Reimer, Lj" uniqKey="Reimer L">LJ Reimer</name>
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<biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Singh, Bk" uniqKey="Singh B">BK Singh</name>
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