Influenza Pandemic Periodicity, Virus Recycling, and the Art of Risk Assessment
Identifieur interne : 000D28 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000D27; suivant : 000D29Influenza Pandemic Periodicity, Virus Recycling, and the Art of Risk Assessment
Auteurs : Walter R. Dowdle [États-Unis]Source :
- Emerging Infectious Diseases [ 1080-6040 ] ; 2006.
Abstract
Conditions that lead to influenza pandemics are not fully understood.
Url:
DOI: 10.3201/eid1201.051013
PubMed: 16494714
PubMed Central: 3291401
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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Emerg Infect Dis</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">EID</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Emerging Infectious Diseases</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1080-6040</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1080-6059</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">16494714</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3291401</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">05-1013</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3201/eid1201.051013</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Perspective</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Perspective</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Influenza Pandemic Periodicity, Virus Recycling, and the Art of Risk Assessment</article-title><alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Art of Risk Assessment</alt-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Dowdle</surname><given-names>Walter R.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>*</label>The Task Force for Child Survival and Development, Decatur, Georgia, USA</aff></contrib-group><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">Address for correspondence: Walter R. Dowdle, Task Force for Child Survival and Development, 750 Commerce Dr, Ste 400, Decatur, GA 30030, USA; fax: 404-371-1087; email: <email xlink:href="wdowdle@taskforce.org">wdowdle@taskforce.org</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>1</month><year>2006</year></pub-date><volume>12</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>34</fpage><lpage>39</lpage><abstract abstract-type="toc"><p>Conditions that lead to influenza pandemics are not fully understood.</p></abstract><abstract><p>Influenza pandemic risk assessment is an uncertain art. The theory that influenza A virus pandemics occur every 10 to 11 years and seroarcheologic evidence of virus recycling set the stage in early 1976 for risk assessment and risk management of the Fort Dix, New Jersey, swine influenza outbreak. Additional data and passage of time proved the theory untenable. Much has been learned about influenza A virus and its natural history since 1976, but the exact conditions that lead to the emergence of a pandemic strain are still unknown. Current avian influenza events parallel those of swine influenza in 1976 but on a larger and more complex scale. Pre- and postpandemic risk assessment and risk management are continuous but separate public health functions.</p></abstract><kwd-group kwd-group-type="author"><title>Keywords: </title><kwd>Influenza</kwd><kwd>pandemic</kwd><kwd>risk assessment</kwd><kwd>swine influenza</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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