Pandemic influenza – including a risk assessment of H5N1
Identifieur interne : 000563 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000562; suivant : 000564Pandemic influenza – including a risk assessment of H5N1
Auteurs : J. K. Taubenberger [États-Unis] ; D. M. Morens [États-Unis]Source :
- Revue scientifique et technique (International Office of Epizootics) [ 0253-1933 ] ; 2009.
Abstract
Influenza pandemics and epidemics have apparently occurred since at least the Middle Ages. When pandemics appear, 50% or more of an affected population can be infected in a single year, and the number of deaths caused by influenza can dramatically exceed what is normally expected. Since 1500, there appear to have been 13 or more influenza pandemics. In the past 120 years there were undoubted pandemics in 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968, and 1977. Although most experts believe we will face another influenza pandemic, it is impossible to predict when it will appear, where it will originate, or how severe it will be. Nor is there agreement about the subtype of influenza virus most likely to cause the next pandemic. The continuing spread of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses has heightened interest in pandemic prediction. Despite uncertainties in the historical record of the pre-virology era, study of previous pandemics may help guide future pandemic planning and lead to a better understanding of the complex ecobiology underlying the formation of pandemic strains of influenza A viruses.
Url:
PubMed: 19618626
PubMed Central: 2720801
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Morens</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A2"> Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−2520, United States of America</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea> Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−2520</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">19618626</idno><idno type="pmc">2720801</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2720801</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:2720801</idno><date when="2009">2009</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000563</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000563</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000563</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000563</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Pandemic influenza – including a risk assessment of H5N1</title><author><name sortKey="Taubenberger, J K" sort="Taubenberger, J K" uniqKey="Taubenberger J" first="J. K." last="Taubenberger">J. K. Taubenberger</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A1"> Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 33 North Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−3203, United States of America</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea> Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 33 North Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−3203</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Morens, D M" sort="Morens, D M" uniqKey="Morens D" first="D. M." last="Morens">D. M. Morens</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A2"> Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−2520, United States of America</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea> Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−2520</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Revue scientifique et technique (International Office of Epizootics)</title><idno type="ISSN">0253-1933</idno><idno type="eISSN">1608-0637</idno><imprint><date when="2009">2009</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Summary</title><p id="P1">Influenza pandemics and epidemics have apparently occurred since at least the Middle Ages. When pandemics appear, 50% or more of an affected population can be infected in a single year, and the number of deaths caused by influenza can dramatically exceed what is normally expected. Since 1500, there appear to have been 13 or more influenza pandemics. In the past 120 years there were undoubted pandemics in 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968, and 1977. Although most experts believe we will face another influenza pandemic, it is impossible to predict when it will appear, where it will originate, or how severe it will be. Nor is there agreement about the subtype of influenza virus most likely to cause the next pandemic. The continuing spread of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses has heightened interest in pandemic prediction. Despite uncertainties in the historical record of the pre-virology era, study of previous pandemics may help guide future pandemic planning and lead to a better understanding of the complex ecobiology underlying the formation of pandemic strains of influenza A viruses.</p></div></front></TEI><pmc article-type="research-article" xml:lang="EN"><pmc-comment>The publisher of this article does not allow downloading of the full text in XML form.</pmc-comment>
<pmc-dir>properties manuscript</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-journal-id">8712301</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pubmed-jr-id">1278</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Rev Sci Tech</journal-id><journal-title>Revue scientifique et technique (International Office of Epizootics)</journal-title><issn pub-type="ppub">0253-1933</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1608-0637</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">19618626</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">2720801</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="manuscript">NIHMS125322</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Pandemic influenza – including a risk assessment of H5N1</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Taubenberger</surname><given-names>J.K.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">(1)</xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="CR1">*</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Morens</surname><given-names>D.M.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">(2)</xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="A1"><label>(1)</label> Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 33 North Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−3203, United States of America</aff><aff id="A2"><label>(2)</label> Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892−2520, United States of America</aff><author-notes><corresp id="CR1"><label>*</label>Corresponding author: <email>taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="nihms-submitted"><day>19</day><month>6</month><year>2009</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>4</month><year>2009</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>1</day><month>10</month><year>2009</year></pub-date><volume>28</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>187</fpage><lpage>202</lpage><abstract><title>Summary</title><p id="P1">Influenza pandemics and epidemics have apparently occurred since at least the Middle Ages. When pandemics appear, 50% or more of an affected population can be infected in a single year, and the number of deaths caused by influenza can dramatically exceed what is normally expected. Since 1500, there appear to have been 13 or more influenza pandemics. In the past 120 years there were undoubted pandemics in 1889, 1918, 1957, 1968, and 1977. Although most experts believe we will face another influenza pandemic, it is impossible to predict when it will appear, where it will originate, or how severe it will be. Nor is there agreement about the subtype of influenza virus most likely to cause the next pandemic. The continuing spread of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses has heightened interest in pandemic prediction. Despite uncertainties in the historical record of the pre-virology era, study of previous pandemics may help guide future pandemic planning and lead to a better understanding of the complex ecobiology underlying the formation of pandemic strains of influenza A viruses.</p></abstract><kwd-group><kwd>Epidemiology</kwd><kwd>History</kwd><kwd>Influenza A virus</kwd><kwd>Pandemic</kwd></kwd-group><contract-num rid="AI1">Z01 AI000995-01</contract-num><contract-sponsor id="AI1">National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Extramural Activities : NIAID</contract-sponsor></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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