Years of Life Lost Due to Influenza-Attributable Mortality in Older Adults in the Netherlands: A Competing-Risks Approach.
Identifieur interne : 000034 ( Main/Corpus ); précédent : 000033; suivant : 000035Years of Life Lost Due to Influenza-Attributable Mortality in Older Adults in the Netherlands: A Competing-Risks Approach.
Auteurs : Scott A. Mcdonald ; Maarten Van Wijhe ; Liselotte Van Asten ; Wim Van Der Hoek ; Jacco WallingaSource :
- American journal of epidemiology [ 1476-6256 ] ; 2018.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Netherlands.
- methods : Risk Assessment.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Poisson Distribution, Risk Factors, Survival Analysis.
Abstract
We estimated the influenza mortality burden in adults aged 60 years or older in the Netherlands in terms of years of life lost, taking into account competing mortality risks. Weekly laboratory surveillance data for influenza and other respiratory pathogens and weekly extreme temperature served as covariates in Poisson regression models fitted to weekly mortality data, specific to age group, for the period 1999-2000 through 2012-2013. Burden for age groups 60-64 years through 85-89 years was computed as years of life lost before age 90 (YLL90), using restricted mean lifetime survival analysis and accounting for competing risks. Influenza-attributable mortality burden was greatest for persons aged 80-84 years, at 914 YLL90 per 100,000 persons (95% uncertainty interval: 867, 963), followed by persons aged 85-89 years (787 YLL90/100,000; 95% uncertainty interval: 741, 834). Ignoring competing mortality risks in the computation of influenza-attributable YLL90 would lead to substantial overestimation of burden, from 3.5% for persons aged 60-64 years to 82% for those aged 80-89 years at death. Failure to account for competing mortality risks has implications for the accuracy of disease-burden estimates, especially among persons aged 80 years or older. Because the mortality burden borne by the elderly is notably high, prevention initiatives may benefit from being redesigned to more effectively prevent infection in the oldest age groups.
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwy021
PubMed: 29420681
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Mcdonald</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Wijhe, Maarten" sort="Van Wijhe, Maarten" uniqKey="Van Wijhe M" first="Maarten" last="Van Wijhe">Maarten Van Wijhe</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Asten, Liselotte" sort="Van Asten, Liselotte" uniqKey="Van Asten L" first="Liselotte" last="Van Asten">Liselotte Van Asten</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Der Hoek, Wim" sort="Van Der Hoek, Wim" uniqKey="Van Der Hoek W" first="Wim" last="Van Der Hoek">Wim Van Der Hoek</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallinga, Jacco" sort="Wallinga, Jacco" uniqKey="Wallinga J" first="Jacco" last="Wallinga">Jacco Wallinga</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2018">2018</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:29420681</idno><idno type="pmid">29420681</idno><idno type="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy021</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000034</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000034</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Years of Life Lost Due to Influenza-Attributable Mortality in Older Adults in the Netherlands: A Competing-Risks Approach.</title><author><name sortKey="Mcdonald, Scott A" sort="Mcdonald, Scott A" uniqKey="Mcdonald S" first="Scott A" last="Mcdonald">Scott A. Mcdonald</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Wijhe, Maarten" sort="Van Wijhe, Maarten" uniqKey="Van Wijhe M" first="Maarten" last="Van Wijhe">Maarten Van Wijhe</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Asten, Liselotte" sort="Van Asten, Liselotte" uniqKey="Van Asten L" first="Liselotte" last="Van Asten">Liselotte Van Asten</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Der Hoek, Wim" sort="Van Der Hoek, Wim" uniqKey="Van Der Hoek W" first="Wim" last="Van Der Hoek">Wim Van Der Hoek</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallinga, Jacco" sort="Wallinga, Jacco" uniqKey="Wallinga J" first="Jacco" last="Wallinga">Jacco Wallinga</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">American journal of epidemiology</title><idno type="eISSN">1476-6256</idno><imprint><date when="2018" type="published">2018</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Age Factors (MeSH)</term><term>Aged (MeSH)</term><term>Aged, 80 and over (MeSH)</term><term>Female (MeSH)</term><term>Humans (MeSH)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Male (MeSH)</term><term>Middle Aged (MeSH)</term><term>Netherlands (epidemiology)</term><term>Poisson Distribution (MeSH)</term><term>Risk Assessment (methods)</term><term>Risk Factors (MeSH)</term><term>Survival Analysis (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Netherlands</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="methods" xml:lang="en"><term>Risk Assessment</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Age Factors</term><term>Aged</term><term>Aged, 80 and over</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Poisson Distribution</term><term>Risk Factors</term><term>Survival Analysis</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">We estimated the influenza mortality burden in adults aged 60 years or older in the Netherlands in terms of years of life lost, taking into account competing mortality risks. Weekly laboratory surveillance data for influenza and other respiratory pathogens and weekly extreme temperature served as covariates in Poisson regression models fitted to weekly mortality data, specific to age group, for the period 1999-2000 through 2012-2013. Burden for age groups 60-64 years through 85-89 years was computed as years of life lost before age 90 (YLL90), using restricted mean lifetime survival analysis and accounting for competing risks. Influenza-attributable mortality burden was greatest for persons aged 80-84 years, at 914 YLL90 per 100,000 persons (95% uncertainty interval: 867, 963), followed by persons aged 85-89 years (787 YLL90/100,000; 95% uncertainty interval: 741, 834). Ignoring competing mortality risks in the computation of influenza-attributable YLL90 would lead to substantial overestimation of burden, from 3.5% for persons aged 60-64 years to 82% for those aged 80-89 years at death. Failure to account for competing mortality risks has implications for the accuracy of disease-burden estimates, especially among persons aged 80 years or older. Because the mortality burden borne by the elderly is notably high, prevention initiatives may benefit from being redesigned to more effectively prevent infection in the oldest age groups.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">29420681</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2019</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>24</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2019</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>24</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1476-6256</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>187</Volume><Issue>8</Issue><PubDate><Year>2018</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>01</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>American journal of epidemiology</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Am. J. Epidemiol.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Years of Life Lost Due to Influenza-Attributable Mortality in Older Adults in the Netherlands: A Competing-Risks Approach.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>1791-1798</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1093/aje/kwy021</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>We estimated the influenza mortality burden in adults aged 60 years or older in the Netherlands in terms of years of life lost, taking into account competing mortality risks. Weekly laboratory surveillance data for influenza and other respiratory pathogens and weekly extreme temperature served as covariates in Poisson regression models fitted to weekly mortality data, specific to age group, for the period 1999-2000 through 2012-2013. Burden for age groups 60-64 years through 85-89 years was computed as years of life lost before age 90 (YLL90), using restricted mean lifetime survival analysis and accounting for competing risks. Influenza-attributable mortality burden was greatest for persons aged 80-84 years, at 914 YLL90 per 100,000 persons (95% uncertainty interval: 867, 963), followed by persons aged 85-89 years (787 YLL90/100,000; 95% uncertainty interval: 741, 834). Ignoring competing mortality risks in the computation of influenza-attributable YLL90 would lead to substantial overestimation of burden, from 3.5% for persons aged 60-64 years to 82% for those aged 80-89 years at death. Failure to account for competing mortality risks has implications for the accuracy of disease-burden estimates, especially among persons aged 80 years or older. Because the mortality burden borne by the elderly is notably high, prevention initiatives may benefit from being redesigned to more effectively prevent infection in the oldest age groups.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>McDonald</LastName><ForeName>Scott A</ForeName><Initials>SA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>van Wijhe</LastName><ForeName>Maarten</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>van Asten</LastName><ForeName>Liselotte</ForeName><Initials>L</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>van der Hoek</LastName><ForeName>Wim</ForeName><Initials>W</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wallinga</LastName><ForeName>Jacco</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>United States</Country><MedlineTA>Am J Epidemiol</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>7910653</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0002-9262</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000367" MajorTopicYN="N">Age Factors</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000368" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000369" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged, 80 and over</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005260" MajorTopicYN="N">Female</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000401" MajorTopicYN="Y">mortality</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008297" MajorTopicYN="N">Male</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008875" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D009426" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Netherlands</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D016012" MajorTopicYN="N">Poisson Distribution</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D018570" MajorTopicYN="N">Risk Assessment</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000379" MajorTopicYN="Y">methods</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012307" MajorTopicYN="N">Risk Factors</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D016019" MajorTopicYN="N">Survival Analysis</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2017</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>31</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2018</Year><Month>01</Month><Day>30</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2018</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>9</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2019</Year><Month>6</Month><Day>25</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2018</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>9</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">29420681</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">4840734</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1093/aje/kwy021</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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