Estimating influenza deaths in Canada, 1992-2009.
Identifieur interne : 000381 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000380; suivant : 000382Estimating influenza deaths in Canada, 1992-2009.
Auteurs : Dena L. Schanzer [Canada] ; Claire Sevenhuysen ; Brian Winchester ; Teresa MersereauSource :
- PloS one [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2013.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Algorithmes (MeSH), Canada (épidémiologie), Grippe humaine (histoire), Grippe humaine (mortalité), Histoire du 20ème siècle (MeSH), Histoire du 21ème siècle (MeSH), Hospitalisation (MeSH), Humains (MeSH), Modèles statistiques (MeSH), Morbidité (MeSH), Reproductibilité des résultats (MeSH), Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A (MeSH).
- MESH :
- histoire : Grippe humaine.
- mortalité : Grippe humaine.
- épidémiologie : Canada.
- Algorithmes, Histoire du 20ème siècle, Histoire du 21ème siècle, Hospitalisation, Humains, Modèles statistiques, Morbidité, Reproductibilité des résultats, Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Canada.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Algorithms (MeSH), Canada (epidemiology), History, 20th Century (MeSH), History, 21st Century (MeSH), Hospitalization (MeSH), Humans (MeSH), Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype (MeSH), Influenza, Human (history), Influenza, Human (mortality), Models, Statistical (MeSH), Morbidity (MeSH), Reproducibility of Results (MeSH).
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Canada.
- history : Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- Algorithms, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Hospitalization, Humans, Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype, Models, Statistical, Morbidity, Reproducibility of Results.
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Poisson regression modelling has been widely used to estimate the disease burden attributable to influenza, though not without concerns that some of the excess burden could be due to other causes. This study aims to provide annual estimates of the mortality and hospitalization burden attributable to both seasonal influenza and the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza for Canada, and to discuss issues related to the reliability of these estimates.
METHODS
Weekly time-series for all-cause mortality and regression models were used to estimate the number of deaths in Canada attributable to influenza from September 1992 to December 2009. To assess their robustness, the annual estimates derived from different parameterizations of the regression model for all-cause mortality were compared. In addition, the association between the annual estimates for mortality and hospitalization by age group, underlying cause of death or primary reason for admission and discharge status is discussed.
RESULTS
The crude influenza-attributed mortality rate based on all-cause mortality and averaged over 17 influenza seasons prior to the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic was 11.3 (95%CI, 10.5 - 12.1) deaths per 100 000 population per year, or an average of 3,500 (95%CI, 3,200 - 3,700) deaths per year attributable to seasonal influenza. The estimated annual rates ranged from undetectable at the ecological level to more than 6000 deaths per year over the three A/Sydney seasons. In comparison, we attributed an estimated 740 deaths (95%CI, 350-1500) to A(H1N1)pdm09. Annual estimates from different model parameterizations were strongly correlated, as were estimates for mortality and morbidity; the higher A(H1N1)pdm09 burden in younger age groups was the most notable exception.
INTERPRETATION
With the exception of some of the Serfling models, differences in the ecological estimates of the disease burden attributable to influenza were small in comparison to the variation in disease burden from one season to another.
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0080481
PubMed: 24312225
PubMed Central: PMC3842334
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
Le document en format XML
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Schanzer</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infection Control, Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infection Control, Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ontario</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sevenhuysen, Claire" sort="Sevenhuysen, Claire" uniqKey="Sevenhuysen C" first="Claire" last="Sevenhuysen">Claire Sevenhuysen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Winchester, Brian" sort="Winchester, Brian" uniqKey="Winchester B" first="Brian" last="Winchester">Brian Winchester</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mersereau, Teresa" sort="Mersereau, Teresa" uniqKey="Mersereau T" first="Teresa" last="Mersereau">Teresa Mersereau</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2013">2013</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:24312225</idno><idno type="pmid">24312225</idno><idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0080481</idno><idno type="pmc">PMC3842334</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000318</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000318</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000318</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Curation">000318</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000318</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Estimating influenza deaths in Canada, 1992-2009.</title><author><name sortKey="Schanzer, Dena L" sort="Schanzer, Dena L" uniqKey="Schanzer D" first="Dena L" last="Schanzer">Dena L. Schanzer</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infection Control, Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infection Control, Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ontario</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sevenhuysen, Claire" sort="Sevenhuysen, Claire" uniqKey="Sevenhuysen C" first="Claire" last="Sevenhuysen">Claire Sevenhuysen</name></author><author><name sortKey="Winchester, Brian" sort="Winchester, Brian" uniqKey="Winchester B" first="Brian" last="Winchester">Brian Winchester</name></author><author><name sortKey="Mersereau, Teresa" sort="Mersereau, Teresa" uniqKey="Mersereau T" first="Teresa" last="Mersereau">Teresa Mersereau</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PloS one</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2013" type="published">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Algorithms (MeSH)</term><term>Canada (epidemiology)</term><term>History, 20th Century (MeSH)</term><term>History, 21st Century (MeSH)</term><term>Hospitalization (MeSH)</term><term>Humans (MeSH)</term><term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype (MeSH)</term><term>Influenza, Human (history)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Models, Statistical (MeSH)</term><term>Morbidity (MeSH)</term><term>Reproducibility of Results (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Algorithmes (MeSH)</term><term>Canada (épidémiologie)</term><term>Grippe humaine (histoire)</term><term>Grippe humaine (mortalité)</term><term>Histoire du 20ème siècle (MeSH)</term><term>Histoire du 21ème siècle (MeSH)</term><term>Hospitalisation (MeSH)</term><term>Humains (MeSH)</term><term>Modèles statistiques (MeSH)</term><term>Morbidité (MeSH)</term><term>Reproductibilité des résultats (MeSH)</term><term>Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Canada</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="histoire" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="history" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Canada</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Algorithms</term><term>History, 20th Century</term><term>History, 21st Century</term><term>Hospitalization</term><term>Humans</term><term>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</term><term>Models, Statistical</term><term>Morbidity</term><term>Reproducibility of Results</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Algorithmes</term><term>Histoire du 20ème siècle</term><term>Histoire du 21ème siècle</term><term>Hospitalisation</term><term>Humains</term><term>Modèles statistiques</term><term>Morbidité</term><term>Reproductibilité des résultats</term><term>Sous-type H1N1 du virus de la grippe A</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Canada</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>BACKGROUND</b></p><p>Poisson regression modelling has been widely used to estimate the disease burden attributable to influenza, though not without concerns that some of the excess burden could be due to other causes. This study aims to provide annual estimates of the mortality and hospitalization burden attributable to both seasonal influenza and the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza for Canada, and to discuss issues related to the reliability of these estimates.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>METHODS</b></p><p>Weekly time-series for all-cause mortality and regression models were used to estimate the number of deaths in Canada attributable to influenza from September 1992 to December 2009. To assess their robustness, the annual estimates derived from different parameterizations of the regression model for all-cause mortality were compared. In addition, the association between the annual estimates for mortality and hospitalization by age group, underlying cause of death or primary reason for admission and discharge status is discussed.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>RESULTS</b></p><p>The crude influenza-attributed mortality rate based on all-cause mortality and averaged over 17 influenza seasons prior to the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic was 11.3 (95%CI, 10.5 - 12.1) deaths per 100 000 population per year, or an average of 3,500 (95%CI, 3,200 - 3,700) deaths per year attributable to seasonal influenza. The estimated annual rates ranged from undetectable at the ecological level to more than 6000 deaths per year over the three A/Sydney seasons. In comparison, we attributed an estimated 740 deaths (95%CI, 350-1500) to A(H1N1)pdm09. Annual estimates from different model parameterizations were strongly correlated, as were estimates for mortality and morbidity; the higher A(H1N1)pdm09 burden in younger age groups was the most notable exception.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>INTERPRETATION</b></p><p>With the exception of some of the Serfling models, differences in the ecological estimates of the disease burden attributable to influenza were small in comparison to the variation in disease burden from one season to another.</p></div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">24312225</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2014</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>11</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>05</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic-eCollection"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1932-6203</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>8</Volume><Issue>11</Issue><PubDate><Year>2013</Year></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>PloS one</Title><ISOAbbreviation>PLoS ONE</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Estimating influenza deaths in Canada, 1992-2009.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>e80481</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1371/journal.pone.0080481</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">Poisson regression modelling has been widely used to estimate the disease burden attributable to influenza, though not without concerns that some of the excess burden could be due to other causes. This study aims to provide annual estimates of the mortality and hospitalization burden attributable to both seasonal influenza and the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza for Canada, and to discuss issues related to the reliability of these estimates.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">Weekly time-series for all-cause mortality and regression models were used to estimate the number of deaths in Canada attributable to influenza from September 1992 to December 2009. To assess their robustness, the annual estimates derived from different parameterizations of the regression model for all-cause mortality were compared. In addition, the association between the annual estimates for mortality and hospitalization by age group, underlying cause of death or primary reason for admission and discharge status is discussed.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">The crude influenza-attributed mortality rate based on all-cause mortality and averaged over 17 influenza seasons prior to the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic was 11.3 (95%CI, 10.5 - 12.1) deaths per 100 000 population per year, or an average of 3,500 (95%CI, 3,200 - 3,700) deaths per year attributable to seasonal influenza. The estimated annual rates ranged from undetectable at the ecological level to more than 6000 deaths per year over the three A/Sydney seasons. In comparison, we attributed an estimated 740 deaths (95%CI, 350-1500) to A(H1N1)pdm09. Annual estimates from different model parameterizations were strongly correlated, as were estimates for mortality and morbidity; the higher A(H1N1)pdm09 burden in younger age groups was the most notable exception.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="INTERPRETATION" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">With the exception of some of the Serfling models, differences in the ecological estimates of the disease burden attributable to influenza were small in comparison to the variation in disease burden from one season to another.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Schanzer</LastName><ForeName>Dena L</ForeName><Initials>DL</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Communicable Diseases and Infection Control, Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Sevenhuysen</LastName><ForeName>Claire</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Winchester</LastName><ForeName>Brian</ForeName><Initials>B</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mersereau</LastName><ForeName>Teresa</ForeName><Initials>T</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016456">Historical Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2013</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>27</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>United States</Country><MedlineTA>PLoS One</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101285081</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1932-6203</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000465" MajorTopicYN="N">Algorithms</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002170" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Canada</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D049673" MajorTopicYN="N">History, 20th Century</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D049674" MajorTopicYN="N">History, 21st Century</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006760" MajorTopicYN="N">Hospitalization</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D053118" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000266" MajorTopicYN="N">history</QualifierName><QualifierName UI="Q000401" MajorTopicYN="Y">mortality</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015233" MajorTopicYN="N">Models, Statistical</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D009017" MajorTopicYN="N">Morbidity</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015203" MajorTopicYN="N">Reproducibility of Results</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2013</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>01</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2013</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>11</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2013</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>7</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2013</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>7</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2014</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>12</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>epublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">24312225</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0080481</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">PONE-D-13-27188</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC3842334</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>BMC Infect Dis. 2011 Apr 12;11:90</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">21486453</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Med Care. 2010 Dec;48(12):1105-10</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">20978452</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Eur J Public Health. 2012 Feb;22(1):7-8</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">22190080</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Epidemiology. 2012 Nov;23(6):839-42; 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