Comparing capture-recapture methods for estimation of the size of small and medium-sized populations using empirical data on commercial turkey farms in Canada.
Identifieur interne : 000239 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000238; suivant : 000240Comparing capture-recapture methods for estimation of the size of small and medium-sized populations using empirical data on commercial turkey farms in Canada.
Auteurs : Farouk El Allaki [Canada] ; Jette Christensen [Canada] ; André Vallières [Canada]Source :
- Preventive veterinary medicine [ 1873-1716 ] ; 2015.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- méthodes : Élevage.
- statistiques et données numériques : Élevage.
- épidémiologie : Canada.
- Animaux, Densité de population, Dindons, Modèles linéaires.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Canada.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Canada.
- methods : Animal Husbandry.
- statistics & numerical data : Animal Husbandry.
- Animals, Linear Models, Population Density, Turkeys.
Abstract
The study objectives were (1) to conduct a systematic review of the performance of capture-recapture methods; (2) to use empirical data to estimate population size in a small-sized population (turkey breeder farms) and a medium-sized population (meat turkey farms) by applying two-source capture-recapture methods (the Lincoln-Petersen, the Chapman, and Chao's lower-bound estimators) and multi-source capture-recapture methods (the log-linear modeling and sample coverage approaches); and (3) to compare the performance of these methods in predicting the true population sizes (2007 data). Our set-up was unique in that we knew the population sizes for turkey breeder farms (99) and meat turkey farms (592) in Canada in 2007, which we applied as our true population sizes, and had surveillance data from the Canadian Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance System (2008-2012). We defined each calendar year of sampling as a data source. We confirmed that the two-source capture-recapture methods were sensitive to the violation of the local independence assumption. The log-linear modeling and sample coverage approaches yielded estimates that were closer to the true population sizes than were the estimates provided by the two-source methods for both populations. The performance of both multi-source capture-recapture methods depended on the number of data sources analyzed and the size of the population. Simulation studies are recommended to better understand the limits of each multi-source capture-recapture method.
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.12.004
PubMed: 25542525
Affiliations:
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Electronic address: farouk.elallaki@inspection.gc.ca.</nlm:affiliation><country>Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, 3200 Sicotte St., PO Box 5000, St-Hyacinthe, QC</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>QC</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Christensen, Jette" sort="Christensen, Jette" uniqKey="Christensen J" first="Jette" last="Christensen">Jette Christensen</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Department of Health Management, Atlantic Veterinary College, 550 University Ave., Charlottetown, PEI, Canada C1A 4P3.</nlm:affiliation><country>Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Department of Health Management, Atlantic Veterinary College, 550 University Ave., Charlottetown, PEI</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>PEI</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Vallieres, Andre" sort="Vallieres, Andre" uniqKey="Vallieres A" first="André" last="Vallières">André Vallières</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, 3200 Sicotte St., PO Box 5000, St-Hyacinthe, QC, Canada J2S 7C6.</nlm:affiliation><country>Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, 3200 Sicotte St., PO Box 5000, St-Hyacinthe, QC</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>QC</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2015">2015</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:25542525</idno><idno type="pmid">25542525</idno><idno type="doi">10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.12.004</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000242</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000242</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000242</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Curation">000242</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000242</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Comparing capture-recapture methods for estimation of the size of small and medium-sized populations using empirical data on commercial turkey farms in Canada.</title><author><name sortKey="El Allaki, Farouk" sort="El Allaki, Farouk" uniqKey="El Allaki F" first="Farouk" last="El Allaki">Farouk El Allaki</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, 3200 Sicotte St., PO Box 5000, St-Hyacinthe, QC, Canada J2S 7C6. 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Our set-up was unique in that we knew the population sizes for turkey breeder farms (99) and meat turkey farms (592) in Canada in 2007, which we applied as our true population sizes, and had surveillance data from the Canadian Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance System (2008-2012). We defined each calendar year of sampling as a data source. We confirmed that the two-source capture-recapture methods were sensitive to the violation of the local independence assumption. The log-linear modeling and sample coverage approaches yielded estimates that were closer to the true population sizes than were the estimates provided by the two-source methods for both populations. The performance of both multi-source capture-recapture methods depended on the number of data sources analyzed and the size of the population. Simulation studies are recommended to better understand the limits of each multi-source capture-recapture method.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">25542525</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2016</Year><Month>04</Month><Day>08</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2015</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>04</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1873-1716</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>120</Volume><Issue>1</Issue><PubDate><Year>2015</Year><Month>Jun</Month><Day>01</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Preventive veterinary medicine</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Prev. Vet. Med.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Comparing capture-recapture methods for estimation of the size of small and medium-sized populations using empirical data on commercial turkey farms in Canada.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>86-95</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.12.004</ELocationID><ELocationID EIdType="pii" ValidYN="Y">S0167-5877(14)00415-2</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>The study objectives were (1) to conduct a systematic review of the performance of capture-recapture methods; (2) to use empirical data to estimate population size in a small-sized population (turkey breeder farms) and a medium-sized population (meat turkey farms) by applying two-source capture-recapture methods (the Lincoln-Petersen, the Chapman, and Chao's lower-bound estimators) and multi-source capture-recapture methods (the log-linear modeling and sample coverage approaches); and (3) to compare the performance of these methods in predicting the true population sizes (2007 data). Our set-up was unique in that we knew the population sizes for turkey breeder farms (99) and meat turkey farms (592) in Canada in 2007, which we applied as our true population sizes, and had surveillance data from the Canadian Notifiable Avian Influenza Surveillance System (2008-2012). We defined each calendar year of sampling as a data source. We confirmed that the two-source capture-recapture methods were sensitive to the violation of the local independence assumption. The log-linear modeling and sample coverage approaches yielded estimates that were closer to the true population sizes than were the estimates provided by the two-source methods for both populations. The performance of both multi-source capture-recapture methods depended on the number of data sources analyzed and the size of the population. Simulation studies are recommended to better understand the limits of each multi-source capture-recapture method.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>Crown Copyright © 2014. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>El Allaki</LastName><ForeName>Farouk</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Epidemiology and Surveillance Section, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, 3200 Sicotte St., PO Box 5000, St-Hyacinthe, QC, Canada J2S 7C6. 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