Monitoring Edentulism in Older New Zealand Adults over Two Decades: A Review and Commentary
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Auteurs : William Murray Thomson [Nouvelle-Zélande]Source :
- International Journal of Dentistry [ 1687-8728 ] ; 2012.
Abstract
Historically, New Zealand has had the highest rates of edentulism in the world, but that rate has been falling quickly in recent decades. In 1997, projections were made for edentulism prevalence among 65–74-year-olds using national survey data from 1976 (where it was 72.3%) to 1988 (58.6%). That process assumed a logistic decline in edentulism, given that it would never have been 100% and will never get to 0%. This paper examines the validity of the projections using the estimate (29.6%) from the third national oral health survey, conducted in 2009 and considers the implications of this fall.
Url:
DOI: 10.1155/2012/375407
PubMed: 22927852
PubMed Central: 3423920
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Historically, New Zealand has had the highest rates of edentulism in the world, but that rate has been falling quickly in recent decades. In 1997, projections were made for edentulism prevalence among 65–74-year-olds using national survey data from 1976 (where it was 72.3%) to 1988 (58.6%). That process assumed a logistic decline in edentulism, given that it would never have been 100% and will never get to 0%. This paper examines the validity of the projections using the estimate (29.6%) from the third national oral health survey, conducted in 2009 and considers the implications of this fall.</p>
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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Int J Dent</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Int J Dent</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">IJD</journal-id>
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<issn pub-type="ppub">1687-8728</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1687-8736</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Hindawi Publishing Corporation</publisher-name>
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<article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3423920</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1155/2012/375407</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Review Article</subject>
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<title-group><article-title>Monitoring Edentulism in Older New Zealand Adults over Two Decades: A Review and Commentary</article-title>
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<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Thomson</surname>
<given-names>William Murray</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="I1"></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">*</xref>
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<aff id="I1"> Sir John Walsh Research Institute, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand</aff>
<author-notes><corresp id="cor1">*William Murray Thomson: <email>murray.thomson@otago.ac.nz</email>
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<fn fn-type="other"><p>Academic Editor: Claudio R. Leles</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>9</day>
<month>8</month>
<year>2012</year>
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<volume>2012</volume>
<elocation-id>375407</elocation-id>
<history><date date-type="received"><day>8</day>
<month>5</month>
<year>2012</year>
</date>
<date date-type="rev-recd"><day>15</day>
<month>7</month>
<year>2012</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted"><day>22</day>
<month>7</month>
<year>2012</year>
</date>
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<permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright © 2012 William Murray Thomson.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2012</copyright-year>
<license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/"><license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract><p>Historically, New Zealand has had the highest rates of edentulism in the world, but that rate has been falling quickly in recent decades. In 1997, projections were made for edentulism prevalence among 65–74-year-olds using national survey data from 1976 (where it was 72.3%) to 1988 (58.6%). That process assumed a logistic decline in edentulism, given that it would never have been 100% and will never get to 0%. This paper examines the validity of the projections using the estimate (29.6%) from the third national oral health survey, conducted in 2009 and considers the implications of this fall.</p>
</abstract>
</article-meta>
</front>
<floats-group><fig id="fig1" orientation="portrait" position="float"><label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Decline in edentulism prevalence among New Zealand 65–74-year-olds, showing actual estimates from the 1976, 1988, and 2009 national oral health surveys, along with logistic line fitted in 1997 using the 1976 and 1988 estimates (2009 data point depicts 95% confidence interval).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="IJD2012-375407.001"></graphic>
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