Ecological niche modeling of coastal dune plants and future potential distribution in response to climate change and sea level rise.
Identifieur interne : 000275 ( Ncbi/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000274; suivant : 000276Ecological niche modeling of coastal dune plants and future potential distribution in response to climate change and sea level rise.
Auteurs : Gabriela Mendoza-González [Mexique] ; M Luisa Martínez ; Octavio R. Rojas-Soto ; Gabriela Vázquez ; Juan B. Gallego-FernándezSource :
- Global change biology [ 1354-1013 ] ; 2013.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- physiology : Magnoliopsida.
- Climate Change, Ecosystem, Mexico, Models, Biological, Plant Dispersal.
Abstract
Climate change (CC) and sea level rise (SLR) are phenomena that could have severe impacts on the distribution of coastal dune vegetation. To explore this we modeled the climatic niches of six coastal dunes plant species that grow along the shoreline of the Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula, and projected climatic niches to future potential distributions based on two CC scenarios and SLR projections. Our analyses suggest that distribution of coastal plants will be severely limited, and more so in the case of local endemics (Chamaecrista chamaecristoides, Palafoxia lindenii, Cakile edentula). The possibilities of inland migration to the potential 'new shoreline' will be limited by human infrastructure and ecosystem alteration that will lead to a 'coastal squeeze' of the coastal habitats. Finally, we identified areas as future potential refuges for the six species in central Gulf of Mexico, and northern Yucatán Peninsula especially under CC and SLR scenarios.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12236
PubMed: 23625760
Affiliations:
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C., Veracruz, México.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr" wicri:curation="lc">Mexique</country><wicri:regionArea>Red de Ecología Funcional, Instituto de Ecología A. C., Veracruz</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Veracruz</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Martinez, M Luisa" sort="Martinez, M Luisa" uniqKey="Martinez M" first="M Luisa" last="Martínez">M Luisa Martínez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Rojas Soto, Octavio R" sort="Rojas Soto, Octavio R" uniqKey="Rojas Soto O" first="Octavio R" last="Rojas-Soto">Octavio R. Rojas-Soto</name></author><author><name sortKey="Vazquez, Gabriela" sort="Vazquez, Gabriela" uniqKey="Vazquez G" first="Gabriela" last="Vázquez">Gabriela Vázquez</name></author><author><name sortKey="Gallego Fernandez, Juan B" sort="Gallego Fernandez, Juan B" uniqKey="Gallego Fernandez J" first="Juan B" last="Gallego-Fernández">Juan B. Gallego-Fernández</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Global change biology</title><idno type="ISSN">1354-1013</idno><imprint><date when="2013" type="published">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Climate Change</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Magnoliopsida (physiology)</term><term>Mexico</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Plant Dispersal</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Dispersion des plantes</term><term>Mexique</term><term>Modèles biologiques</term><term>Écosystème</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="physiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Magnoliopsida</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Climate Change</term><term>Ecosystem</term><term>Mexico</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Plant Dispersal</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Dispersion des plantes</term><term>Mexique</term><term>Modèles biologiques</term><term>Écosystème</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Climate change (CC) and sea level rise (SLR) are phenomena that could have severe impacts on the distribution of coastal dune vegetation. To explore this we modeled the climatic niches of six coastal dunes plant species that grow along the shoreline of the Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula, and projected climatic niches to future potential distributions based on two CC scenarios and SLR projections. Our analyses suggest that distribution of coastal plants will be severely limited, and more so in the case of local endemics (Chamaecrista chamaecristoides, Palafoxia lindenii, Cakile edentula). The possibilities of inland migration to the potential 'new shoreline' will be limited by human infrastructure and ecosystem alteration that will lead to a 'coastal squeeze' of the coastal habitats. 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Rojas-Soto</name><name sortKey="Vazquez, Gabriela" sort="Vazquez, Gabriela" uniqKey="Vazquez G" first="Gabriela" last="Vázquez">Gabriela Vázquez</name></noCountry><country name="Mexique"><noRegion><name sortKey="Mendoza Gonzalez, Gabriela" sort="Mendoza Gonzalez, Gabriela" uniqKey="Mendoza Gonzalez G" first="Gabriela" last="Mendoza-González">Gabriela Mendoza-González</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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