Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions.
Identifieur interne : 000390 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000389; suivant : 000391Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions.
Auteurs : Zhihua Liu [République populaire de Chine] ; Pierre Magal [France] ; Ousmane Seydi [Sénégal] ; Glenn Webb [États-Unis]Source :
- Biology [ 2079-7737 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
We develop a mathematical model to provide epidemic predictions for the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China. We use reported case data up to 31 January 2020 from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission to parameterize the model. From the parameterized model, we identify the number of unreported cases. We then use the model to project the epidemic forward with varying levels of public health interventions. The model predictions emphasize the importance of major public health interventions in controlling COVID-19 epidemics.
DOI: 10.3390/biology9030050
PubMed: 32182724
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The model predictions emphasize the importance of major public health interventions in controlling COVID-19 epidemics.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="PubMed-not-MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">32182724</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month><Day>18</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Print">2079-7737</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Print"><Volume>9</Volume><Issue>3</Issue><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>Mar</Month><Day>08</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Biology</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Biology (Basel)</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions.</ArticleTitle><ELocationID EIdType="pii" ValidYN="Y">E50</ELocationID><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.3390/biology9030050</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>We develop a mathematical model to provide epidemic predictions for the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China. 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