Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020.
Identifieur interne : 000383 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000382; suivant : 000384Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020.
Auteurs : Kenji Mizumoto [États-Unis] ; Katsushi Kagaya [Japon] ; Alexander Zarebski [Royaume-Uni] ; Gerardo Chowell [États-Unis]Source :
- Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin [ 1560-7917 ] ; 2020.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections asymptomatiques, Infections à coronavirus (diagnostic), Infections à coronavirus (transmission), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Jeune adulte, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Navires, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Pneumopathie virale (diagnostic), Pneumopathie virale (transmission), Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie), Quarantaine, Répartition par sexe, Répartition par âge, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Voyage.
- MESH :
- diagnostic : Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale.
- épidémiologie : Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections asymptomatiques, Jeune adulte, Modèles statistiques, Mâle, Navires, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Quarantaine, Répartition par sexe, Répartition par âge, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Voyage.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Asymptomatic Infections, Betacoronavirus (genetics), Betacoronavirus (isolation & purification), Child, Child, Preschool, Coronavirus Infections (diagnosis), Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (transmission), Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Pneumonia, Viral (diagnosis), Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Pneumonia, Viral (transmission), Quarantine, Sex Distribution, Ships, Travel, Young Adult.
- MESH :
- diagnosis : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- genetics : Betacoronavirus.
- isolation & purification : Betacoronavirus.
- transmission : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Asymptomatic Infections, Child, Child, Preschool, Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Quarantine, Sex Distribution, Ships, Travel, Young Adult.
Abstract
On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections' timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5-20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180
PubMed: 32183930
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections' timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5-20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.</div>
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