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[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].

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[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].

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RBID : pubmed:32064853

Abstract

Objective: An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China has spread quickly nationwide. Here, we report results of a descriptive, exploratory analysis of all cases diagnosed as of February 11, 2020. Methods: All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China's Infectious Disease Information System. Analyses included: 1) summary of patient characteristics; 2) examination of age distributions and sex ratios; 3) calculation of case fatality and mortality rates; 4) geo-temporal analysis of viral spread; 5) epidemiological curve construction; and 6) subgroup analysis. Results: A total of 72 314 patient records-44 672 (61.8%) confirmed cases, 16 186 (22.4%) suspected cases, 10567 (14.6%) clinical diagnosed cases (Hubei only), and 889 asymptomatic cases (1.2%)-contributed data for the analysis. Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30-79 years (86.6%), diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild (80.9%). A total of 1 023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case-fatality rate of 2.3%. The COVID-19 spread outward from Hubei sometime after December 2019 and by February 11, 2020, 1 386 counties across all 31 provinces were affected. The epidemic curve of onset of symptoms peaked in January 23-26, then began to decline leading up to February 11. A total of 1 716 health workers have become infected and 5 have died (0.3%). Conclusions: The COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly. It only took 30 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of Mainland China. With many people returning from a long holiday, China needs to prepare for the possible rebound of the epidemic.

DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.02.003
PubMed: 32064853

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pubmed:32064853

Le document en format XML

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<title xml:lang="en">[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].</title>
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<title xml:lang="en">[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].</title>
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<b>Objective:</b>
An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China has spread quickly nationwide. Here, we report results of a descriptive, exploratory analysis of all cases diagnosed as of February 11, 2020.
<b>Methods:</b>
All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China's Infectious Disease Information System. Analyses included: 1) summary of patient characteristics; 2) examination of age distributions and sex ratios; 3) calculation of case fatality and mortality rates; 4) geo-temporal analysis of viral spread; 5) epidemiological curve construction; and 6) subgroup analysis.
<b>Results:</b>
A total of 72 314 patient records-44 672 (61.8%) confirmed cases, 16 186 (22.4%) suspected cases, 10567 (14.6%) clinical diagnosed cases (Hubei only), and 889 asymptomatic cases (1.2%)-contributed data for the analysis. Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30-79 years (86.6%), diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild (80.9%). A total of 1 023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case-fatality rate of 2.3%. The COVID-19 spread outward from Hubei sometime after December 2019 and by February 11, 2020, 1 386 counties across all 31 provinces were affected. The epidemic curve of onset of symptoms peaked in January 23-26, then began to decline leading up to February 11. A total of 1 716 health workers have become infected and 5 have died (0.3%).
<b>Conclusions:</b>
The COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly. It only took 30 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of Mainland China. With many people returning from a long holiday, China needs to prepare for the possible rebound of the epidemic.</div>
</front>
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<pubmed>
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<PMID Version="1">32064853</PMID>
<DateRevised>
<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>17</Day>
</DateRevised>
<Article PubModel="Print-Electronic">
<Journal>
<ISSN IssnType="Print">0254-6450</ISSN>
<JournalIssue CitedMedium="Print">
<Volume>41</Volume>
<Issue>2</Issue>
<PubDate>
<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>Feb</Month>
<Day>17</Day>
</PubDate>
</JournalIssue>
<Title>Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi</ISOAbbreviation>
</Journal>
<ArticleTitle>[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination>
<MedlinePgn>145-151</MedlinePgn>
</Pagination>
<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.02.003</ELocationID>
<Abstract>
<AbstractText>
<b>Objective:</b>
An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China has spread quickly nationwide. Here, we report results of a descriptive, exploratory analysis of all cases diagnosed as of February 11, 2020.
<b>Methods:</b>
All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China's Infectious Disease Information System. Analyses included: 1) summary of patient characteristics; 2) examination of age distributions and sex ratios; 3) calculation of case fatality and mortality rates; 4) geo-temporal analysis of viral spread; 5) epidemiological curve construction; and 6) subgroup analysis.
<b>Results:</b>
A total of 72 314 patient records-44 672 (61.8%) confirmed cases, 16 186 (22.4%) suspected cases, 10567 (14.6%) clinical diagnosed cases (Hubei only), and 889 asymptomatic cases (1.2%)-contributed data for the analysis. Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30-79 years (86.6%), diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild (80.9%). A total of 1 023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case-fatality rate of 2.3%. The COVID-19 spread outward from Hubei sometime after December 2019 and by February 11, 2020, 1 386 counties across all 31 provinces were affected. The epidemic curve of onset of symptoms peaked in January 23-26, then began to decline leading up to February 11. A total of 1 716 health workers have become infected and 5 have died (0.3%).
<b>Conclusions:</b>
The COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly. It only took 30 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of Mainland China. With many people returning from a long holiday, China needs to prepare for the possible rebound of the epidemic.</AbstractText>
</Abstract>
<AuthorList CompleteYN="Y">
<Author ValidYN="Y">
<CollectiveName>Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team</CollectiveName>
<AffiliationInfo>
<Affiliation>Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
</AuthorList>
<Language>chi</Language>
<GrantList CompleteYN="Y">
<Grant>
<GrantID>2018ZX10201002-008-002</GrantID>
<Agency>Research Based on Epidemic Law of Animal-derived Influenza and Related Influencing Factors, National Science and Technology Foundation of China</Agency>
<Country></Country>
</Grant>
<Grant>
<GrantID>71934002</GrantID>
<Agency>Research on Public Health Risk Prevention and Model Innovation under the Background of "the belt and road initiative", National Natural Science Foundation of China</Agency>
<Country></Country>
</Grant>
</GrantList>
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<PublicationType UI="D004740">English Abstract</PublicationType>
<PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType>
</PublicationTypeList>
<ArticleDate DateType="Electronic">
<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>17</Day>
</ArticleDate>
</Article>
<MedlineJournalInfo>
<Country>China</Country>
<MedlineTA>Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi</MedlineTA>
<NlmUniqueID>8208604</NlmUniqueID>
<ISSNLinking>0254-6450</ISSNLinking>
</MedlineJournalInfo>
<CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset>
<OtherAbstract Type="Publisher" Language="chi">
<AbstractText>
<b>目的:</b>
新型冠状病毒肺炎在武汉暴发流行以来,已在全国范围内蔓延。对截至2020年2月11日中国内地报告所有病例的流行病学特征进行描述和分析。
<b>方法:</b>
选取截至2020年2月11日中国内地传染病报告信息系统中上报所有新型冠状病毒肺炎病例。分析包括:①患者特征; ②病死率;③年龄分布和性别比例;④疾病传播的时空特点; ⑤所有病例、湖北省以外病例和医务人员病例的流行病学曲线。
<b>结果:</b>
中国内地共报告72 314例病例,其中确诊病例44 672例(61.8%),疑似病例16 186例(22.4%),临床诊断病例10 567例(14.6%),无症状感染者889例(1.2%)。在确诊病例中,大多数年龄在30~79岁(86.6%),湖北省(74.7%),轻症病例为主(80.9%)。确诊病例中,死亡1 023例,粗病死率为2.3%。个案调查结果提示,疫情在2019年12月从湖北向外传播,截至2020年2月11日,全国31个省的1 386个县区受到了影响。流行曲线显示在1月23-26日左右达到峰值,并且观察到发病数下降趋势。截至2月11日,共有1 716名医务工作者感染,其中5人死亡,粗病死率为0.3%。
<b>结论:</b>
新型冠状病毒肺炎传播流行迅速,从首次报告病例日后30 d蔓延至31个省(区/市),疫情在1月24-26日达到首个流行峰,2月1日出现单日发病异常高值,而后逐渐下降。随着人们返回工作岗位,需积极应对可能出现的疫情反弹。.</AbstractText>
</OtherAbstract>
<KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM">
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">2019 Novel Coronavirus</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Epidemiological characteristics</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Outbreak</Keyword>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez">
<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>2</Month>
<Day>18</Day>
<Hour>6</Hour>
<Minute>0</Minute>
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<Day>18</Day>
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<Minute>0</Minute>
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<Year>2020</Year>
<Month>2</Month>
<Day>18</Day>
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<ArticleId IdType="doi">10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.02.003</ArticleId>
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<list></list>
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