Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.
Identifieur interne : 000195 ( an2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000194; suivant : 000196Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.
Auteurs : Zhanwei Du ; Lin Wang ; Simon Cauchemez ; Xiaoke Xu ; Xianwen Wang ; Benjamin J. Cowling ; Lauren Ancel MeyersSource :
- Emerging infectious diseases [ 1080-6059 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
DOI: 10.3201/eid2605.200146
PubMed: 32053479
Affiliations:
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.</div>
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<name sortKey="Du, Zhanwei" sort="Du, Zhanwei" uniqKey="Du Z" first="Zhanwei" last="Du">Zhanwei Du</name>
<name sortKey="Meyers, Lauren Ancel" sort="Meyers, Lauren Ancel" uniqKey="Meyers L" first="Lauren Ancel" last="Meyers">Lauren Ancel Meyers</name>
<name sortKey="Wang, Lin" sort="Wang, Lin" uniqKey="Wang L" first="Lin" last="Wang">Lin Wang</name>
<name sortKey="Wang, Xianwen" sort="Wang, Xianwen" uniqKey="Wang X" first="Xianwen" last="Wang">Xianwen Wang</name>
<name sortKey="Xu, Xiaoke" sort="Xu, Xiaoke" uniqKey="Xu X" first="Xiaoke" last="Xu">Xiaoke Xu</name>
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