COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.
Identifieur interne : 000413 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 000412; suivant : 000414COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.
Auteurs : J. Rocklöv [Suède] ; H. Sjödin [Suède] ; A. Wilder-Smith [Suède]Source :
- Journal of travel medicine [ 1708-8305 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Cruise ships carry a large number of people in confined spaces with relative homogeneous mixing. On 3 February, 2020, an outbreak of COVID-19 on cruise ship Diamond Princess was reported with 10 initial cases, following an index case on board around 21-25 January. By 4 February, public health measures such as removal and isolation of ill passengers and quarantine of non-ill passengers were implemented. By 20 February, 619 of 3,700 passengers and crew (17%) were tested positive.
DOI: 10.1093/jtm/taaa030
PubMed: 32109273
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream PubMed, to step Corpus: Pour aller vers cette notice dans l'étape Curation :000413
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:32109273Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.</title><author><name sortKey="Rocklov, J" sort="Rocklov, J" uniqKey="Rocklov J" first="J" last="Rocklöv">J. Rocklöv</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sjodin, H" sort="Sjodin, H" uniqKey="Sjodin H" first="H" last="Sjödin">H. Sjödin</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wilder Smith, A" sort="Wilder Smith, A" uniqKey="Wilder Smith A" first="A" last="Wilder-Smith">A. Wilder-Smith</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2020">2020</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:32109273</idno><idno type="pmid">32109273</idno><idno type="doi">10.1093/jtm/taaa030</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000413</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000413</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000413</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000413</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.</title><author><name sortKey="Rocklov, J" sort="Rocklov, J" uniqKey="Rocklov J" first="J" last="Rocklöv">J. Rocklöv</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sjodin, H" sort="Sjodin, H" uniqKey="Sjodin H" first="H" last="Sjödin">H. Sjödin</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wilder Smith, A" sort="Wilder Smith, A" uniqKey="Wilder Smith A" first="A" last="Wilder-Smith">A. Wilder-Smith</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Journal of travel medicine</title><idno type="eISSN">1708-8305</idno><imprint><date when="2020" type="published">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Cruise ships carry a large number of people in confined spaces with relative homogeneous mixing. On 3 February, 2020, an outbreak of COVID-19 on cruise ship Diamond Princess was reported with 10 initial cases, following an index case on board around 21-25 January. By 4 February, public health measures such as removal and isolation of ill passengers and quarantine of non-ill passengers were implemented. By 20 February, 619 of 3,700 passengers and crew (17%) were tested positive.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="Publisher" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">32109273</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>02</Month><Day>28</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1708-8305</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>Feb</Month><Day>28</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Journal of travel medicine</Title><ISOAbbreviation>J Travel Med</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.</ArticleTitle><ELocationID EIdType="pii" ValidYN="Y">taaa030</ELocationID><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1093/jtm/taaa030</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">Cruise ships carry a large number of people in confined spaces with relative homogeneous mixing. On 3 February, 2020, an outbreak of COVID-19 on cruise ship Diamond Princess was reported with 10 initial cases, following an index case on board around 21-25 January. By 4 February, public health measures such as removal and isolation of ill passengers and quarantine of non-ill passengers were implemented. By 20 February, 619 of 3,700 passengers and crew (17%) were tested positive.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We estimated the basic reproduction number from the initial period of the outbreak using (SEIR) models. We calibrated the models with transient functions of countermeasures to incidence data. We additionally estimated a counterfactual scenario in absence of countermeasures, and established a model stratified by crew and guests to study the impact of differential contact rates among the groups. We also compared scenarios of an earlier versus later evacuation of the ship.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">The basic reproduction rate was initially 4 times higher on-board compared to the ${R}_0$ in the epicentre in Wuhan, but the countermeasures lowered it substantially. Based on the modeled initial ${R}_0$ of 14.8, we estimated that without any interventions within the time period of 21 January to 19 February, 2920 out of the 3700 (79%) would have been infected. Isolation and quarantine therefore prevented 2307 cases, and lowered the ${R}_0$ to 1.78. We showed that an early evacuation of all passengers on 3 February would have been associated with 76 infected persons in their incubation time.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">The cruise ship conditions clearly amplified an already highly transmissible disease. The public health measures prevented more than 2000 additional cases compared to no interventions. However, evacuating all passengers and crew early on in the outbreak would have prevented many more passengers and crew from infection.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>© International Society of Travel Medicine 2019. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Rocklöv</LastName><ForeName>J</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Sjödin</LastName><ForeName>H</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wilder-Smith</LastName><ForeName>A</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, University of Heidelberg, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2020</Year><Month>02</Month><Day>28</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>J Travel Med</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>9434456</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1195-1982</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">SARS-CoV-2</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">basic reproduction number</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">coronavirus</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">evacuation</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">incubation time</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">isolation and quarantine</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>29</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>29</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>29</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>aheadofprint</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32109273</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">5766334</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1093/jtm/taaa030</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Wicri/Sante/explor/CovidV1/Data/PubMed/Curation
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000413 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/biblio.hfd -nk 000413 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Wicri/Sante
|area= CovidV1
|flux= PubMed
|étape= Curation
|type= RBID
|clé= pubmed:32109273
|texte= COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:32109273" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/PubMed/Curation/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a CovidV1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |