Serveur d'exploration COVID et hydrochloroquine

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Effect of pre-exposure use of hydroxychloroquine on COVID-19 mortality: a population-based cohort study in patients with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus using the OpenSAFELY platform.

Identifieur interne : 000624 ( Main/Corpus ); précédent : 000623; suivant : 000625

Effect of pre-exposure use of hydroxychloroquine on COVID-19 mortality: a population-based cohort study in patients with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus using the OpenSAFELY platform.

Auteurs : Christopher T. Rentsch ; Nicholas J. Devito ; Brian Mackenna ; Caroline E. Morton ; Krishnan Bhaskaran ; Jeremy P. Brown ; Anna Schultze ; William J. Hulme ; Richard Croker ; Alex J. Walker ; Elizabeth J. Williamson ; Chris Bates ; Seb Bacon ; Amir Mehrkar ; Helen J. Curtis ; David Evans ; Kevin Wing ; Peter Inglesby ; Rohini Mathur ; Henry Drysdale ; Angel Y S. Wong ; Helen I. Mcdonald ; Jonathan Cockburn ; Harriet Forbes ; John Parry ; Frank Hester ; Sam Harper ; Liam Smeeth ; Ian J. Douglas ; William G. Dixon ; Stephen J W. Evans ; Laurie Tomlinson ; Ben Goldacre

Source :

RBID : pubmed:33349815

Abstract

Background

Hydroxychloroquine has been shown to inhibit entry of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) into epithelial cells in vitro, but clinical studies found no evidence of reduced mortality when treating patients with COVID-19. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine for prevention of COVID-19 mortality, as opposed to treatment for the disease.

Methods

We did a prespecified observational, population-based cohort study using national primary care data and linked death registrations in the OpenSAFELY platform, which covers approximately 40% of the general population in England, UK. We included all adults aged 18 years and older registered with a general practice for 1 year or more on March 1, 2020. We used Cox regression to estimate the association between ongoing routine hydroxychloroquine use before the COVID-19 outbreak in England (considered as March 1, 2020) compared with non-users of hydroxychloroquine and risk of COVID-19 mortality among people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus. Model adjustment was informed by a directed acyclic graph.

Findings

Between Sept 1, 2019, and March 1, 2020, of 194 637 people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus, 30 569 (15·7%) received two or more prescriptions of hydroxychloroquine. Between March 1 and July 13, 2020, there were 547 COVID-19 deaths, 70 among hydroxychloroquine users. Estimated standardised cumulative COVID-19 mortality was 0·23% (95% CI 0·18 to 0·29) among users and 0·22% (0·20 to 0·25) among non-users; an absolute difference of 0·008% (-0·051 to 0·066). After accounting for age, sex, ethnicity, use of other immunosuppressive drugs, and geographical region, no association with COVID-19 mortality was observed (HR 1·03, 95% CI 0·80 to 1·33). We found no evidence of interactions with age or other immunosuppressive drugs. Quantitative bias analyses indicated that our observed associations were robust to missing information for additional biologic treatments for rheumatological disease. We observed similar associations with the negative control outcome of non-COVID-19 mortality.

Interpretation

We found no evidence of a difference in COVID-19 mortality among people who received hydroxychloroquine for treatment of rheumatological disease before the COVID-19 outbreak in England. Therefore, completion of randomised trials investigating pre-exposure prophylactic use of hydroxychloroquine for prevention of severe outcomes from COVID-19 are warranted.

Funding

Medical Research Council.


DOI: 10.1016/S2665-9913(20)30378-7
PubMed: 33349815
PubMed Central: PMC7745258

Links to Exploration step

pubmed:33349815

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<name sortKey="Mehrkar, Amir" sort="Mehrkar, Amir" uniqKey="Mehrkar A" first="Amir" last="Mehrkar">Amir Mehrkar</name>
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<name sortKey="Wong, Angel Y S" sort="Wong, Angel Y S" uniqKey="Wong A" first="Angel Y S" last="Wong">Angel Y S. Wong</name>
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<name sortKey="Cockburn, Jonathan" sort="Cockburn, Jonathan" uniqKey="Cockburn J" first="Jonathan" last="Cockburn">Jonathan Cockburn</name>
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<name sortKey="Smeeth, Liam" sort="Smeeth, Liam" uniqKey="Smeeth L" first="Liam" last="Smeeth">Liam Smeeth</name>
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<name sortKey="Douglas, Ian J" sort="Douglas, Ian J" uniqKey="Douglas I" first="Ian J" last="Douglas">Ian J. Douglas</name>
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<name sortKey="Dixon, William G" sort="Dixon, William G" uniqKey="Dixon W" first="William G" last="Dixon">William G. Dixon</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Evans, Stephen J W" sort="Evans, Stephen J W" uniqKey="Evans S" first="Stephen J W" last="Evans">Stephen J W. Evans</name>
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<name sortKey="Tomlinson, Laurie" sort="Tomlinson, Laurie" uniqKey="Tomlinson L" first="Laurie" last="Tomlinson">Laurie Tomlinson</name>
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<title xml:lang="en">Effect of pre-exposure use of hydroxychloroquine on COVID-19 mortality: a population-based cohort study in patients with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus using the OpenSAFELY platform.</title>
<author>
<name sortKey="Rentsch, Christopher T" sort="Rentsch, Christopher T" uniqKey="Rentsch C" first="Christopher T" last="Rentsch">Christopher T. Rentsch</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
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<name sortKey="Devito, Nicholas J" sort="Devito, Nicholas J" uniqKey="Devito N" first="Nicholas J" last="Devito">Nicholas J. Devito</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Mackenna, Brian" sort="Mackenna, Brian" uniqKey="Mackenna B" first="Brian" last="Mackenna">Brian Mackenna</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Morton, Caroline E" sort="Morton, Caroline E" uniqKey="Morton C" first="Caroline E" last="Morton">Caroline E. Morton</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Bhaskaran, Krishnan" sort="Bhaskaran, Krishnan" uniqKey="Bhaskaran K" first="Krishnan" last="Bhaskaran">Krishnan Bhaskaran</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Brown, Jeremy P" sort="Brown, Jeremy P" uniqKey="Brown J" first="Jeremy P" last="Brown">Jeremy P. Brown</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Schultze, Anna" sort="Schultze, Anna" uniqKey="Schultze A" first="Anna" last="Schultze">Anna Schultze</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Hulme, William J" sort="Hulme, William J" uniqKey="Hulme W" first="William J" last="Hulme">William J. Hulme</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Croker, Richard" sort="Croker, Richard" uniqKey="Croker R" first="Richard" last="Croker">Richard Croker</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Walker, Alex J" sort="Walker, Alex J" uniqKey="Walker A" first="Alex J" last="Walker">Alex J. Walker</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Williamson, Elizabeth J" sort="Williamson, Elizabeth J" uniqKey="Williamson E" first="Elizabeth J" last="Williamson">Elizabeth J. Williamson</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Bates, Chris" sort="Bates, Chris" uniqKey="Bates C" first="Chris" last="Bates">Chris Bates</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The Phoenix Partnership, Horsforth, Leeds, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Bacon, Seb" sort="Bacon, Seb" uniqKey="Bacon S" first="Seb" last="Bacon">Seb Bacon</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Mehrkar, Amir" sort="Mehrkar, Amir" uniqKey="Mehrkar A" first="Amir" last="Mehrkar">Amir Mehrkar</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Curtis, Helen J" sort="Curtis, Helen J" uniqKey="Curtis H" first="Helen J" last="Curtis">Helen J. Curtis</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Evans, David" sort="Evans, David" uniqKey="Evans D" first="David" last="Evans">David Evans</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Wing, Kevin" sort="Wing, Kevin" uniqKey="Wing K" first="Kevin" last="Wing">Kevin Wing</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Inglesby, Peter" sort="Inglesby, Peter" uniqKey="Inglesby P" first="Peter" last="Inglesby">Peter Inglesby</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Mathur, Rohini" sort="Mathur, Rohini" uniqKey="Mathur R" first="Rohini" last="Mathur">Rohini Mathur</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Drysdale, Henry" sort="Drysdale, Henry" uniqKey="Drysdale H" first="Henry" last="Drysdale">Henry Drysdale</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Wong, Angel Y S" sort="Wong, Angel Y S" uniqKey="Wong A" first="Angel Y S" last="Wong">Angel Y S. Wong</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Mcdonald, Helen I" sort="Mcdonald, Helen I" uniqKey="Mcdonald H" first="Helen I" last="Mcdonald">Helen I. Mcdonald</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Cockburn, Jonathan" sort="Cockburn, Jonathan" uniqKey="Cockburn J" first="Jonathan" last="Cockburn">Jonathan Cockburn</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The Phoenix Partnership, Horsforth, Leeds, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Forbes, Harriet" sort="Forbes, Harriet" uniqKey="Forbes H" first="Harriet" last="Forbes">Harriet Forbes</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Parry, John" sort="Parry, John" uniqKey="Parry J" first="John" last="Parry">John Parry</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The Phoenix Partnership, Horsforth, Leeds, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Hester, Frank" sort="Hester, Frank" uniqKey="Hester F" first="Frank" last="Hester">Frank Hester</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The Phoenix Partnership, Horsforth, Leeds, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Harper, Sam" sort="Harper, Sam" uniqKey="Harper S" first="Sam" last="Harper">Sam Harper</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>The Phoenix Partnership, Horsforth, Leeds, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Smeeth, Liam" sort="Smeeth, Liam" uniqKey="Smeeth L" first="Liam" last="Smeeth">Liam Smeeth</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Douglas, Ian J" sort="Douglas, Ian J" uniqKey="Douglas I" first="Ian J" last="Douglas">Ian J. Douglas</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Dixon, William G" sort="Dixon, William G" uniqKey="Dixon W" first="William G" last="Dixon">William G. Dixon</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Evans, Stephen J W" sort="Evans, Stephen J W" uniqKey="Evans S" first="Stephen J W" last="Evans">Stephen J W. Evans</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:affiliation>Electronic Health Records Research Group, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Tomlinson, Laurie" sort="Tomlinson, Laurie" uniqKey="Tomlinson L" first="Laurie" last="Tomlinson">Laurie Tomlinson</name>
<affiliation>
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<author>
<name sortKey="Goldacre, Ben" sort="Goldacre, Ben" uniqKey="Goldacre B" first="Ben" last="Goldacre">Ben Goldacre</name>
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<nlm:affiliation>The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.</nlm:affiliation>
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<title level="j">The Lancet. Rheumatology</title>
<idno type="eISSN">2665-9913</idno>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>Background</b>
</p>
<p>Hydroxychloroquine has been shown to inhibit entry of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) into epithelial cells in vitro, but clinical studies found no evidence of reduced mortality when treating patients with COVID-19. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine for prevention of COVID-19 mortality, as opposed to treatment for the disease.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>Methods</b>
</p>
<p>We did a prespecified observational, population-based cohort study using national primary care data and linked death registrations in the OpenSAFELY platform, which covers approximately 40% of the general population in England, UK. We included all adults aged 18 years and older registered with a general practice for 1 year or more on March 1, 2020. We used Cox regression to estimate the association between ongoing routine hydroxychloroquine use before the COVID-19 outbreak in England (considered as March 1, 2020) compared with non-users of hydroxychloroquine and risk of COVID-19 mortality among people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus. Model adjustment was informed by a directed acyclic graph.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>Findings</b>
</p>
<p>Between Sept 1, 2019, and March 1, 2020, of 194 637 people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus, 30 569 (15·7%) received two or more prescriptions of hydroxychloroquine. Between March 1 and July 13, 2020, there were 547 COVID-19 deaths, 70 among hydroxychloroquine users. Estimated standardised cumulative COVID-19 mortality was 0·23% (95% CI 0·18 to 0·29) among users and 0·22% (0·20 to 0·25) among non-users; an absolute difference of 0·008% (-0·051 to 0·066). After accounting for age, sex, ethnicity, use of other immunosuppressive drugs, and geographical region, no association with COVID-19 mortality was observed (HR 1·03, 95% CI 0·80 to 1·33). We found no evidence of interactions with age or other immunosuppressive drugs. Quantitative bias analyses indicated that our observed associations were robust to missing information for additional biologic treatments for rheumatological disease. We observed similar associations with the negative control outcome of non-COVID-19 mortality.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>Interpretation</b>
</p>
<p>We found no evidence of a difference in COVID-19 mortality among people who received hydroxychloroquine for treatment of rheumatological disease before the COVID-19 outbreak in England. Therefore, completion of randomised trials investigating pre-exposure prophylactic use of hydroxychloroquine for prevention of severe outcomes from COVID-19 are warranted.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>Funding</b>
</p>
<p>Medical Research Council.</p>
</div>
</front>
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<ArticleTitle>Effect of pre-exposure use of hydroxychloroquine on COVID-19 mortality: a population-based cohort study in patients with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus using the OpenSAFELY platform.</ArticleTitle>
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<AbstractText Label="Methods" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">We did a prespecified observational, population-based cohort study using national primary care data and linked death registrations in the OpenSAFELY platform, which covers approximately 40% of the general population in England, UK. We included all adults aged 18 years and older registered with a general practice for 1 year or more on March 1, 2020. We used Cox regression to estimate the association between ongoing routine hydroxychloroquine use before the COVID-19 outbreak in England (considered as March 1, 2020) compared with non-users of hydroxychloroquine and risk of COVID-19 mortality among people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus. Model adjustment was informed by a directed acyclic graph.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Findings" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">Between Sept 1, 2019, and March 1, 2020, of 194 637 people with rheumatoid arthritis or systemic lupus erythematosus, 30 569 (15·7%) received two or more prescriptions of hydroxychloroquine. Between March 1 and July 13, 2020, there were 547 COVID-19 deaths, 70 among hydroxychloroquine users. Estimated standardised cumulative COVID-19 mortality was 0·23% (95% CI 0·18 to 0·29) among users and 0·22% (0·20 to 0·25) among non-users; an absolute difference of 0·008% (-0·051 to 0·066). After accounting for age, sex, ethnicity, use of other immunosuppressive drugs, and geographical region, no association with COVID-19 mortality was observed (HR 1·03, 95% CI 0·80 to 1·33). We found no evidence of interactions with age or other immunosuppressive drugs. Quantitative bias analyses indicated that our observed associations were robust to missing information for additional biologic treatments for rheumatological disease. We observed similar associations with the negative control outcome of non-COVID-19 mortality.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Interpretation" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">We found no evidence of a difference in COVID-19 mortality among people who received hydroxychloroquine for treatment of rheumatological disease before the COVID-19 outbreak in England. Therefore, completion of randomised trials investigating pre-exposure prophylactic use of hydroxychloroquine for prevention of severe outcomes from COVID-19 are warranted.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="Funding" NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">Medical Research Council.</AbstractText>
<CopyrightInformation>© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.</CopyrightInformation>
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