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Estimating county-level demand for educational attainment

Identifieur interne : 001897 ( Main/Merge ); précédent : 001896; suivant : 001898

Estimating county-level demand for educational attainment

Auteurs : Stephan J. Goetz [États-Unis] ; David L. Debertin [États-Unis]

Source :

RBID : ISTEX:67651054CA744CB934B7C50A301AF349F1635137

Abstract

A procedure is developed based on “step-down” methods familiar from input-output studies to estimate county-level demands for educational attainment. Data requirements include state-level sector by occupation and educational attainment by occupation, as well as county-level employment by sector numbers. An empirical example is presented using three Kentucky counties—one that is manufacturing-dependent, another that is agriculture-dependent, and a third that is services-dependent. In the manufacturing-dependent county, a larger than expected number of operatives had less than a high school education. In the agriculture-dependent county, and elsewhere, agriculture appears to be an “employer of last resort” for those with minimal formal education. In the service-dependent county, a relatively high proportion of the employees had high school or college education. Potential applications of the technique include dynamic shift-share analyses, rural labor market studies, and long-range regional economic development planning.

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DOI: 10.1016/0038-0121(93)90026-F

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ISTEX:67651054CA744CB934B7C50A301AF349F1635137

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