Rethinking the Causes of Deforestation: Lessons from Economic Models
Identifieur interne : 001231 ( Istex/Curation ); précédent : 001230; suivant : 001232Rethinking the Causes of Deforestation: Lessons from Economic Models
Auteurs : Arild Angelsen ; David KaimowitzSource :
- The World Bank Research Observer [ 0257-3032 ] ; 1999-02.
Abstract
This article, which synthesizes the results of more than 140 economic models analyzing the causes of tropical deforestation, raises significant doubts about many conventional hypotheses in the debate about deforestation. More roads, higher agricultural prices, lower wages, and a shortage of off-farm employment generally lead to more deforestation. How technical change, agricultural input prices, household income levels, and tenure security affect deforestation—if at all—is unknown. The role of macroeconomic factors such as population growth, poverty reduction, national income, economic growth, and foreign debt is also ambiguous. This review, however, finds that policy reforms included in current economic liberalization and adjustment efforts may increase the pressure on forests. Although the boom in deforestation modeling has yielded new insights, weak methodology and poor-quality data make the results of many models questionable.
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DOI: 10.1093/wbro/14.1.73
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Arild Angelsen<affiliation><mods:affiliation>Arild Angelsen is a senior scientist and David Kaimowitz is a principal scientist at the Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia. The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Arild Angelsen is a senior scientist and David Kaimowitz is a principal scientist at the Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia. The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation>Le document en format XML
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The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kaimowitz, David" sort="Kaimowitz, David" uniqKey="Kaimowitz D" first="David" last="Kaimowitz">David Kaimowitz</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Arild Angelsen is a senior scientist and David Kaimowitz is a principal scientist at the Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia. The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">ISTEX</idno><idno type="RBID">ISTEX:1A4485F8E7B1189DB0ADE0806FB202EE76AF9B33</idno><date when="1999" year="1999">1999</date><idno type="doi">10.1093/wbro/14.1.73</idno><idno type="url">https://api.istex.fr/document/1A4485F8E7B1189DB0ADE0806FB202EE76AF9B33/fulltext/pdf</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Corpus">001306</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Istex" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="ISTEX">001306</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Curation">001231</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title level="a">Rethinking the Causes of Deforestation: Lessons from Economic Models</title><author><name sortKey="Angelsen, Arild" sort="Angelsen, Arild" uniqKey="Angelsen A" first="Arild" last="Angelsen">Arild Angelsen</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Arild Angelsen is a senior scientist and David Kaimowitz is a principal scientist at the Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia. The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kaimowitz, David" sort="Kaimowitz, David" uniqKey="Kaimowitz D" first="David" last="Kaimowitz">David Kaimowitz</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Arild Angelsen is a senior scientist and David Kaimowitz is a principal scientist at the Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia. The authors would like to thank Dennis Dykstra, Stein Holden, Ottar Masstad, David Pearce, and William Sunderlin, who provided comments on a draft version of this paper.</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">paper.</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author></analytic><monogr></monogr><series><title level="j">The World Bank Research Observer</title><idno type="ISSN">0257-3032</idno><idno type="eISSN">1564-6971</idno><imprint><publisher>Oxford University Press</publisher><date type="published" when="1999-02">1999-02</date><biblScope unit="volume">14</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">1</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="73">73</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="98">98</biblScope></imprint><idno type="ISSN">0257-3032</idno></series><idno type="istex">1A4485F8E7B1189DB0ADE0806FB202EE76AF9B33</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1093/wbro/14.1.73</idno><idno type="ArticleID">14.1.73</idno></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><idno type="ISSN">0257-3032</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract">This article, which synthesizes the results of more than 140 economic models analyzing the causes of tropical deforestation, raises significant doubts about many conventional hypotheses in the debate about deforestation. More roads, higher agricultural prices, lower wages, and a shortage of off-farm employment generally lead to more deforestation. How technical change, agricultural input prices, household income levels, and tenure security affect deforestation—if at all—is unknown. The role of macroeconomic factors such as population growth, poverty reduction, national income, economic growth, and foreign debt is also ambiguous. This review, however, finds that policy reforms included in current economic liberalization and adjustment efforts may increase the pressure on forests. Although the boom in deforestation modeling has yielded new insights, weak methodology and poor-quality data make the results of many models questionable.</div></front></TEI></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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