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Impact of the 2003 heatwave on all-cause mortality in 9 French cities.

Identifieur interne : 000287 ( PubMed/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000286; suivant : 000288

Impact of the 2003 heatwave on all-cause mortality in 9 French cities.

Auteurs : Alain Le Tertre [France] ; Agnès Lefranc ; Daniel Eilstein ; Christophe Declercq ; Sylvia Medina ; Myriam Blanchard ; Benoît Chardon ; Pascal Fabre ; Laurent Filleul ; Jean-François Jusot ; Laurence Pascal ; Hélène Prouvost ; Sylvie Cassadou ; Martine Ledrans

Source :

RBID : pubmed:16357598

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

A heatwave occurred in France in August 2003, with an accompanying excess of all-cause mortality. This study quantifies this excess mortality and investigates a possible harvesting effect in the few weeks after the heatwave.

PubMed: 16357598


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pubmed:16357598

Le document en format XML

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<nlm:affiliation>Environmental Health Department, Institut de Veille Sanitaire, Paris, France. a.letertre@invs.sante.fr</nlm:affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Blanchard, Myriam" sort="Blanchard, Myriam" uniqKey="Blanchard M" first="Myriam" last="Blanchard">Myriam Blanchard</name>
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<name sortKey="Chardon, Benoit" sort="Chardon, Benoit" uniqKey="Chardon B" first="Benoît" last="Chardon">Benoît Chardon</name>
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<name sortKey="Medina, Sylvia" sort="Medina, Sylvia" uniqKey="Medina S" first="Sylvia" last="Medina">Sylvia Medina</name>
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<name sortKey="Blanchard, Myriam" sort="Blanchard, Myriam" uniqKey="Blanchard M" first="Myriam" last="Blanchard">Myriam Blanchard</name>
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<name sortKey="Chardon, Benoit" sort="Chardon, Benoit" uniqKey="Chardon B" first="Benoît" last="Chardon">Benoît Chardon</name>
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<name sortKey="Ledrans, Martine" sort="Ledrans, Martine" uniqKey="Ledrans M" first="Martine" last="Ledrans">Martine Ledrans</name>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">A heatwave occurred in France in August 2003, with an accompanying excess of all-cause mortality. This study quantifies this excess mortality and investigates a possible harvesting effect in the few weeks after the heatwave.</div>
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<Month>12</Month>
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<DateCompleted>
<Year>2006</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>24</Day>
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<ArticleTitle>Impact of the 2003 heatwave on all-cause mortality in 9 French cities.</ArticleTitle>
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<AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">A heatwave occurred in France in August 2003, with an accompanying excess of all-cause mortality. This study quantifies this excess mortality and investigates a possible harvesting effect in the few weeks after the heatwave.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">A time-series study using a Poisson regression model with regression splines to control for nonlinear confounders was used to analyze the correlation between heatwave variable and mortality in 9 French cities.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">After controlling for long-term and seasonal time trends and the usual effects of temperature and air pollution, we estimated that 3,096 extra deaths resulted from the heatwave. The maximum daily relative risk of mortality during the heatwave (compared with expected deaths at that time of year) ranged from 1.16 in Le Havre to 5.00 in Paris. There was little evidence of mortality displacement in the few weeks after the heatwave, with an estimated deficit of 253 deaths at the end of the period.</AbstractText>
<AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">The heatwave in France during August 2003 was associated with a large increase in the number of deaths. The impact estimated using a time-series design was consistent with crude previous estimates of the impact of the heatwave. This finding suggests that neither air pollution nor long-term and seasonal trends confounded previous estimates. There was no evidence to suggest that the extras deaths associated with the heatwave were simply brought forward in time.</AbstractText>
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