Prospects for Closer Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia
Identifieur interne : 000C84 ( Istex/Corpus ); précédent : 000C83; suivant : 000C85Prospects for Closer Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia
Auteurs : Nathalie Aminian ; Cuauhtémoc CalderonSource :
- Review of Development Economics [ 1363-6669 ] ; 2010-08.
Abstract
In contrast to developments in other world regions, efforts to institutionalize regional economic cooperation in East Asia have been weak. Though Southeast Asian economies have taken action toward trade liberalization (ASEAN Free Trade Area), the major economies of the region such as China, Japan, and Korea have not been part of any formal trade groupings until recently. However, given the slow pace of progress within AFTA and the importance of the Northeast Asian countries in terms of weight in the Asian economy, a de facto Northeast Asian economic cooperation is a necessary condition for East Asian integration. This paper investigates the substance of recent economic cooperation in Northeast Asia. The trilateral economic cooperation is analyzed through examination of trade and direct investment links for 1990–2004, and estimation of selected determinants of direct investment, in particular the relationship between trade and FDI. Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. Bilateral trade has been shown to be statistically insignificant.
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DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2010.00562.x
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Though Southeast Asian economies have taken action toward trade liberalization (ASEAN Free Trade Area), the major economies of the region such as China, Japan, and Korea have not been part of any formal trade groupings until recently. However, given the slow pace of progress within AFTA and the importance of the Northeast Asian countries in terms of weight in the Asian economy, a de facto Northeast Asian economic cooperation is a necessary condition for East Asian integration. This paper investigates the substance of recent economic cooperation in Northeast Asia. The trilateral economic cooperation is analyzed through examination of trade and direct investment links for 1990–2004, and estimation of selected determinants of direct investment, in particular the relationship between trade and FDI. Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. 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Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. 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Tel: 33 (0)2 32 74 41 01; Fax: 33 (0)2 74 40 86; E‐mail: . Calderon: Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Km. 18.5 Carretera Escenica Tijuana, B.C. C.P. 22709 Mexico. Tel: 01 (664) 631 63 00; Fax: 01 (664) 631 63 42; E‐mail: .</p></note><affiliation>Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Mexico</affiliation></author></analytic><monogr><title level="j">Review of Development Economics</title><idno type="pISSN">1363-6669</idno><idno type="eISSN">1467-9361</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/(ISSN)1467-9361</idno><imprint><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><pubPlace>Oxford, UK</pubPlace><date type="published" when="2010-08"></date><biblScope unit="volume">14</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">3</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="417">417</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="432">432</biblScope></imprint></monogr><idno type="istex">8ECB9A3FD21351ED6ACFD665C3BE055A5F54E06D</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/j.1467-9361.2010.00562.x</idno><idno type="ArticleID">RODE562</idno></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><creation><date>2010</date></creation><langUsage><language ident="en">en</language></langUsage><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In contrast to developments in other world regions, efforts to institutionalize regional economic cooperation in East Asia have been weak. 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Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. Bilateral trade has been shown to be statistically insignificant.</p></abstract></profileDesc><revisionDesc><change when="2010-08">Published</change></revisionDesc></teiHeader></istex:fulltextTEI><json:item><original>false</original><mimetype>text/plain</mimetype><extension>txt</extension><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/8ECB9A3FD21351ED6ACFD665C3BE055A5F54E06D/fulltext/txt</uri></json:item></fulltext><metadata><istex:metadataXml wicri:clean="Wiley, elements deleted: body"><istex:xmlDeclaration>version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"</istex:xmlDeclaration><istex:document><component version="2.0" type="serialArticle" xml:lang="en"><header><publicationMeta level="product"><publisherInfo><publisherName>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisherName><publisherLoc>Oxford, UK</publisherLoc></publisherInfo><doi origin="wiley" registered="yes">10.1111/(ISSN)1467-9361</doi><issn type="print">1363-6669</issn><issn type="electronic">1467-9361</issn><idGroup><id type="product" value="RODE"></id><id type="publisherDivision" value="ST"></id></idGroup><titleGroup><title type="main" sort="REVIEW OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS">Review of Development Economics</title></titleGroup></publicationMeta><publicationMeta level="part" position="08003"><doi origin="wiley">10.1111/rode.2010.14.issue-3</doi><titleGroup><title type="specialIssueTitle">Guest Editor: Kar‐yiu Wong</title></titleGroup><numberingGroup><numbering type="journalVolume" number="14">14</numbering><numbering type="journalIssue">3</numbering></numberingGroup><coverDate startDate="2010-08">August 2010</coverDate></publicationMeta><publicationMeta level="unit" type="article" position="2" status="forIssue"><doi origin="wiley">10.1111/j.1467-9361.2010.00562.x</doi><idGroup><id type="unit" value="RODE562"></id></idGroup><countGroup><count type="pageTotal" number="16"></count></countGroup><titleGroup><title type="tocHeading1">Original Articles</title></titleGroup><copyright>© 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd</copyright><eventGroup><event type="firstOnline" date="2010-07-16"></event><event type="publishedOnlineFinalForm" date="2010-07-16"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:BPG_TO_WML3G version:2.3.15 mode:FullText" date="2010-08-02"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:WILEY_ML3G_TO_WILEY_ML3GV2 version:3.8.8" date="2014-02-08"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:WML3G_To_WML3G version:4.1.7 mode:FullText,remove_FC" date="2014-11-03"></event></eventGroup><numberingGroup><numbering type="pageFirst" number="417">417</numbering><numbering type="pageLast" number="432">432</numbering></numberingGroup><correspondenceTo> Aminian: Department of Economics, University of Le Havre, 25 rue Philippe Lebon, BP420, 76057 Le Havre Cedex, France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 74 41 01; Fax: 33 (0)2 74 40 86; E‐mail: <email normalForm="nathalie.aminian@univ-lehavre.fr">nathalie.aminian@univ‐lehavre.fr</email>. Calderon: Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Km. 18.5 Carretera Escenica Tijuana, B.C. C.P. 22709 Mexico. Tel: 01 (664) 631 63 00; Fax: 01 (664) 631 63 42; E‐mail: <email>ccalderon22@hotmail.com</email>.</correspondenceTo><linkGroup><link type="toTypesetVersion" href="file:RODE.RODE562.pdf"></link></linkGroup></publicationMeta><contentMeta><countGroup><count type="figureTotal" number="1"></count><count type="tableTotal" number="4"></count><count type="formulaTotal" number="2"></count><count type="referenceTotal" number="27"></count><count type="wordTotal" number="8031"></count><count type="linksPubMed" number="0"></count><count type="linksCrossRef" number="0"></count></countGroup><titleGroup><title type="main">Prospects for Closer Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia</title><title type="shortAuthors">Nathalie Aminian and Cuauhtémoc Calderon</title><title type="short">CLOSER ECONOMIC COOPERATION IN NORTHEAST ASIA</title></titleGroup><creators><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr1" affiliationRef="#a1"><personName><givenNames>Nathalie</givenNames><familyName>Aminian</familyName></personName></creator><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr2" affiliationRef="#a2" corresponding="yes"><personName><givenNames>Cuauhtémoc</givenNames><familyName>Calderon</familyName></personName></creator></creators><affiliationGroup><affiliation xml:id="a1" countryCode="FR"><unparsedAffiliation>Department of Economics, University of Le Havre, France</unparsedAffiliation></affiliation><affiliation xml:id="a2" countryCode="MX"><unparsedAffiliation>Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Mexico</unparsedAffiliation></affiliation></affiliationGroup><abstractGroup><abstract type="main" xml:lang="en"><title type="main">Abstract</title><p>In contrast to developments in other world regions, efforts to institutionalize regional economic cooperation in East Asia have been weak. Though Southeast Asian economies have taken action toward trade liberalization (ASEAN Free Trade Area), the major economies of the region such as China, Japan, and Korea have not been part of any formal trade groupings until recently. However, given the slow pace of progress within AFTA and the importance of the Northeast Asian countries in terms of weight in the Asian economy, a <i>de facto</i> Northeast Asian economic cooperation is a necessary condition for East Asian integration. This paper investigates the substance of recent economic cooperation in Northeast Asia. The trilateral economic cooperation is analyzed through examination of trade and direct investment links for 1990–2004, and estimation of selected determinants of direct investment, in particular the relationship between trade and FDI. Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. Bilateral trade has been shown to be statistically insignificant.</p></abstract></abstractGroup></contentMeta></header></component></istex:document></istex:metadataXml><mods version="3.6"><titleInfo lang="en"><title>Prospects for Closer Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="abbreviated" lang="en"><title>CLOSER ECONOMIC COOPERATION IN NORTHEAST ASIA</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="alternative" contentType="CDATA" lang="en"><title>Prospects for Closer Economic Cooperation in Northeast Asia</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Nathalie</namePart><namePart type="family">Aminian</namePart><affiliation>Department of Economics, University of Le Havre, France</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Cuauhtémoc</namePart><namePart type="family">Calderon</namePart><affiliation>Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Mexico</affiliation><description>Correspondence: Aminian: Department of Economics, University of Le Havre, 25 rue Philippe Lebon, BP420, 76057 Le Havre Cedex, France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 74 41 01; Fax: 33 (0)2 74 40 86; E‐mail: . Calderon: Departamento de Estudios Economicos, El Colegio de La Frontera Norte, Km. 18.5 Carretera Escenica Tijuana, B.C. C.P. 22709 Mexico. 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Though Southeast Asian economies have taken action toward trade liberalization (ASEAN Free Trade Area), the major economies of the region such as China, Japan, and Korea have not been part of any formal trade groupings until recently. However, given the slow pace of progress within AFTA and the importance of the Northeast Asian countries in terms of weight in the Asian economy, a de facto Northeast Asian economic cooperation is a necessary condition for East Asian integration. This paper investigates the substance of recent economic cooperation in Northeast Asia. The trilateral economic cooperation is analyzed through examination of trade and direct investment links for 1990–2004, and estimation of selected determinants of direct investment, in particular the relationship between trade and FDI. Estimation results suggest that the main driving forces for direct investment outflows from the source country have been the falling‐off of exchange rate risk, the level of the nominal bilateral exchange rates, growth rate of the recipient country, and the per capita GDP gap between source and host countries. 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