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Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation

Identifieur interne : 000351 ( Hal/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000350; suivant : 000352

Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation

Auteurs : Sébastien Bourdin [France] ; Patrice Langlois [France] ; Bernard Elissalde [France] ; Dominique Goyat [France]

Source :

RBID : Hal:hal-00669083

Descripteurs français

Abstract

The aim of this article is to replace the question of the last two enlargements in the debate on the future of the cohesion policy. The interest is to estimate the process of the spatial expression of the convergence and the regional growth in the EU. The spatial statistics and the platform of simulation Geocells will allow to analyze the evolution of the GDP/hab. in the EU 27, the spatial configurations of the regional growth and the impacts of the diverse helps granted in conformity to the criteria of the cohesion policy. In an European Union counting henceforth 27 members, a reflection will be led on the budgetary efforts of redistribution of the European regional policy. In this frame, a prospective approach will present three scenarios of spatial economic development of the European Union putting the dilemma between equity and competitiveness.

Url:
DOI: 10.4000/cybergeo.24779

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Hal:hal-00669083

Le document en format XML

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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The aim of this article is to replace the question of the last two enlargements in the debate on the future of the cohesion policy. The interest is to estimate the process of the spatial expression of the convergence and the regional growth in the EU. The spatial statistics and the platform of simulation Geocells will allow to analyze the evolution of the GDP/hab. in the EU 27, the spatial configurations of the regional growth and the impacts of the diverse helps granted in conformity to the criteria of the cohesion policy. In an European Union counting henceforth 27 members, a reflection will be led on the budgetary efforts of redistribution of the European regional policy. In this frame, a prospective approach will present three scenarios of spatial economic development of the European Union putting the dilemma between equity and competitiveness.</div>
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<idno type="stamp" n="CNRS">CNRS - Centre national de la recherche scientifique</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-CAEN">Université de Caen</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-LEHAVRE">Université du Havre</idno>
<idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-ROUEN">Université de Rouen</idno>
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<title xml:lang="fr">Une approche prospective de la configuration des disparités économiques régionales au sein de l'Union européenne par la modélisation et la simulation</title>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Sébastien</forename>
<surname>Bourdin</surname>
</persName>
<email>bourdin.sebastien@gmail.com</email>
<idno type="halAuthorId">688942</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-182963"></affiliation>
<affiliation ref="#struct-150910"></affiliation>
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<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Patrice</forename>
<surname>Langlois</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halAuthorId">232438</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-97036"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Bernard</forename>
<surname>Elissalde</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halAuthorId">176597</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-182963"></affiliation>
</author>
<author role="aut">
<persName>
<forename type="first">Dominique</forename>
<surname>Goyat</surname>
</persName>
<idno type="halAuthorId">691531</idno>
<affiliation ref="#struct-182963"></affiliation>
</author>
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<monogr>
<idno type="halJournalId" status="VALID">612</idno>
<idno type="issn">1278-3366</idno>
<title level="j">Cybergeo : Revue européenne de géographie / European journal of geography</title>
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<publisher>UMR 8504 Géographie-cités</publisher>
<biblScope unit="volume">document 564</biblScope>
<biblScope unit="pp">27 pages</biblScope>
<date type="datePub">2011-11-15</date>
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<idno type="doi">10.4000/cybergeo.24779</idno>
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<language ident="fr">French</language>
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<keywords scheme="author">
<term xml:lang="fr">politique de cohésion</term>
<term xml:lang="fr">interactions spatiales</term>
<term xml:lang="fr">automate cellulaire</term>
<term xml:lang="fr">autocorrélation spatiale</term>
<term xml:lang="it">cohesion policy</term>
<term xml:lang="it">convergence</term>
<term xml:lang="it">spatial interactions</term>
<term xml:lang="it">cellular automata</term>
<term xml:lang="it">simulation</term>
<term xml:lang="it">spatial autocorrelation</term>
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<classCode scheme="halDomain" n="shs.geo">Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography</classCode>
<classCode scheme="halTypology" n="ART">Journal articles</classCode>
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<abstract xml:lang="en">The aim of this article is to replace the question of the last two enlargements in the debate on the future of the cohesion policy. The interest is to estimate the process of the spatial expression of the convergence and the regional growth in the EU. The spatial statistics and the platform of simulation Geocells will allow to analyze the evolution of the GDP/hab. in the EU 27, the spatial configurations of the regional growth and the impacts of the diverse helps granted in conformity to the criteria of the cohesion policy. In an European Union counting henceforth 27 members, a reflection will be led on the budgetary efforts of redistribution of the European regional policy. In this frame, a prospective approach will present three scenarios of spatial economic development of the European Union putting the dilemma between equity and competitiveness.</abstract>
<abstract xml:lang="fr">L'objectif de cet article est de replacer la question des deux derniers élargissements dans le débat sur le futur de la politique de cohésion. L'intérêt ici est d'évaluer le processus de l'expression spatiale de la convergence et de la croissance régionale dans l'UE. Les statistiques spatiales et la plate-forme de simulation Geocells permettront d'analyser l'évolution du PIB/hab. dans l'UE-27, les configurations spatiales de la croissance régionale et les impacts des diverses aides accordées en conformité aux critères de la politique de cohésion. Dans une Union européenne en période de crise économique et comptant désormais 27 membres, une réflexion sera menée sur les efforts de redistribution budgétaires de la politique régionale européenne. Dans ce cadre, une approche prospective présentera deux scénarios probables de développement économique spatial de l'Union européenne reposant ainsi le dilemme entre équité et compétitivité.</abstract>
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