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Das Problem der Theorienbewertung

Identifieur interne : 001689 ( Istex/Curation ); précédent : 001688; suivant : 001690

Das Problem der Theorienbewertung

Auteurs : Gerard Radnitzky

Source :

RBID : ISTEX:87FB2441279132097C955E605B2709DDCC1A4CBA

Abstract

Summary: O. The idea of scientific progress in contemporary philosophy of science. Explicating the concept of cognitive progress means at the same time articulating an ideal of science. A desirable ideal: explain a lot and offer certainty. 1. Working out the ideal with the “foundationalist-positivist” approach. If the question, “When is it rational to accept a theory?” is answered, “When it has sufficient inductive support,” this leads to insoluble problems. Reactions to the collapse of this approach — especially relativism and theory instrumentalism. 2. The Popperian alternative: rational theory preference despite fallibility of methods for determining truth or greater accuracy of representations. What good reasons can there be for the conjecture that one theory is superior to a competing theory in its achievement as a description? Achievements to date as fallible but objective indicators of strength in describing. The sorts of risks for a theory differ in explanation and in prediction. Corresponding to the risks are the chances for cognitive progress. Instead of a cumulative index, itemized indication of success and failure in explanation and prediction with regard for importance of the questions at issue. On the concept of the “scientific importance” of questions.Postscript: On the political consequences of the sceptical position in philosophy of science.

Url:
DOI: 10.1007/BF01809028

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Gerard Radnitzky
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Summary: O. The idea of scientific progress in contemporary philosophy of science. Explicating the concept of cognitive progress means at the same time articulating an ideal of science. A desirable ideal: explain a lot and offer certainty. 1. Working out the ideal with the “foundationalist-positivist” approach. If the question, “When is it rational to accept a theory?” is answered, “When it has sufficient inductive support,” this leads to insoluble problems. Reactions to the collapse of this approach — especially relativism and theory instrumentalism. 2. The Popperian alternative: rational theory preference despite fallibility of methods for determining truth or greater accuracy of representations. What good reasons can there be for the conjecture that one theory is superior to a competing theory in its achievement as a description? Achievements to date as fallible but objective indicators of strength in describing. The sorts of risks for a theory differ in explanation and in prediction. Corresponding to the risks are the chances for cognitive progress. Instead of a cumulative index, itemized indication of success and failure in explanation and prediction with regard for importance of the questions at issue. On the concept of the “scientific importance” of questions.Postscript: On the political consequences of the sceptical position in philosophy of science.</div>
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