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Modeling spatial and temporal variation of suitable nursery habitats for Atlantic sturgeon in the Chesapeake Bay

Identifieur interne : 000140 ( PascalFrancis/Curation ); précédent : 000139; suivant : 000141

Modeling spatial and temporal variation of suitable nursery habitats for Atlantic sturgeon in the Chesapeake Bay

Auteurs : Edwin J. Niklitschek [Chili] ; David H. Secor [États-Unis]

Source :

RBID : Pascal:05-0329218

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

For rare and endangered species, bioenergetics modeling can represent a valuable approach for understanding issues of habitat value and connectivity among potential habitats within nurseries in restoration programs. We used multivariable bioenergetics and survival models for Atlantic sturgeon to generate spatially explicit maps of potential production in the Chesapeake Bay. For the period 1993-2002, spatial and temporal patterns in water quality effects (temperature, dissolved oxygen [DO] and salinity) on potential production were evaluated. In addition, two forecasted scenarios were modeled: one implementing newly revised U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) DO-criteria for the Chesapeake Bay, and the other assuming a bay-wide increase of 1 °C due to an underlying trend in regional climate. Atlantic sturgeon's low (survival/growth) tolerance to temperatures >28 °C was a critical constraint during their first 1-2 summers of life. Hatched in freshwater (spring to mid-summer), young-of-the-year were predicted to occupy cooler (deeper) areas as temperature approached sub-lethal levels. While most thermal refuges were located down-estuary, a large fraction of potential refuges were unsuitable due to persistent hypoxia and/or salinity levels beyond the limited osmoregulatory capabilities of early juvenile Atlantic sturgeon. As a result, suitable summer habitats for juvenile Atlantic sturgeons in the Chesapeake Bay were predicted to be spatially restricted and variable between years, ranging from 0 to 35% of the modeled bay surface area. In critical (drought) years, almost no summer habitat was predicted to be available for juvenile Atlantic sturgeon. Value and size of nursery habitat was highly sensitive to climatic oscillations and anthropogenic interventions affecting freshwater inflow, water temperature and/or DO. Achieving EPA DO-criteria for the Chesapeake Bay was predicted to increase total suitable habitat by 13% for an average year, while increasing water temperature by just 1 °C bay-wide would reduce suitable habitat by 65%.
pA  
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A08 01  1  ENG  @1 Modeling spatial and temporal variation of suitable nursery habitats for Atlantic sturgeon in the Chesapeake Bay
A09 01  1  ENG  @1 Connectivity in the life cycles of fishes and invertebrates that use estuaries
A11 01  1    @1 NIKLITSCHEK (Edwin J.)
A11 02  1    @1 SECOR (David H.)
A12 01  1    @1 ROOKER (Jay R.) @9 ed.
A12 02  1    @1 SECOR (David H.) @9 ed.
A14 01      @1 Universidad Austral de Chile, Centro Trapananda, Portales 73 @2 Coyhaique XI Region @3 CHL @Z 1 aut.
A14 02      @1 University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Chesapeake Biological Laboratory, I William @2 St. Solomons, MD 20688 @3 USA @Z 2 aut.
A15 01      @1 Chesapeake Biological Laboratory, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, PO Box 38 @2 Solomons, MD 20688 @3 USA @Z 2 aut.
A15 02      @1 Texas A&M University, Department of Marine Biology, 5007 Avenue U @2 Galveston, TX 77551 @3 USA @Z 1 aut.
A18 01  1    @1 Estuarine Research Federation (ERF) @2 Port Republic, MD @3 USA @9 org-cong.
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C01 01    ENG  @0 For rare and endangered species, bioenergetics modeling can represent a valuable approach for understanding issues of habitat value and connectivity among potential habitats within nurseries in restoration programs. We used multivariable bioenergetics and survival models for Atlantic sturgeon to generate spatially explicit maps of potential production in the Chesapeake Bay. For the period 1993-2002, spatial and temporal patterns in water quality effects (temperature, dissolved oxygen [DO] and salinity) on potential production were evaluated. In addition, two forecasted scenarios were modeled: one implementing newly revised U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) DO-criteria for the Chesapeake Bay, and the other assuming a bay-wide increase of 1 °C due to an underlying trend in regional climate. Atlantic sturgeon's low (survival/growth) tolerance to temperatures >28 °C was a critical constraint during their first 1-2 summers of life. Hatched in freshwater (spring to mid-summer), young-of-the-year were predicted to occupy cooler (deeper) areas as temperature approached sub-lethal levels. While most thermal refuges were located down-estuary, a large fraction of potential refuges were unsuitable due to persistent hypoxia and/or salinity levels beyond the limited osmoregulatory capabilities of early juvenile Atlantic sturgeon. As a result, suitable summer habitats for juvenile Atlantic sturgeons in the Chesapeake Bay were predicted to be spatially restricted and variable between years, ranging from 0 to 35% of the modeled bay surface area. In critical (drought) years, almost no summer habitat was predicted to be available for juvenile Atlantic sturgeon. Value and size of nursery habitat was highly sensitive to climatic oscillations and anthropogenic interventions affecting freshwater inflow, water temperature and/or DO. Achieving EPA DO-criteria for the Chesapeake Bay was predicted to increase total suitable habitat by 13% for an average year, while increasing water temperature by just 1 °C bay-wide would reduce suitable habitat by 65%.
C02 01  X    @0 002A14B04D
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C03 01  X  FRE  @0 Modélisation @5 01
C03 01  X  ENG  @0 Modeling @5 01
C03 01  X  SPA  @0 Modelización @5 01
C03 02  X  FRE  @0 Variation temporelle @5 02
C03 02  X  ENG  @0 Time variation @5 02
C03 02  X  SPA  @0 Variación temporal @5 02
C03 03  X  FRE  @0 Nourricerie @5 03
C03 03  X  ENG  @0 Nursery (animal) @5 03
C03 04  X  FRE  @0 Habitat @5 04
C03 04  X  ENG  @0 Habitat @5 04
C03 04  X  SPA  @0 Habitat @5 04
C03 05  X  FRE  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 05
C03 05  X  ENG  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 05
C03 05  X  SPA  @0 Pisces @2 NS @5 05
C03 06  X  FRE  @0 Estuaire @5 06
C03 06  X  ENG  @0 Estuaries @5 06
C03 06  X  SPA  @0 Estuario @5 06
C03 07  X  FRE  @0 Milieu saumâtre @5 07
C03 07  X  ENG  @0 Brackish water environment @5 07
C03 07  X  SPA  @0 Medio salobre @5 07
C03 08  X  FRE  @0 Acipenser sturio @2 NS @5 49
C03 08  X  ENG  @0 Acipenser sturio @2 NS @5 49
C03 08  X  SPA  @0 Acipenser sturio @2 NS @5 49
C03 09  X  FRE  @0 Baie Chesapeake @4 CD @5 96
C03 09  X  ENG  @0 Chesapeake Bay @4 CD @5 96
C03 09  X  SPA  @0 Bahía Chesapeake @4 CD @5 96
C07 01  X  FRE  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
C07 01  X  ENG  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
C07 01  X  SPA  @0 Vertebrata @2 NS
C07 02  X  FRE  @0 Acipenseridae @4 INC @5 70
N21       @1 234
N44 01      @1 OTO
N82       @1 OTO
pR  
A30 01  1  ENG  @1 Estuarine Research Federation 2003 Seattle Meeting. Special Symposium on Fish Connectivity @3 Seattle USA @4 2003-09-14

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<fA30 i1="01" i2="1" l="ENG">
<s1>Estuarine Research Federation 2003 Seattle Meeting. Special Symposium on Fish Connectivity</s1>
<s3>Seattle USA</s3>
<s4>2003-09-14</s4>
</fA30>
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   |texte=   Modeling spatial and temporal variation of suitable nursery habitats for Atlantic sturgeon in the Chesapeake Bay
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