Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region
Identifieur interne : 001314 ( Istex/Corpus ); précédent : 001313; suivant : 001315Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region
Auteurs : J. R. Britton ; J. Cucherousset ; G. D. Davies ; M. J. Godard ; G. H. CoppSource :
- Freshwater Biology [ 0046-5070 ] ; 2010-05.
English descriptors
Abstract
1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima <20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish. 2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050. 3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp Cyprinus carpio and European catfish Silurus glanis, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems. 4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of C. carpio and S. glanis were assessed. The ecological consequences of C. carpio invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of S. glanis elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.
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DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x
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ISTEX:E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32FLe document en format XML
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Davies</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Godard, M J" sort="Godard, M J" uniqKey="Godard M" first="M. J." last="Godard">M. J. Godard</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Copp, G H" sort="Copp, G H" uniqKey="Copp G" first="G. H." last="Copp">G. H. Copp</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">ISTEX</idno><idno type="RBID">ISTEX:E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F</idno><date when="2010" year="2010">2010</date><idno type="doi">10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</idno><idno type="url">https://api.istex.fr/document/E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F/fulltext/pdf</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Corpus">001314</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Istex" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="ISTEX">001314</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title level="a" type="main" xml:lang="en">Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title><author><name sortKey="Britton, J R" sort="Britton, J R" uniqKey="Britton J" first="J. R." last="Britton">J. R. Britton</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cucherousset, J" sort="Cucherousset, J" uniqKey="Cucherousset J" first="J." last="Cucherousset">J. Cucherousset</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Davies, G D" sort="Davies, G D" uniqKey="Davies G" first="G. D." last="Davies">G. D. Davies</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Godard, M J" sort="Godard, M J" uniqKey="Godard M" first="M. J." last="Godard">M. J. Godard</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Copp, G H" sort="Copp, G H" uniqKey="Copp G" first="G. H." last="Copp">G. H. Copp</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</mods:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><monogr></monogr><series><title level="j">Freshwater Biology</title><idno type="ISSN">0046-5070</idno><idno type="eISSN">1365-2427</idno><imprint><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><pubPlace>Oxford, UK</pubPlace><date type="published" when="2010-05">2010-05</date><biblScope unit="volume">55</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">5</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="1130">1130</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="1141">1141</biblScope></imprint><idno type="ISSN">0046-5070</idno></series><idno type="istex">E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</idno><idno type="ArticleID">FWB2396</idno></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><idno type="ISSN">0046-5070</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Cyprinus carpio</term><term>Silurus glanis</term><term>global warming</term><term>invasion pathway</term><term>propagule pressure</term></keywords></textClass><langUsage><language ident="en">en</language></langUsage></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima <20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish. 2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050. 3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp Cyprinus carpio and European catfish Silurus glanis, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems. 4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of C. carpio and S. glanis were assessed. The ecological consequences of C. carpio invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of S. glanis elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.</div></front></TEI><istex><corpusName>wiley</corpusName><author><json:item><name>J. R. BRITTON</name><affiliations><json:string>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>J. CUCHEROUSSET</name><affiliations><json:string>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>G. D. DAVIES</name><affiliations><json:string>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</json:string><json:string>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>M. J. GODARD</name><affiliations><json:string>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</json:string></affiliations></json:item><json:item><name>G. H. COPP</name><affiliations><json:string>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</json:string><json:string>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</json:string></affiliations></json:item></author><subject><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Cyprinus carpio</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>global warming</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>invasion pathway</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>propagule pressure</value></json:item><json:item><lang><json:string>eng</json:string></lang><value>Silurus glanis</value></json:item></subject><articleId><json:string>FWB2396</json:string></articleId><language><json:string>eng</json:string></language><originalGenre><json:string>article</json:string></originalGenre><abstract>1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima >20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish. 2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050. 3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp Cyprinus carpio and European catfish Silurus glanis, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems. 4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of C. carpio and S. glanis were assessed. The ecological consequences of C. carpio invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of S. glanis elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.</abstract><qualityIndicators><score>8</score><pdfVersion>1.3</pdfVersion><pdfPageSize>595.276 x 782.362 pts</pdfPageSize><refBibsNative>true</refBibsNative><abstractCharCount>2116</abstractCharCount><pdfWordCount>6716</pdfWordCount><pdfCharCount>43807</pdfCharCount><pdfPageCount>12</pdfPageCount><abstractWordCount>304</abstractWordCount></qualityIndicators><title>Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title><genre><json:string>article</json:string></genre><host><volume>55</volume><publisherId><json:string>FWB</json:string></publisherId><pages><total>12</total><last>1141</last><first>1130</first></pages><issn><json:string>0046-5070</json:string></issn><issue>5</issue><genre><json:string>journal</json:string></genre><language><json:string>unknown</json:string></language><eissn><json:string>1365-2427</json:string></eissn><title>Freshwater Biology</title><doi><json:string>10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2427</json:string></doi></host><categories><wos><json:string>science</json:string><json:string>marine & freshwater biology</json:string></wos><scienceMetrix><json:string>natural sciences</json:string><json:string>biology</json:string><json:string>marine biology & hydrobiology</json:string></scienceMetrix></categories><publicationDate>2010</publicationDate><copyrightDate>2010</copyrightDate><doi><json:string>10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</json:string></doi><id>E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F</id><score>0.03178612</score><fulltext><json:item><extension>pdf</extension><original>true</original><mimetype>application/pdf</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F/fulltext/pdf</uri></json:item><json:item><extension>zip</extension><original>false</original><mimetype>application/zip</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F/fulltext/zip</uri></json:item><istex:fulltextTEI uri="https://api.istex.fr/document/E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F/fulltext/tei"><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title level="a" type="main" xml:lang="en">Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title></titleStmt><publicationStmt><authority>ISTEX</authority><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><pubPlace>Oxford, UK</pubPlace><availability><p>© 2010 Crown copyright</p></availability><date>2010</date></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct type="inbook"><analytic><title level="a" type="main" xml:lang="en">Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title><author xml:id="author-1"><persName><forename type="first">J. R.</forename><surname>BRITTON</surname></persName><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-2"><persName><forename type="first">J.</forename><surname>CUCHEROUSSET</surname></persName><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-3"><persName><forename type="first">G. D.</forename><surname>DAVIES</surname></persName><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-4"><persName><forename type="first">M. J.</forename><surname>GODARD</surname></persName><affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</affiliation></author><author xml:id="author-5"><persName><forename type="first">G. H.</forename><surname>COPP</surname></persName><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</affiliation></author></analytic><monogr><title level="j">Freshwater Biology</title><idno type="pISSN">0046-5070</idno><idno type="eISSN">1365-2427</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2427</idno><imprint><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><pubPlace>Oxford, UK</pubPlace><date type="published" when="2010-05"></date><biblScope unit="volume">55</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">5</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="1130">1130</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="1141">1141</biblScope></imprint></monogr><idno type="istex">E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F</idno><idno type="DOI">10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</idno><idno type="ArticleID">FWB2396</idno></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><creation><date>2010</date></creation><langUsage><language ident="en">en</language></langUsage><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima <20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish. 2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050. 3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp Cyprinus carpio and European catfish Silurus glanis, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems. 4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of C. carpio and S. glanis were assessed. The ecological consequences of C. carpio invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of S. glanis elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.</p></abstract><textClass xml:lang="en"><keywords scheme="keyword"><list><head>keywords</head><item><term>Cyprinus carpio</term></item><item><term>global warming</term></item><item><term>invasion pathway</term></item><item><term>propagule pressure</term></item><item><term>Silurus glanis</term></item></list></keywords></textClass></profileDesc><revisionDesc><change when="2010-05">Published</change></revisionDesc></teiHeader></istex:fulltextTEI><json:item><extension>txt</extension><original>false</original><mimetype>text/plain</mimetype><uri>https://api.istex.fr/document/E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F/fulltext/txt</uri></json:item></fulltext><metadata><istex:metadataXml wicri:clean="Wiley, elements deleted: body"><istex:xmlDeclaration>version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"</istex:xmlDeclaration><istex:document><component version="2.0" type="serialArticle" xml:lang="en"><header><publicationMeta level="product"><publisherInfo><publisherName>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisherName><publisherLoc>Oxford, UK</publisherLoc></publisherInfo><doi origin="wiley" registered="yes">10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2427</doi><issn type="print">0046-5070</issn><issn type="electronic">1365-2427</issn><idGroup><id type="product" value="FWB"></id><id type="publisherDivision" value="ST"></id></idGroup><titleGroup><title type="main" sort="FRESHWATER BIOLOGY">Freshwater Biology</title></titleGroup></publicationMeta><publicationMeta level="part" position="05005"><doi origin="wiley">10.1111/fwb.2010.55.issue-5</doi><numberingGroup><numbering type="journalVolume" number="55">55</numbering><numbering type="journalIssue" number="5">5</numbering></numberingGroup><coverDate startDate="2010-05">May 2010</coverDate></publicationMeta><publicationMeta level="unit" type="article" position="15" status="forIssue"><doi origin="wiley">10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</doi><idGroup><id type="unit" value="FWB2396"></id></idGroup><countGroup><count type="pageTotal" number="12"></count></countGroup><titleGroup><title type="tocHeading1">Applied Issues</title></titleGroup><copyright>© 2010 Crown copyright</copyright><eventGroup><event type="firstOnline" date="2010-04-13"></event><event type="publishedOnlineFinalForm" date="2010-04-13"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:BPG_TO_WML3G version:2.3.6 mode:FullText source:FullText result:FullText" date="2010-04-19"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:WILEY_ML3G_TO_WILEY_ML3GV2 version:3.8.8" date="2014-01-26"></event><event type="xmlConverted" agent="Converter:WML3G_To_WML3G version:4.1.7 mode:FullText,remove_FC" date="2014-10-16"></event></eventGroup><numberingGroup><numbering type="pageFirst" number="1130">1130</numbering><numbering type="pageLast" number="1141">1141</numbering></numberingGroup><correspondenceTo>Rob Britton, Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, BH12 5BB, U.K. E‐mail: <email>rbritton@bournemouth.ac.uk</email></correspondenceTo><linkGroup><link type="toTypesetVersion" href="file:FWB.FWB2396.pdf"></link></linkGroup></publicationMeta><contentMeta><unparsedEditorialHistory>Manuscript accepted 15 December 2009</unparsedEditorialHistory><countGroup><count type="figureTotal" number="4"></count><count type="tableTotal" number="2"></count></countGroup><titleGroup><title type="main">Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title><title type="shortAuthors"><i>J. R. Britton</i> et al.</title><title type="short"><i>Climate change & non‐native fishes in England and Wales</i></title></titleGroup><creators><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr1" affiliationRef="#a1"><personName><givenNames>J. R.</givenNames><familyName>BRITTON</familyName></personName></creator><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr2" affiliationRef="#a1"><personName><givenNames>J.</givenNames><familyName>CUCHEROUSSET</familyName></personName></creator><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr3" affiliationRef="#a1 #a2"><personName><givenNames>G. D.</givenNames><familyName>DAVIES</familyName></personName></creator><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr4" affiliationRef="#a3"><personName><givenNames>M. J.</givenNames><familyName>GODARD</familyName></personName></creator><creator creatorRole="author" xml:id="cr5" affiliationRef="#a1 #a3"><personName><givenNames>G. H.</givenNames><familyName>COPP</familyName></personName></creator></creators><affiliationGroup><affiliation xml:id="a1"><unparsedAffiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</unparsedAffiliation></affiliation><affiliation xml:id="a2"><unparsedAffiliation>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</unparsedAffiliation></affiliation><affiliation xml:id="a3"><unparsedAffiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</unparsedAffiliation></affiliation></affiliationGroup><keywordGroup xml:lang="en"><keyword xml:id="k1"><i>Cyprinus carpio</i></keyword><keyword xml:id="k2">global warming</keyword><keyword xml:id="k3">invasion pathway</keyword><keyword xml:id="k4">propagule pressure</keyword><keyword xml:id="k5"><i>Silurus glanis</i></keyword></keywordGroup><abstractGroup><abstract type="main" xml:lang="en"><title type="main">Summary</title><p>1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima <20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish.</p><p>2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050.</p><p>3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp <i>Cyprinus carpio</i> and European catfish <i>Silurus glanis</i>, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems.</p><p>4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of <i>C</i>.<i> carpio</i> and <i>S</i>. <i>glanis</i> were assessed. The ecological consequences of <i>C</i>. <i>carpio</i> invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of <i>S</i>. <i>glanis</i> elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.</p></abstract></abstractGroup></contentMeta></header></component></istex:document></istex:metadataXml><mods version="3.6"><titleInfo lang="en"><title>Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="abbreviated" lang="en"><title>Climate change & non‐native fishes in England and Wales</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="alternative" contentType="CDATA" lang="en"><title>Non‐native fishes and climate change: predicting species responses to warming temperatures in a temperate region</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">J. R.</namePart><namePart type="family">BRITTON</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">J.</namePart><namePart type="family">CUCHEROUSSET</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">G. D.</namePart><namePart type="family">DAVIES</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>National Fisheries Technical Team, Environment Agency, Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, U.K.</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">M. J.</namePart><namePart type="family">GODARD</namePart><affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">G. H.</namePart><namePart type="family">COPP</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Conservation and Environmental Change, School of Conservation Sciences, Bournemouth University, Poole, Dorset, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>Salmon and Freshwater Team, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, U.K.</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource><genre type="article" displayLabel="article"></genre><originInfo><publisher>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><place><placeTerm type="text">Oxford, UK</placeTerm></place><dateIssued encoding="w3cdtf">2010-05</dateIssued><edition>Manuscript accepted 15 December 2009</edition><copyrightDate encoding="w3cdtf">2010</copyrightDate></originInfo><language><languageTerm type="code" authority="rfc3066">en</languageTerm><languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm></language><physicalDescription><internetMediaType>text/html</internetMediaType><extent unit="figures">4</extent><extent unit="tables">2</extent></physicalDescription><abstract lang="en">1. Temperate regions with fish communities dominated by cold‐water species (physiological optima <20 °C) are vulnerable to the effects of warming temperatures caused by climate change, including displacement by non‐native cool‐water (physiological optima 20–28 °C) and warm‐water fishes (physiological optima >28 °C) that are able to establish and invade as the thermal constraints on the expression of their life history traits diminish. 2. England and Wales is a temperate region into which at least 38 freshwater fishes have been introduced, although 14 of these are no longer present. Of the remaining 24 species, some have persisted but failed to establish, some have established populations without becoming invasive and some have become invasive. The aim of the study was to predict the responses of these 24 non‐native fishes to the warming temperatures of England and Wales predicted under climate change in 2050. 3. The predictive use of climate‐matching models and an air and water temperature regression model suggested that there are six non‐native fishes currently persistent but not established in England and Wales whose establishment and subsequent invasion would benefit substantially from the predicted warming temperatures. These included the common carp Cyprinus carpio and European catfish Silurus glanis, fishes that also exert a relatively high propagule pressure through stocking to support angling and whose spatial distribution is currently increasing significantly, including in open systems. 4. The potential ecological impacts of the combined effects of warming temperatures, current spatial distribution and propagule pressure on the establishment and invasion of C. carpio and S. glanis were assessed. The ecological consequences of C. carpio invasion were assessed as potentially severe in England and Wales, with impacts likely to relate to habitat destruction, macrophyte loss and increased water turbidity. However, evidence of ecological impacts of S. glanis elsewhere in their introduced range was less clear and so their potential impacts in England and Wales remain uncertain.</abstract><subject lang="en"><genre>keywords</genre><topic>Cyprinus carpio</topic><topic>global warming</topic><topic>invasion pathway</topic><topic>propagule pressure</topic><topic>Silurus glanis</topic></subject><relatedItem type="host"><titleInfo><title>Freshwater Biology</title></titleInfo><genre type="journal">journal</genre><identifier type="ISSN">0046-5070</identifier><identifier type="eISSN">1365-2427</identifier><identifier type="DOI">10.1111/(ISSN)1365-2427</identifier><identifier type="PublisherID">FWB</identifier><part><date>2010</date><detail type="volume"><caption>vol.</caption><number>55</number></detail><detail type="issue"><caption>no.</caption><number>5</number></detail><extent unit="pages"><start>1130</start><end>1141</end><total>12</total></extent></part></relatedItem><identifier type="istex">E4F624A87F3E4C11160C6361879258F4D479B32F</identifier><identifier type="DOI">10.1111/j.1365-2427.2010.02396.x</identifier><identifier type="ArticleID">FWB2396</identifier><accessCondition type="use and reproduction" contentType="copyright">© 2010 Crown copyright</accessCondition><recordInfo><recordContentSource>WILEY</recordContentSource><recordOrigin>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</recordOrigin></recordInfo></mods></metadata><serie></serie></istex></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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