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<title xml:lang="en">Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats</title>
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<institution>Animal Ecology Group, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies, University of Groningen</institution>
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<addr-line>Department of Animal Ecology</addr-line>
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<addr-line>Department of Environmental Science</addr-line>
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<addr-line>Department of Animal Ecology</addr-line>
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<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
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<title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats</title>
<author>
<name sortKey="Both, Christiaan" sort="Both, Christiaan" uniqKey="Both C" first="Christiaan" last="Both">Christiaan Both</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af1">
<institution>Animal Ecology Group, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies, University of Groningen</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 14, 9750 Haren</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Van Turnhout, Chris A M" sort="Van Turnhout, Chris A M" uniqKey="Van Turnhout C" first="Chris A. M." last="Van Turnhout">Chris A. M. Van Turnhout</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af2">
<institution>SOVON Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology</institution>
,
<addr-line>Rijksstraatweg 178, 6573 Beek-Ubbergen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
</affiliation>
<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af3">
<addr-line>Department of Animal Ecology</addr-line>
,
<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
</affiliation>
<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af4">
<addr-line>Department of Environmental Science</addr-line>
,
<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
</affiliation>
</author>
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<name sortKey="Bijlsma, Rob G" sort="Bijlsma, Rob G" uniqKey="Bijlsma R" first="Rob G." last="Bijlsma">Rob G. Bijlsma</name>
<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af1">
<institution>Animal Ecology Group, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies, University of Groningen</institution>
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<addr-line>PO Box 14, 9750 Haren</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
</affiliation>
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<name sortKey="Siepel, Henk" sort="Siepel, Henk" uniqKey="Siepel H" first="Henk" last="Siepel">Henk Siepel</name>
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<nlm:aff id="af3">
<addr-line>Department of Animal Ecology</addr-line>
,
<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
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<addr-line>Department of Environmental Science</addr-line>
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<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
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<addr-line>PO Box 47, 6700 Wageningen</addr-line>
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<country>The Netherlands</country>
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<name sortKey="Van Strien, Arco J" sort="Van Strien, Arco J" uniqKey="Van Strien A" first="Arco J." last="Van Strien">Arco J. Van Strien</name>
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,
<addr-line>PO Box 4000, 2270 Voorburg</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</nlm:aff>
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<affiliation>
<nlm:aff id="af7">
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,
<addr-line>Bedfordshire SG19 2DL</addr-line>
,
<country>UK</country>
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</affiliation>
</author>
<author>
<name sortKey="Foppen, Ruud P B" sort="Foppen, Ruud P B" uniqKey="Foppen R" first="Ruud P. B." last="Foppen">Ruud P. B. Foppen</name>
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<nlm:aff id="af2">
<institution>SOVON Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology</institution>
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<addr-line>Rijksstraatweg 178, 6573 Beek-Ubbergen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
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<affiliation>
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<institution>European Bird Census Council, The Lodge, Sandy</institution>
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<title level="j">Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0962-8452</idno>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>One consequence of climate change is an increasing mismatch between timing of food requirements and food availability. Such a mismatch is primarily expected in avian long-distance migrants because of their complex annual cycle, and in habitats with a seasonal food peak. Here we show that insectivorous long-distance migrant species in The Netherlands declined strongly (1984–2004) in forests, a habitat characterized by a short spring food peak, but that they did not decline in less seasonal marshes. Also, within generalist long-distance migrant species, populations declined more strongly in forests than in marshes. Forest-inhabiting migrant species arriving latest in spring declined most sharply, probably because their mismatch with the peak in food supply is greatest. Residents and short-distance migrants had non-declining populations in both habitats, suggesting that habitat quality did not deteriorate. Habitat-related differences in trends were most probably caused by climate change because at a European scale, long-distance migrants in forests declined more severely in western Europe, where springs have become considerably warmer, when compared with northern Europe, where temperatures during spring arrival and breeding have increased less. Our results suggest that trophic mismatches may have become a major cause for population declines in long-distance migrants in highly seasonal habitats.</p>
</div>
</front>
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<pmc-comment>The publisher of this article does not allow downloading of the full text in XML form.</pmc-comment>
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<journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Proc Biol Sci</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">RSPB</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="hwp">royprsb</journal-id>
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<journal-title>Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences</journal-title>
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<issn pub-type="ppub">0962-8452</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1471-2954</issn>
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<publisher-name>The Royal Society</publisher-name>
</publisher>
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<article-id pub-id-type="pmid">20018784</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="pmc">2842804</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1098/rspb.2009.1525</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">rspb20091525</article-id>
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<subject>1001</subject>
<subject>60</subject>
<subject>69</subject>
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<subject>Research articles</subject>
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<title-group>
<article-title>Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Both</surname>
<given-names>Christiaan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af1">1</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">*</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Van Turnhout</surname>
<given-names>Chris A. M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af2">2</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af3">3</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af4">4</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Bijlsma</surname>
<given-names>Rob G.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af1">1</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Siepel</surname>
<given-names>Henk</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af3">3</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af4">4</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af5">5</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Van Strien</surname>
<given-names>Arco J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af6">6</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af7">7</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Foppen</surname>
<given-names>Ruud P. B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af2">2</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af7">7</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="af1">
<label>1</label>
<institution>Animal Ecology Group, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies, University of Groningen</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 14, 9750 Haren</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af2">
<label>2</label>
<institution>SOVON Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology</institution>
,
<addr-line>Rijksstraatweg 178, 6573 Beek-Ubbergen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Animal Ecology</addr-line>
,
<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Environmental Science</addr-line>
,
<institution>Radboud University Nijmegen, Institute for Wetland and Water Research</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 9010, 6500 Nijmegen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af5">
<label>5</label>
<institution>Centre for Ecosystem Studies, Alterra, Wageningen University and Research Centre</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 47, 6700 Wageningen</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af6">
<label>6</label>
<institution>Statistics Netherlands</institution>
,
<addr-line>PO Box 4000, 2270 Voorburg</addr-line>
,
<country>The Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="af7">
<label>7</label>
<institution>European Bird Census Council, The Lodge, Sandy</institution>
,
<addr-line>Bedfordshire SG19 2DL</addr-line>
,
<country>UK</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="cor1">
<label>*</label>
Author for correspondence (
<email>c.both@rug.nl</email>
).</corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub">
<day>22</day>
<month>4</month>
<year>2010</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>277</volume>
<issue>1685</issue>
<fpage>1259</fpage>
<lpage>1266</lpage>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>24</day>
<month>8</month>
<year>2009</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>25</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2009</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>© 2009 The Royal Society</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2010</copyright-year>
</permissions>
<self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="rspb20091525.pdf"></self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>One consequence of climate change is an increasing mismatch between timing of food requirements and food availability. Such a mismatch is primarily expected in avian long-distance migrants because of their complex annual cycle, and in habitats with a seasonal food peak. Here we show that insectivorous long-distance migrant species in The Netherlands declined strongly (1984–2004) in forests, a habitat characterized by a short spring food peak, but that they did not decline in less seasonal marshes. Also, within generalist long-distance migrant species, populations declined more strongly in forests than in marshes. Forest-inhabiting migrant species arriving latest in spring declined most sharply, probably because their mismatch with the peak in food supply is greatest. Residents and short-distance migrants had non-declining populations in both habitats, suggesting that habitat quality did not deteriorate. Habitat-related differences in trends were most probably caused by climate change because at a European scale, long-distance migrants in forests declined more severely in western Europe, where springs have become considerably warmer, when compared with northern Europe, where temperatures during spring arrival and breeding have increased less. Our results suggest that trophic mismatches may have become a major cause for population declines in long-distance migrants in highly seasonal habitats.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>climate change</kwd>
<kwd>population trend</kwd>
<kwd>migration</kwd>
<kwd>habitat seasonality</kwd>
<kwd>trophic mismatch</kwd>
<kwd>geographical variation</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
</pmc>
</record>

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