Combining Inferential and Deductive Approaches to Estimate the Potential Geographical Range of the Invasive Plant Pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum
Identifieur interne : 000214 ( Pmc/Curation ); précédent : 000213; suivant : 000215Combining Inferential and Deductive Approaches to Estimate the Potential Geographical Range of the Invasive Plant Pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum
Auteurs : Kylie B. Ireland [Australie] ; Giles E. St. J. Hardy [Australie] ; Darren J. Kriticos [Australie]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0063508
PubMed: 23667628
PubMed Central: 3646738
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<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Combining Inferential and Deductive Approaches to Estimate the Potential Geographical Range of the Invasive Plant Pathogen, <italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic></title><author><name sortKey="Ireland, Kylie B" sort="Ireland, Kylie B" uniqKey="Ireland K" first="Kylie B." last="Ireland">Kylie B. Ireland</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hardy, Giles E St J" sort="Hardy, Giles E St J" uniqKey="Hardy G" first="Giles E. St. J." last="Hardy">Giles E. St. J. Hardy</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kriticos, Darren J" sort="Kriticos, Darren J" uniqKey="Kriticos D" first="Darren J." last="Kriticos">Darren J. Kriticos</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Ecosystem Sciences, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Ecosystem Sciences, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">23667628</idno><idno type="pmc">3646738</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3646738</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:3646738</idno><idno type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0063508</idno><date when="2013">2013</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000214</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000214</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000214</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000214</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Combining Inferential and Deductive Approaches to Estimate the Potential Geographical Range of the Invasive Plant Pathogen, <italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic></title><author><name sortKey="Ireland, Kylie B" sort="Ireland, Kylie B" uniqKey="Ireland K" first="Kylie B." last="Ireland">Kylie B. Ireland</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hardy, Giles E St J" sort="Hardy, Giles E St J" uniqKey="Hardy G" first="Giles E. St. J." last="Hardy">Giles E. St. J. Hardy</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kriticos, Darren J" sort="Kriticos, Darren J" uniqKey="Kriticos D" first="Darren J." last="Kriticos">Darren J. Kriticos</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Ecosystem Sciences, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Ecosystem Sciences, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PLoS ONE</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic>, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of <italic>P. ramorum</italic> has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data with which to calibrate climatic models. Previous attempts to do so, using either invaded range data or surrogate species approaches, have delivered varying results. A simulation model was developed using CLIMEX to estimate the global climate suitability patterns for establishment of <italic>P. ramorum</italic>. Growth requirements and stress response parameters were derived from ecophysiological laboratory observations and site-level transmission and disease factors related to climate data in the field. Geographical distribution data from the USA (California and Oregon) and Norway were reserved from model-fitting and used to validate the models. The model suggests that the invasion of <italic>P. ramorum</italic> in both North America and Europe is still in its infancy and that it is presently occupying a small fraction of its potential range. <italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic> appears to be climatically suited to large areas of Africa, Australasia and South America, where it could cause biodiversity and economic losses in plant industries and natural ecosystems with susceptible hosts if introduced.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rizzo, Dm" uniqKey="Rizzo D">DM Rizzo</name></author><author><name sortKey="Garbelotto, M" uniqKey="Garbelotto M">M Garbelotto</name></author><author><name sortKey="Davidson, Jm" uniqKey="Davidson J">JM Davidson</name></author><author><name sortKey="Slaughter, Gw" uniqKey="Slaughter G">GW Slaughter</name></author><author><name sortKey="Koike, St" uniqKey="Koike S">ST 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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">PLoS One</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">PLoS ONE</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">plos</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">plosone</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>PLoS ONE</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1932-6203</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Public Library of Science</publisher-name><publisher-loc>San Francisco, USA</publisher-loc></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">23667628</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3646738</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">PONE-D-12-19050</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pone.0063508</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Agriculture</subject><subj-group><subject>Forestry</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Biology</subject><subj-group><subject>Computational Biology</subject><subj-group><subject>Ecosystem Modeling</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group><subject>Ecology</subject><subj-group><subject>Community Ecology</subject><subj-group><subject>Ecological Risk</subject><subject>Niche Construction</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group><subject>Plant Ecology</subject><subj-group><subject>Plant-Environment Interactions</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group><subject>Conservation Science</subject><subject>Spatial and Landscape Ecology</subject></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group><subject>Plant Science</subject><subj-group><subject>Plant Pathology</subject><subj-group><subject>Plant Pathogens</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="Discipline-v2"><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subj-group><subject>Atmospheric Science</subject><subj-group><subject>Climatology</subject><subj-group><subject>Climate Modeling</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group><subj-group><subject>Geography</subject><subj-group><subject>Biogeography</subject></subj-group></subj-group></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Combining Inferential and Deductive Approaches to Estimate the Potential Geographical Range of the Invasive Plant Pathogen, <italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic></article-title><alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Potential Geographic Range of <italic>Phytophthora Ramorum</italic></alt-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ireland</surname><given-names>Kylie B.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Hardy</surname><given-names>Giles E. St. J.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kriticos</surname><given-names>Darren J.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><addr-line>Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><addr-line>Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Murdoch University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><addr-line>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Ecosystem Sciences, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia</addr-line></aff><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Zhengguang</given-names></name><role>Editor</role><xref ref-type="aff" rid="edit1"></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="edit1"><addr-line>Nanjing Agricultural University, China</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail: <email>Darren.Kriticos@csiro.au</email></corresp><fn fn-type="conflict"><p><bold>Competing Interests: </bold>The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.</p></fn><fn fn-type="con"><p>Conceived and designed the experiments: KBI GESH DJK. Performed the experiments: KBI. Analyzed the data: KBI DJK. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: GESH DJK. Wrote the paper: KBI GESH DJK.</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2013</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>7</day><month>5</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><volume>8</volume><issue>5</issue><elocation-id>e63508</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>3</day><month>7</month><year>2012</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>6</day><month>4</month><year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-year>2013</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Ireland et al</copyright-holder><license><license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p></license></permissions><abstract><p><italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic>, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of <italic>P. ramorum</italic> has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data with which to calibrate climatic models. Previous attempts to do so, using either invaded range data or surrogate species approaches, have delivered varying results. A simulation model was developed using CLIMEX to estimate the global climate suitability patterns for establishment of <italic>P. ramorum</italic>. Growth requirements and stress response parameters were derived from ecophysiological laboratory observations and site-level transmission and disease factors related to climate data in the field. Geographical distribution data from the USA (California and Oregon) and Norway were reserved from model-fitting and used to validate the models. The model suggests that the invasion of <italic>P. ramorum</italic> in both North America and Europe is still in its infancy and that it is presently occupying a small fraction of its potential range. <italic>Phytophthora ramorum</italic> appears to be climatically suited to large areas of Africa, Australasia and South America, where it could cause biodiversity and economic losses in plant industries and natural ecosystems with susceptible hosts if introduced.</p></abstract><funding-group><funding-statement>The authors would like to acknowledge the support of the Australian Government’s Cooperative Research Centres Program and the Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity in particular. We also acknowledge the financial support of the Australian Government Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities and the School of Biological Sciences at Murdoch University. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.</funding-statement></funding-group><counts><page-count count="13"></page-count></counts></article-meta></front></pmc></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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