Assessment of the Potential Impacts of Wheat Plant Traits across Environments by Combining Crop Modeling and Global Sensitivity Analysis.
Identifieur interne : 002424 ( PubMed/Curation ); précédent : 002423; suivant : 002425Assessment of the Potential Impacts of Wheat Plant Traits across Environments by Combining Crop Modeling and Global Sensitivity Analysis.
Auteurs : Pierre Casadebaig [France] ; Bangyou Zheng [Australie] ; Scott Chapman [Australie] ; Neil Huth [Australie] ; Robert Faivre [France] ; Karine Chenu [Australie]Source :
- PloS one [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2016.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adaptation physiologique (génétique), Adaptation physiologique (physiologie), Australie, Biologie informatique, Caractère quantitatif héréditaire, Modèles biologiques, Pluie, Produits agricoles (génétique), Produits agricoles (physiologie), Simulation numérique, Sécheresses, Triticum (génétique), Triticum (physiologie), Écosystème.
- MESH :
- Wicri :
- geographic : Australie.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adaptation, Physiological (genetics), Adaptation, Physiological (physiology), Australia, Computational Biology, Computer Simulation, Crops, Agricultural (genetics), Crops, Agricultural (physiology), Droughts, Ecosystem, Models, Biological, Quantitative Trait, Heritable, Rain, Triticum (genetics), Triticum (physiology).
- MESH :
- geographic : Australia.
- genetics : Adaptation, Physiological, Crops, Agricultural, Triticum.
- physiology : Adaptation, Physiological, Crops, Agricultural, Triticum.
- Computational Biology, Computer Simulation, Droughts, Ecosystem, Models, Biological, Quantitative Trait, Heritable, Rain.
Abstract
A crop can be viewed as a complex system with outputs (e.g. yield) that are affected by inputs of genetic, physiology, pedo-climatic and management information. Application of numerical methods for model exploration assist in evaluating the major most influential inputs, providing the simulation model is a credible description of the biological system. A sensitivity analysis was used to assess the simulated impact on yield of a suite of traits involved in major processes of crop growth and development, and to evaluate how the simulated value of such traits varies across environments and in relation to other traits (which can be interpreted as a virtual change in genetic background). The study focused on wheat in Australia, with an emphasis on adaptation to low rainfall conditions. A large set of traits (90) was evaluated in a wide target population of environments (4 sites × 125 years), management practices (3 sowing dates × 3 nitrogen fertilization levels) and CO2 (2 levels). The Morris sensitivity analysis method was used to sample the parameter space and reduce computational requirements, while maintaining a realistic representation of the targeted trait × environment × management landscape (∼ 82 million individual simulations in total). The patterns of parameter × environment × management interactions were investigated for the most influential parameters, considering a potential genetic range of +/- 20% compared to a reference cultivar. Main (i.e. linear) and interaction (i.e. non-linear and interaction) sensitivity indices calculated for most of APSIM-Wheat parameters allowed the identification of 42 parameters substantially impacting yield in most target environments. Among these, a subset of parameters related to phenology, resource acquisition, resource use efficiency and biomass allocation were identified as potential candidates for crop (and model) improvement.
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146385
PubMed: 26799483
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pubmed:26799483Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">A crop can be viewed as a complex system with outputs (e.g. yield) that are affected by inputs of genetic, physiology, pedo-climatic and management information. Application of numerical methods for model exploration assist in evaluating the major most influential inputs, providing the simulation model is a credible description of the biological system. A sensitivity analysis was used to assess the simulated impact on yield of a suite of traits involved in major processes of crop growth and development, and to evaluate how the simulated value of such traits varies across environments and in relation to other traits (which can be interpreted as a virtual change in genetic background). The study focused on wheat in Australia, with an emphasis on adaptation to low rainfall conditions. A large set of traits (90) was evaluated in a wide target population of environments (4 sites × 125 years), management practices (3 sowing dates × 3 nitrogen fertilization levels) and CO2 (2 levels). The Morris sensitivity analysis method was used to sample the parameter space and reduce computational requirements, while maintaining a realistic representation of the targeted trait × environment × management landscape (∼ 82 million individual simulations in total). The patterns of parameter × environment × management interactions were investigated for the most influential parameters, considering a potential genetic range of +/- 20% compared to a reference cultivar. Main (i.e. linear) and interaction (i.e. non-linear and interaction) sensitivity indices calculated for most of APSIM-Wheat parameters allowed the identification of 42 parameters substantially impacting yield in most target environments. Among these, a subset of parameters related to phenology, resource acquisition, resource use efficiency and biomass allocation were identified as potential candidates for crop (and model) improvement.</div>
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