Using models to guide field experiments: a priori predictions for the CO2 response of a nutrient- and water-limited native Eucalypt woodland.
Identifieur interne : 001B52 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 001B51; suivant : 001B53Using models to guide field experiments: a priori predictions for the CO2 response of a nutrient- and water-limited native Eucalypt woodland.
Auteurs : Belinda E. Medlyn ; Martin G. De Kauwe ; Sönke Zaehle ; Anthony P. Walker ; Remko A. Duursma ; Kristina Luus ; Mikhail Mishurov ; Bernard Pak ; Benjamin Smith ; Ying-Ping Wang ; Xiaojuan Yang ; Kristine Y. Crous ; John E. Drake ; Teresa E. Gimeno ; Catriona A. Macdonald ; Richard J. Norby ; Sally A. Power ; Mark G. Tjoelker ; David S. EllsworthSource :
- Global change biology [ 1365-2486 ] ; 2016.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- chemical , metabolism : Carbon Dioxide.
- metabolism : Eucalyptus.
- Carbon Cycle, Climate Change, Ecosystem, Forests, Photosynthesis, Water.
Abstract
The response of terrestrial ecosystems to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca ), particularly under nutrient-limited conditions, is a major uncertainty in Earth System models. The Eucalyptus Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (EucFACE) experiment, recently established in a nutrient- and water-limited woodland presents a unique opportunity to address this uncertainty, but can best do so if key model uncertainties have been identified in advance. We applied seven vegetation models, which have previously been comprehensively assessed against earlier forest FACE experiments, to simulate a priori possible outcomes from EucFACE. Our goals were to provide quantitative projections against which to evaluate data as they are collected, and to identify key measurements that should be made in the experiment to allow discrimination among alternative model assumptions in a postexperiment model intercomparison. Simulated responses of annual net primary productivity (NPP) to elevated Ca ranged from 0.5 to 25% across models. The simulated reduction of NPP during a low-rainfall year also varied widely, from 24 to 70%. Key processes where assumptions caused disagreement among models included nutrient limitations to growth; feedbacks to nutrient uptake; autotrophic respiration; and the impact of low soil moisture availability on plant processes. Knowledge of the causes of variation among models is now guiding data collection in the experiment, with the expectation that the experimental data can optimally inform future model improvements.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13268
PubMed: 26946185
Links to Exploration step
pubmed:26946185Le document en format XML
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<author><name sortKey="Macdonald, Catriona A" sort="Macdonald, Catriona A" uniqKey="Macdonald C" first="Catriona A" last="Macdonald">Catriona A. Macdonald</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Zaehle, Sonke" sort="Zaehle, Sonke" uniqKey="Zaehle S" first="Sönke" last="Zaehle">Sönke Zaehle</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Walker, Anthony P" sort="Walker, Anthony P" uniqKey="Walker A" first="Anthony P" last="Walker">Anthony P. Walker</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Duursma, Remko A" sort="Duursma, Remko A" uniqKey="Duursma R" first="Remko A" last="Duursma">Remko A. Duursma</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Luus, Kristina" sort="Luus, Kristina" uniqKey="Luus K" first="Kristina" last="Luus">Kristina Luus</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Smith, Benjamin" sort="Smith, Benjamin" uniqKey="Smith B" first="Benjamin" last="Smith">Benjamin Smith</name>
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</affiliation>
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<author><name sortKey="Wang, Ying Ping" sort="Wang, Ying Ping" uniqKey="Wang Y" first="Ying-Ping" last="Wang">Ying-Ping Wang</name>
<affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Private Bag 1, Aspendale, Vic., 3195, Australia.</nlm:affiliation>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Yang, Xiaojuan" sort="Yang, Xiaojuan" uniqKey="Yang X" first="Xiaojuan" last="Yang">Xiaojuan Yang</name>
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<series><title level="j">Global change biology</title>
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<term>Carbon Dioxide (metabolism)</term>
<term>Climate Change</term>
<term>Ecosystem</term>
<term>Eucalyptus (metabolism)</term>
<term>Forests</term>
<term>Photosynthesis</term>
<term>Water</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The response of terrestrial ecosystems to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca ), particularly under nutrient-limited conditions, is a major uncertainty in Earth System models. The Eucalyptus Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (EucFACE) experiment, recently established in a nutrient- and water-limited woodland presents a unique opportunity to address this uncertainty, but can best do so if key model uncertainties have been identified in advance. We applied seven vegetation models, which have previously been comprehensively assessed against earlier forest FACE experiments, to simulate a priori possible outcomes from EucFACE. Our goals were to provide quantitative projections against which to evaluate data as they are collected, and to identify key measurements that should be made in the experiment to allow discrimination among alternative model assumptions in a postexperiment model intercomparison. Simulated responses of annual net primary productivity (NPP) to elevated Ca ranged from 0.5 to 25% across models. The simulated reduction of NPP during a low-rainfall year also varied widely, from 24 to 70%. Key processes where assumptions caused disagreement among models included nutrient limitations to growth; feedbacks to nutrient uptake; autotrophic respiration; and the impact of low soil moisture availability on plant processes. Knowledge of the causes of variation among models is now guiding data collection in the experiment, with the expectation that the experimental data can optimally inform future model improvements.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
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<DateCreated><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>07</Month>
<Day>04</Day>
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<DateCompleted><Year>2017</Year>
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<Title>Global change biology</Title>
<ISOAbbreviation>Glob Chang Biol</ISOAbbreviation>
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<ArticleTitle>Using models to guide field experiments: a priori predictions for the CO2 response of a nutrient- and water-limited native Eucalypt woodland.</ArticleTitle>
<Pagination><MedlinePgn>2834-51</MedlinePgn>
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<ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1111/gcb.13268</ELocationID>
<Abstract><AbstractText>The response of terrestrial ecosystems to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca ), particularly under nutrient-limited conditions, is a major uncertainty in Earth System models. The Eucalyptus Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (EucFACE) experiment, recently established in a nutrient- and water-limited woodland presents a unique opportunity to address this uncertainty, but can best do so if key model uncertainties have been identified in advance. We applied seven vegetation models, which have previously been comprehensively assessed against earlier forest FACE experiments, to simulate a priori possible outcomes from EucFACE. Our goals were to provide quantitative projections against which to evaluate data as they are collected, and to identify key measurements that should be made in the experiment to allow discrimination among alternative model assumptions in a postexperiment model intercomparison. Simulated responses of annual net primary productivity (NPP) to elevated Ca ranged from 0.5 to 25% across models. The simulated reduction of NPP during a low-rainfall year also varied widely, from 24 to 70%. Key processes where assumptions caused disagreement among models included nutrient limitations to growth; feedbacks to nutrient uptake; autotrophic respiration; and the impact of low soil moisture availability on plant processes. Knowledge of the causes of variation among models is now guiding data collection in the experiment, with the expectation that the experimental data can optimally inform future model improvements.</AbstractText>
<CopyrightInformation>© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</CopyrightInformation>
</Abstract>
<AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Medlyn</LastName>
<ForeName>Belinda E</ForeName>
<Initials>BE</Initials>
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<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW, 2109, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>De Kauwe</LastName>
<ForeName>Martin G</ForeName>
<Initials>MG</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW, 2109, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Zaehle</LastName>
<ForeName>Sönke</ForeName>
<Initials>S</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Biogeochemical Integration Department, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, D-07745, Jena, Germany.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Walker</LastName>
<ForeName>Anthony P</ForeName>
<Initials>AP</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, 1 Bethel Valley Road, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Duursma</LastName>
<ForeName>Remko A</ForeName>
<Initials>RA</Initials>
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<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Luus</LastName>
<ForeName>Kristina</ForeName>
<Initials>K</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Biogeochemical Integration Department, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, D-07745, Jena, Germany.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mishurov</LastName>
<ForeName>Mikhail</ForeName>
<Initials>M</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, 22362, Lund, Sweden.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pak</LastName>
<ForeName>Bernard</ForeName>
<Initials>B</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Private Bag 1, Aspendale, Vic., 3195, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Smith</LastName>
<ForeName>Benjamin</ForeName>
<Initials>B</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, 22362, Lund, Sweden.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wang</LastName>
<ForeName>Ying-Ping</ForeName>
<Initials>YP</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Private Bag 1, Aspendale, Vic., 3195, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Yang</LastName>
<ForeName>Xiaojuan</ForeName>
<Initials>X</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, 1 Bethel Valley Road, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Crous</LastName>
<ForeName>Kristine Y</ForeName>
<Initials>KY</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Drake</LastName>
<ForeName>John E</ForeName>
<Initials>JE</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Gimeno</LastName>
<ForeName>Teresa E</ForeName>
<Initials>TE</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>ISPA, Bordeaux Science Agro, INRA, 33140, Villenave d'Ornon, France.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Macdonald</LastName>
<ForeName>Catriona A</ForeName>
<Initials>CA</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Norby</LastName>
<ForeName>Richard J</ForeName>
<Initials>RJ</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, 1 Bethel Valley Road, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Power</LastName>
<ForeName>Sally A</ForeName>
<Initials>SA</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
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<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Tjoelker</LastName>
<ForeName>Mark G</ForeName>
<Initials>MG</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
<Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Ellsworth</LastName>
<ForeName>David S</ForeName>
<Initials>DS</Initials>
<AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW, 2751, Australia.</Affiliation>
</AffiliationInfo>
</Author>
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<Language>eng</Language>
<PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType>
</PublicationTypeList>
<ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>05</Month>
<Day>09</Day>
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<MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country>
<MedlineTA>Glob Chang Biol</MedlineTA>
<NlmUniqueID>9888746</NlmUniqueID>
<ISSNLinking>1354-1013</ISSNLinking>
</MedlineJournalInfo>
<ChemicalList><Chemical><RegistryNumber>059QF0KO0R</RegistryNumber>
<NameOfSubstance UI="D014867">Water</NameOfSubstance>
</Chemical>
<Chemical><RegistryNumber>142M471B3J</RegistryNumber>
<NameOfSubstance UI="D002245">Carbon Dioxide</NameOfSubstance>
</Chemical>
</ChemicalList>
<CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset>
<MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D057486" MajorTopicYN="N">Carbon Cycle</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002245" MajorTopicYN="N">Carbon Dioxide</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000378" MajorTopicYN="Y">metabolism</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D057231" MajorTopicYN="N">Climate Change</DescriptorName>
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<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D017753" MajorTopicYN="Y">Ecosystem</DescriptorName>
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<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005052" MajorTopicYN="N">Eucalyptus</DescriptorName>
<QualifierName UI="Q000378" MajorTopicYN="Y">metabolism</QualifierName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D065928" MajorTopicYN="N">Forests</DescriptorName>
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<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D010788" MajorTopicYN="N">Photosynthesis</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
<MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D014867" MajorTopicYN="N">Water</DescriptorName>
</MeshHeading>
</MeshHeadingList>
<KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Eucalyptus tereticornis</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">carbon dioxide</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">drought</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">ecosystem model</Keyword>
<Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">phosphorus</Keyword>
</KeywordList>
</MedlineCitation>
<PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2015</Year>
<Month>08</Month>
<Day>05</Day>
</PubMedPubDate>
<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>01</Day>
</PubMedPubDate>
<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>02</Month>
<Day>09</Day>
</PubMedPubDate>
<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>3</Month>
<Day>7</Day>
<Hour>6</Hour>
<Minute>0</Minute>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2016</Year>
<Month>3</Month>
<Day>8</Day>
<Hour>6</Hour>
<Minute>0</Minute>
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<PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2017</Year>
<Month>8</Month>
<Day>11</Day>
<Hour>6</Hour>
<Minute>0</Minute>
</PubMedPubDate>
</History>
<PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus>
<ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">26946185</ArticleId>
<ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1111/gcb.13268</ArticleId>
</ArticleIdList>
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