Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Identifieur interne : 001865 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 001864; suivant : 001866Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Auteurs : Michael Obersteiner ; Brian Walsh ; Stefan Frank ; Petr Havlík ; Matthew Cantele ; Junguo Liu ; Amanda Palazzo ; Mario Herrero ; Yonglong Lu ; Aline Mosnier ; Hugo Valin ; Keywan Riahi ; Florian Kraxner ; Steffen Fritz ; Detlef Van VuurenSource :
- Science advances [ 2375-2548 ] ; 2016.
Abstract
The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for a comprehensive new approach to development rooted in planetary boundaries, equity, and inclusivity. The wide scope of the SDGs will necessitate unprecedented integration of siloed policy portfolios to work at international, regional, and national levels toward multiple goals and mitigate the conflicts that arise from competing resource demands. In this analysis, we adopt a comprehensive modeling approach to understand how coherent policy combinations can manage trade-offs among environmental conservation initiatives and food prices. Our scenario results indicate that SDG strategies constructed around Sustainable Consumption and Production policies can minimize problem-shifting, which has long placed global development and conservation agendas at odds. We conclude that Sustainable Consumption and Production policies (goal 12) are most effective at minimizing trade-offs and argue for their centrality to the formulation of coherent SDG strategies. We also find that alternative socioeconomic futures-mainly, population and economic growth pathways-generate smaller impacts on the eventual achievement of land resource-related SDGs than do resource-use and management policies. We expect that this and future systems analyses will allow policy-makers to negotiate trade-offs and exploit synergies as they assemble sustainable development strategies equal in scope to the ambition of the SDGs.
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1501499
PubMed: 27652336
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School of Environmental Science and Engineering, South University of Science and Technology of China, Shenzhen 518055, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palazzo, Amanda" sort="Palazzo, Amanda" uniqKey="Palazzo A" first="Amanda" last="Palazzo">Amanda Palazzo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Herrero, Mario" sort="Herrero, Mario" uniqKey="Herrero M" first="Mario" last="Herrero">Mario Herrero</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lu, Yonglong" sort="Lu, Yonglong" uniqKey="Lu Y" first="Yonglong" last="Lu">Yonglong Lu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Resource Panel of the United Nations Environmental Program, 15 rue de Milan, 75441 Paris Cedex 09, France.; Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mosnier, Aline" sort="Mosnier, Aline" uniqKey="Mosnier A" first="Aline" last="Mosnier">Aline Mosnier</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Valin, Hugo" sort="Valin, Hugo" uniqKey="Valin H" first="Hugo" last="Valin">Hugo Valin</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Riahi, Keywan" sort="Riahi, Keywan" uniqKey="Riahi K" first="Keywan" last="Riahi">Keywan Riahi</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kraxner, Florian" sort="Kraxner, Florian" uniqKey="Kraxner F" first="Florian" last="Kraxner">Florian Kraxner</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fritz, Steffen" sort="Fritz, Steffen" uniqKey="Fritz S" first="Steffen" last="Fritz">Steffen Fritz</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Vuuren, Detlef" sort="Van Vuuren, Detlef" uniqKey="Van Vuuren D" first="Detlef" last="Van Vuuren">Detlef Van Vuuren</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Oranjebuitensingel 6, 2511 VE The Hague, Netherlands.; Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2016">2016</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:27652336</idno><idno type="pmid">27652336</idno><idno type="doi">10.1126/sciadv.1501499</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">001865</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">001865</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals.</title><author><name sortKey="Obersteiner, Michael" sort="Obersteiner, Michael" uniqKey="Obersteiner M" first="Michael" last="Obersteiner">Michael Obersteiner</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Walsh, Brian" sort="Walsh, Brian" uniqKey="Walsh B" first="Brian" last="Walsh">Brian Walsh</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Frank, Stefan" sort="Frank, Stefan" uniqKey="Frank S" first="Stefan" last="Frank">Stefan Frank</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Havlik, Petr" sort="Havlik, Petr" uniqKey="Havlik P" first="Petr" last="Havlík">Petr Havlík</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cantele, Matthew" sort="Cantele, Matthew" uniqKey="Cantele M" first="Matthew" last="Cantele">Matthew Cantele</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Junguo" sort="Liu, Junguo" uniqKey="Liu J" first="Junguo" last="Liu">Junguo Liu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, South University of Science and Technology of China, Shenzhen 518055, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palazzo, Amanda" sort="Palazzo, Amanda" uniqKey="Palazzo A" first="Amanda" last="Palazzo">Amanda Palazzo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Herrero, Mario" sort="Herrero, Mario" uniqKey="Herrero M" first="Mario" last="Herrero">Mario Herrero</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lu, Yonglong" sort="Lu, Yonglong" uniqKey="Lu Y" first="Yonglong" last="Lu">Yonglong Lu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Resource Panel of the United Nations Environmental Program, 15 rue de Milan, 75441 Paris Cedex 09, France.; Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mosnier, Aline" sort="Mosnier, Aline" uniqKey="Mosnier A" first="Aline" last="Mosnier">Aline Mosnier</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Valin, Hugo" sort="Valin, Hugo" uniqKey="Valin H" first="Hugo" last="Valin">Hugo Valin</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Riahi, Keywan" sort="Riahi, Keywan" uniqKey="Riahi K" first="Keywan" last="Riahi">Keywan Riahi</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kraxner, Florian" sort="Kraxner, Florian" uniqKey="Kraxner F" first="Florian" last="Kraxner">Florian Kraxner</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fritz, Steffen" sort="Fritz, Steffen" uniqKey="Fritz S" first="Steffen" last="Fritz">Steffen Fritz</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Van Vuuren, Detlef" sort="Van Vuuren, Detlef" uniqKey="Van Vuuren D" first="Detlef" last="Van Vuuren">Detlef Van Vuuren</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Oranjebuitensingel 6, 2511 VE The Hague, Netherlands.; Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Science advances</title><idno type="eISSN">2375-2548</idno><imprint><date when="2016" type="published">2016</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for a comprehensive new approach to development rooted in planetary boundaries, equity, and inclusivity. The wide scope of the SDGs will necessitate unprecedented integration of siloed policy portfolios to work at international, regional, and national levels toward multiple goals and mitigate the conflicts that arise from competing resource demands. In this analysis, we adopt a comprehensive modeling approach to understand how coherent policy combinations can manage trade-offs among environmental conservation initiatives and food prices. Our scenario results indicate that SDG strategies constructed around Sustainable Consumption and Production policies can minimize problem-shifting, which has long placed global development and conservation agendas at odds. We conclude that Sustainable Consumption and Production policies (goal 12) are most effective at minimizing trade-offs and argue for their centrality to the formulation of coherent SDG strategies. We also find that alternative socioeconomic futures-mainly, population and economic growth pathways-generate smaller impacts on the eventual achievement of land resource-related SDGs than do resource-use and management policies. We expect that this and future systems analyses will allow policy-makers to negotiate trade-offs and exploit synergies as they assemble sustainable development strategies equal in scope to the ambition of the SDGs.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="In-Data-Review" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">27652336</PMID><DateCreated><Year>2016</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>21</Day></DateCreated><DateRevised><Year>2017</Year><Month>02</Month><Day>20</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic-eCollection"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">2375-2548</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>2</Volume><Issue>9</Issue><PubDate><Year>2016</Year><Month>Sep</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Science advances</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Sci Adv</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Assessing the land resource-food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>e1501499</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1126/sciadv.1501499</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for a comprehensive new approach to development rooted in planetary boundaries, equity, and inclusivity. The wide scope of the SDGs will necessitate unprecedented integration of siloed policy portfolios to work at international, regional, and national levels toward multiple goals and mitigate the conflicts that arise from competing resource demands. In this analysis, we adopt a comprehensive modeling approach to understand how coherent policy combinations can manage trade-offs among environmental conservation initiatives and food prices. Our scenario results indicate that SDG strategies constructed around Sustainable Consumption and Production policies can minimize problem-shifting, which has long placed global development and conservation agendas at odds. We conclude that Sustainable Consumption and Production policies (goal 12) are most effective at minimizing trade-offs and argue for their centrality to the formulation of coherent SDG strategies. We also find that alternative socioeconomic futures-mainly, population and economic growth pathways-generate smaller impacts on the eventual achievement of land resource-related SDGs than do resource-use and management policies. We expect that this and future systems analyses will allow policy-makers to negotiate trade-offs and exploit synergies as they assemble sustainable development strategies equal in scope to the ambition of the SDGs.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Obersteiner</LastName><ForeName>Michael</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0001-6981-2769</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Walsh</LastName><ForeName>Brian</ForeName><Initials>B</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-1689-2309</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Frank</LastName><ForeName>Stefan</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Havlík</LastName><ForeName>Petr</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Cantele</LastName><ForeName>Matthew</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Liu</LastName><ForeName>Junguo</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-5745-6311</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, South University of Science and Technology of China, Shenzhen 518055, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Palazzo</LastName><ForeName>Amanda</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Herrero</LastName><ForeName>Mario</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Lu</LastName><ForeName>Yonglong</ForeName><Initials>Y</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Resource Panel of the United Nations Environmental Program, 15 rue de Milan, 75441 Paris Cedex 09, France.; Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mosnier</LastName><ForeName>Aline</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Valin</LastName><ForeName>Hugo</ForeName><Initials>H</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Riahi</LastName><ForeName>Keywan</ForeName><Initials>K</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kraxner</LastName><ForeName>Florian</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Fritz</LastName><ForeName>Steffen</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>van Vuuren</LastName><ForeName>Detlef</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-0398-2831</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Oranjebuitensingel 6, 2511 VE The Hague, Netherlands.; Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2016</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>16</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>United States</Country><MedlineTA>Sci Adv</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101653440</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>2375-2548</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><CommentsCorrectionsList><CommentsCorrections RefType="Cites"><RefSource>Nature. 2013 Mar 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