The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.
Identifieur interne : 000871 ( PubMed/Corpus ); précédent : 000870; suivant : 000872The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.
Auteurs : Enli Wang ; Pierre Martre ; Zhigan Zhao ; Frank Ewert ; Andrea Maiorano ; Reimund P. Rötter ; Bruce A. Kimball ; Michael J. Ottman ; Gerard W. Wall ; Jeffrey W. White ; Matthew P. Reynolds ; Phillip D. Alderman ; Pramod K. Aggarwal ; Jakarat Anothai ; Bruno Basso ; Christian Biernath ; Davide Cammarano ; Andrew J. Challinor ; Giacomo De Sanctis ; Jordi Doltra ; Elias Fereres ; Margarita Garcia-Vila ; Sebastian Gayler ; Gerrit Hoogenboom ; Leslie A. Hunt ; Roberto C. Izaurralde ; Mohamed Jabloun ; Curtis D. Jones ; Kurt C. Kersebaum ; Ann-Kristin Koehler ; Leilei Liu ; Christoph Müller ; Soora Naresh Kumar ; Claas Nendel ; Garry O'Leary ; J Rgen E. Olesen ; Taru Palosuo ; Eckart Priesack ; Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei ; Dominique Ripoche ; Alex C. Ruane ; Mikhail A. Semenov ; Iurii Shcherbak ; Claudio Stöckle ; Pierre Stratonovitch ; Thilo Streck ; Iwan Supit ; Fulu Tao ; Peter Thorburn ; Katharina Waha ; Daniel Wallach ; Zhimin Wang ; Joost Wolf ; Yan Zhu ; Senthold AssengSource :
- Nature plants [ 2055-0278 ] ; 2017.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- growth & development : Crops, Agricultural.
- Agriculture, Computer Simulation, Models, Biological, Temperature.
Abstract
Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to project climate impact on crop yield, but have large uncertainty in yield simulations. Here, we show that variations in the mathematical functions currently used to simulate temperature responses of physiological processes in 29 wheat models account for >50% of uncertainty in simulated grain yields for mean growing season temperatures from 14 °C to 33 °C. We derived a set of new temperature response functions that when substituted in four wheat models reduced the error in grain yield simulations across seven global sites with different temperature regimes by 19% to 50% (42% average). We anticipate the improved temperature responses to be a key step to improve modelling of crops under rising temperature and climate change, leading to higher skill of crop yield projections.
DOI: 10.1038/nplants.2017.102
PubMed: 28714956
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pubmed:28714956Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.</title><author><name sortKey="Wang, Enli" sort="Wang, Enli" uniqKey="Wang E" first="Enli" last="Wang">Enli Wang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Martre, Pierre" sort="Martre, Pierre" uniqKey="Martre P" first="Pierre" last="Martre">Pierre Martre</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, Zhigan" sort="Zhao, Zhigan" uniqKey="Zhao Z" first="Zhigan" last="Zhao">Zhigan Zhao</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ewert, Frank" sort="Ewert, Frank" uniqKey="Ewert F" first="Frank" last="Ewert">Frank Ewert</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maiorano, Andrea" sort="Maiorano, Andrea" uniqKey="Maiorano A" first="Andrea" last="Maiorano">Andrea Maiorano</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rotter, Reimund P" sort="Rotter, Reimund P" uniqKey="Rotter R" first="Reimund P" last="Rötter">Reimund P. Rötter</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kimball, Bruce A" sort="Kimball, Bruce A" uniqKey="Kimball B" first="Bruce A" last="Kimball">Bruce A. Kimball</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ottman, Michael J" sort="Ottman, Michael J" uniqKey="Ottman M" first="Michael J" last="Ottman">Michael J. Ottman</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wall, Gerard W" sort="Wall, Gerard W" uniqKey="Wall G" first="Gerard W" last="Wall">Gerard W. Wall</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="White, Jeffrey W" sort="White, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="White J" first="Jeffrey W" last="White">Jeffrey W. White</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reynolds, Matthew P" sort="Reynolds, Matthew P" uniqKey="Reynolds M" first="Matthew P" last="Reynolds">Matthew P. Reynolds</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alderman, Phillip D" sort="Alderman, Phillip D" uniqKey="Alderman P" first="Phillip D" last="Alderman">Phillip D. Alderman</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Aggarwal, Pramod K" sort="Aggarwal, Pramod K" uniqKey="Aggarwal P" first="Pramod K" last="Aggarwal">Pramod K. Aggarwal</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012, India.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Anothai, Jakarat" sort="Anothai, Jakarat" uniqKey="Anothai J" first="Jakarat" last="Anothai">Jakarat Anothai</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Basso, Bruno" sort="Basso, Bruno" uniqKey="Basso B" first="Bruno" last="Basso">Bruno Basso</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Biernath, Christian" sort="Biernath, Christian" uniqKey="Biernath C" first="Christian" last="Biernath">Christian Biernath</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cammarano, Davide" sort="Cammarano, Davide" uniqKey="Cammarano D" first="Davide" last="Cammarano">Davide Cammarano</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Challinor, Andrew J" sort="Challinor, Andrew J" uniqKey="Challinor A" first="Andrew J" last="Challinor">Andrew J. Challinor</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="De Sanctis, Giacomo" sort="De Sanctis, Giacomo" uniqKey="De Sanctis G" first="Giacomo" last="De Sanctis">Giacomo De Sanctis</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Doltra, Jordi" sort="Doltra, Jordi" uniqKey="Doltra J" first="Jordi" last="Doltra">Jordi Doltra</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fereres, Elias" sort="Fereres, Elias" uniqKey="Fereres E" first="Elias" last="Fereres">Elias Fereres</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Garcia Vila, Margarita" sort="Garcia Vila, Margarita" uniqKey="Garcia Vila M" first="Margarita" last="Garcia-Vila">Margarita Garcia-Vila</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gayler, Sebastian" sort="Gayler, Sebastian" uniqKey="Gayler S" first="Sebastian" last="Gayler">Sebastian Gayler</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" sort="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" uniqKey="Hoogenboom G" first="Gerrit" last="Hoogenboom">Gerrit Hoogenboom</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hunt, Leslie A" sort="Hunt, Leslie A" uniqKey="Hunt L" first="Leslie A" last="Hunt">Leslie A. Hunt</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Izaurralde, Roberto C" sort="Izaurralde, Roberto C" uniqKey="Izaurralde R" first="Roberto C" last="Izaurralde">Roberto C. Izaurralde</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jabloun, Mohamed" sort="Jabloun, Mohamed" uniqKey="Jabloun M" first="Mohamed" last="Jabloun">Mohamed Jabloun</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Curtis D" sort="Jones, Curtis D" uniqKey="Jones C" first="Curtis D" last="Jones">Curtis D. Jones</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kersebaum, Kurt C" sort="Kersebaum, Kurt C" uniqKey="Kersebaum K" first="Kurt C" last="Kersebaum">Kurt C. Kersebaum</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Koehler, Ann Kristin" sort="Koehler, Ann Kristin" uniqKey="Koehler A" first="Ann-Kristin" last="Koehler">Ann-Kristin Koehler</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Leilei" sort="Liu, Leilei" uniqKey="Liu L" first="Leilei" last="Liu">Leilei Liu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Muller, Christoph" sort="Muller, Christoph" uniqKey="Muller C" first="Christoph" last="Müller">Christoph Müller</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Naresh Kumar, Soora" sort="Naresh Kumar, Soora" uniqKey="Naresh Kumar S" first="Soora" last="Naresh Kumar">Soora Naresh Kumar</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012, India.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nendel, Claas" sort="Nendel, Claas" uniqKey="Nendel C" first="Claas" last="Nendel">Claas Nendel</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="O Leary, Garry" sort="O Leary, Garry" uniqKey="O Leary G" first="Garry" last="O'Leary">Garry O'Leary</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Olesen, J Rgen E" sort="Olesen, J Rgen E" uniqKey="Olesen J" first="J Rgen E" last="Olesen">J Rgen E. Olesen</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palosuo, Taru" sort="Palosuo, Taru" uniqKey="Palosuo T" first="Taru" last="Palosuo">Taru Palosuo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Priesack, Eckart" sort="Priesack, Eckart" uniqKey="Priesack E" first="Eckart" last="Priesack">Eckart Priesack</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" sort="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" uniqKey="Eyshi Rezaei E" first="Ehsan" last="Eyshi Rezaei">Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ripoche, Dominique" sort="Ripoche, Dominique" uniqKey="Ripoche D" first="Dominique" last="Ripoche">Dominique Ripoche</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ruane, Alex C" sort="Ruane, Alex C" uniqKey="Ruane A" first="Alex C" last="Ruane">Alex C. Ruane</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Semenov, Mikhail A" sort="Semenov, Mikhail A" uniqKey="Semenov M" first="Mikhail A" last="Semenov">Mikhail A. Semenov</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shcherbak, Iurii" sort="Shcherbak, Iurii" uniqKey="Shcherbak I" first="Iurii" last="Shcherbak">Iurii Shcherbak</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stockle, Claudio" sort="Stockle, Claudio" uniqKey="Stockle C" first="Claudio" last="Stöckle">Claudio Stöckle</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stratonovitch, Pierre" sort="Stratonovitch, Pierre" uniqKey="Stratonovitch P" first="Pierre" last="Stratonovitch">Pierre Stratonovitch</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Streck, Thilo" sort="Streck, Thilo" uniqKey="Streck T" first="Thilo" last="Streck">Thilo Streck</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Supit, Iwan" sort="Supit, Iwan" uniqKey="Supit I" first="Iwan" last="Supit">Iwan Supit</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tao, Fulu" sort="Tao, Fulu" uniqKey="Tao F" first="Fulu" last="Tao">Fulu Tao</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thorburn, Peter" sort="Thorburn, Peter" uniqKey="Thorburn P" first="Peter" last="Thorburn">Peter Thorburn</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Waha, Katharina" sort="Waha, Katharina" uniqKey="Waha K" first="Katharina" last="Waha">Katharina Waha</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallach, Daniel" sort="Wallach, Daniel" uniqKey="Wallach D" first="Daniel" last="Wallach">Daniel Wallach</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Zhimin" sort="Wang, Zhimin" uniqKey="Wang Z" first="Zhimin" last="Wang">Zhimin Wang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wolf, Joost" sort="Wolf, Joost" uniqKey="Wolf J" first="Joost" last="Wolf">Joost Wolf</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhu, Yan" sort="Zhu, Yan" uniqKey="Zhu Y" first="Yan" last="Zhu">Yan Zhu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Asseng, Senthold" sort="Asseng, Senthold" uniqKey="Asseng S" first="Senthold" last="Asseng">Senthold Asseng</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2017">2017</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:28714956</idno><idno type="pmid">28714956</idno><idno type="doi">10.1038/nplants.2017.102</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000871</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000871</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.</title><author><name sortKey="Wang, Enli" sort="Wang, Enli" uniqKey="Wang E" first="Enli" last="Wang">Enli Wang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Martre, Pierre" sort="Martre, Pierre" uniqKey="Martre P" first="Pierre" last="Martre">Pierre Martre</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhao, Zhigan" sort="Zhao, Zhigan" uniqKey="Zhao Z" first="Zhigan" last="Zhao">Zhigan Zhao</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ewert, Frank" sort="Ewert, Frank" uniqKey="Ewert F" first="Frank" last="Ewert">Frank Ewert</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maiorano, Andrea" sort="Maiorano, Andrea" uniqKey="Maiorano A" first="Andrea" last="Maiorano">Andrea Maiorano</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rotter, Reimund P" sort="Rotter, Reimund P" uniqKey="Rotter R" first="Reimund P" last="Rötter">Reimund P. Rötter</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kimball, Bruce A" sort="Kimball, Bruce A" uniqKey="Kimball B" first="Bruce A" last="Kimball">Bruce A. Kimball</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ottman, Michael J" sort="Ottman, Michael J" uniqKey="Ottman M" first="Michael J" last="Ottman">Michael J. Ottman</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wall, Gerard W" sort="Wall, Gerard W" uniqKey="Wall G" first="Gerard W" last="Wall">Gerard W. Wall</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="White, Jeffrey W" sort="White, Jeffrey W" uniqKey="White J" first="Jeffrey W" last="White">Jeffrey W. White</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reynolds, Matthew P" sort="Reynolds, Matthew P" uniqKey="Reynolds M" first="Matthew P" last="Reynolds">Matthew P. Reynolds</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Alderman, Phillip D" sort="Alderman, Phillip D" uniqKey="Alderman P" first="Phillip D" last="Alderman">Phillip D. Alderman</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Aggarwal, Pramod K" sort="Aggarwal, Pramod K" uniqKey="Aggarwal P" first="Pramod K" last="Aggarwal">Pramod K. Aggarwal</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012, India.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Anothai, Jakarat" sort="Anothai, Jakarat" uniqKey="Anothai J" first="Jakarat" last="Anothai">Jakarat Anothai</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Basso, Bruno" sort="Basso, Bruno" uniqKey="Basso B" first="Bruno" last="Basso">Bruno Basso</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Biernath, Christian" sort="Biernath, Christian" uniqKey="Biernath C" first="Christian" last="Biernath">Christian Biernath</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cammarano, Davide" sort="Cammarano, Davide" uniqKey="Cammarano D" first="Davide" last="Cammarano">Davide Cammarano</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Challinor, Andrew J" sort="Challinor, Andrew J" uniqKey="Challinor A" first="Andrew J" last="Challinor">Andrew J. Challinor</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="De Sanctis, Giacomo" sort="De Sanctis, Giacomo" uniqKey="De Sanctis G" first="Giacomo" last="De Sanctis">Giacomo De Sanctis</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Doltra, Jordi" sort="Doltra, Jordi" uniqKey="Doltra J" first="Jordi" last="Doltra">Jordi Doltra</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fereres, Elias" sort="Fereres, Elias" uniqKey="Fereres E" first="Elias" last="Fereres">Elias Fereres</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Garcia Vila, Margarita" sort="Garcia Vila, Margarita" uniqKey="Garcia Vila M" first="Margarita" last="Garcia-Vila">Margarita Garcia-Vila</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gayler, Sebastian" sort="Gayler, Sebastian" uniqKey="Gayler S" first="Sebastian" last="Gayler">Sebastian Gayler</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" sort="Hoogenboom, Gerrit" uniqKey="Hoogenboom G" first="Gerrit" last="Hoogenboom">Gerrit Hoogenboom</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hunt, Leslie A" sort="Hunt, Leslie A" uniqKey="Hunt L" first="Leslie A" last="Hunt">Leslie A. Hunt</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Izaurralde, Roberto C" sort="Izaurralde, Roberto C" uniqKey="Izaurralde R" first="Roberto C" last="Izaurralde">Roberto C. Izaurralde</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jabloun, Mohamed" sort="Jabloun, Mohamed" uniqKey="Jabloun M" first="Mohamed" last="Jabloun">Mohamed Jabloun</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Curtis D" sort="Jones, Curtis D" uniqKey="Jones C" first="Curtis D" last="Jones">Curtis D. Jones</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kersebaum, Kurt C" sort="Kersebaum, Kurt C" uniqKey="Kersebaum K" first="Kurt C" last="Kersebaum">Kurt C. Kersebaum</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Koehler, Ann Kristin" sort="Koehler, Ann Kristin" uniqKey="Koehler A" first="Ann-Kristin" last="Koehler">Ann-Kristin Koehler</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, Leilei" sort="Liu, Leilei" uniqKey="Liu L" first="Leilei" last="Liu">Leilei Liu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Muller, Christoph" sort="Muller, Christoph" uniqKey="Muller C" first="Christoph" last="Müller">Christoph Müller</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Naresh Kumar, Soora" sort="Naresh Kumar, Soora" uniqKey="Naresh Kumar S" first="Soora" last="Naresh Kumar">Soora Naresh Kumar</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012, India.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nendel, Claas" sort="Nendel, Claas" uniqKey="Nendel C" first="Claas" last="Nendel">Claas Nendel</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="O Leary, Garry" sort="O Leary, Garry" uniqKey="O Leary G" first="Garry" last="O'Leary">Garry O'Leary</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Olesen, J Rgen E" sort="Olesen, J Rgen E" uniqKey="Olesen J" first="J Rgen E" last="Olesen">J Rgen E. Olesen</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Palosuo, Taru" sort="Palosuo, Taru" uniqKey="Palosuo T" first="Taru" last="Palosuo">Taru Palosuo</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Priesack, Eckart" sort="Priesack, Eckart" uniqKey="Priesack E" first="Eckart" last="Priesack">Eckart Priesack</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" sort="Eyshi Rezaei, Ehsan" uniqKey="Eyshi Rezaei E" first="Ehsan" last="Eyshi Rezaei">Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ripoche, Dominique" sort="Ripoche, Dominique" uniqKey="Ripoche D" first="Dominique" last="Ripoche">Dominique Ripoche</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ruane, Alex C" sort="Ruane, Alex C" uniqKey="Ruane A" first="Alex C" last="Ruane">Alex C. Ruane</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Semenov, Mikhail A" sort="Semenov, Mikhail A" uniqKey="Semenov M" first="Mikhail A" last="Semenov">Mikhail A. Semenov</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shcherbak, Iurii" sort="Shcherbak, Iurii" uniqKey="Shcherbak I" first="Iurii" last="Shcherbak">Iurii Shcherbak</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stockle, Claudio" sort="Stockle, Claudio" uniqKey="Stockle C" first="Claudio" last="Stöckle">Claudio Stöckle</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Stratonovitch, Pierre" sort="Stratonovitch, Pierre" uniqKey="Stratonovitch P" first="Pierre" last="Stratonovitch">Pierre Stratonovitch</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Streck, Thilo" sort="Streck, Thilo" uniqKey="Streck T" first="Thilo" last="Streck">Thilo Streck</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Supit, Iwan" sort="Supit, Iwan" uniqKey="Supit I" first="Iwan" last="Supit">Iwan Supit</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tao, Fulu" sort="Tao, Fulu" uniqKey="Tao F" first="Fulu" last="Tao">Fulu Tao</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thorburn, Peter" sort="Thorburn, Peter" uniqKey="Thorburn P" first="Peter" last="Thorburn">Peter Thorburn</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067, Australia.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Waha, Katharina" sort="Waha, Katharina" uniqKey="Waha K" first="Katharina" last="Waha">Katharina Waha</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wallach, Daniel" sort="Wallach, Daniel" uniqKey="Wallach D" first="Daniel" last="Wallach">Daniel Wallach</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan, France.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wang, Zhimin" sort="Wang, Zhimin" uniqKey="Wang Z" first="Zhimin" last="Wang">Zhimin Wang</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wolf, Joost" sort="Wolf, Joost" uniqKey="Wolf J" first="Joost" last="Wolf">Joost Wolf</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhu, Yan" sort="Zhu, Yan" uniqKey="Zhu Y" first="Yan" last="Zhu">Yan Zhu</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Asseng, Senthold" sort="Asseng, Senthold" uniqKey="Asseng S" first="Senthold" last="Asseng">Senthold Asseng</name><affiliation><nlm:affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</nlm:affiliation></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Nature plants</title><idno type="eISSN">2055-0278</idno><imprint><date when="2017" type="published">2017</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Crops, Agricultural (growth & development)</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Temperature</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="growth & development" xml:lang="en"><term>Crops, Agricultural</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Agriculture</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Models, Biological</term><term>Temperature</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to project climate impact on crop yield, but have large uncertainty in yield simulations. Here, we show that variations in the mathematical functions currently used to simulate temperature responses of physiological processes in 29 wheat models account for >50% of uncertainty in simulated grain yields for mean growing season temperatures from 14 °C to 33 °C. We derived a set of new temperature response functions that when substituted in four wheat models reduced the error in grain yield simulations across seven global sites with different temperature regimes by 19% to 50% (42% average). We anticipate the improved temperature responses to be a key step to improve modelling of crops under rising temperature and climate change, leading to higher skill of crop yield projections.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">28714956</PMID><DateCreated><Year>2017</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>17</Day></DateCreated><DateCompleted><Year>2017</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>13</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2017</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>13</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">2055-0278</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>3</Volume><PubDate><Year>2017</Year><Month>Jul</Month><Day>17</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Nature plants</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Nat Plants</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>17102</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1038/nplants.2017.102</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to project climate impact on crop yield, but have large uncertainty in yield simulations. Here, we show that variations in the mathematical functions currently used to simulate temperature responses of physiological processes in 29 wheat models account for >50% of uncertainty in simulated grain yields for mean growing season temperatures from 14 °C to 33 °C. We derived a set of new temperature response functions that when substituted in four wheat models reduced the error in grain yield simulations across seven global sites with different temperature regimes by 19% to 50% (42% average). We anticipate the improved temperature responses to be a key step to improve modelling of crops under rising temperature and climate change, leading to higher skill of crop yield projections.</AbstractText></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wang</LastName><ForeName>Enli</ForeName><Initials>E</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6653-5791</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Martre</LastName><ForeName>Pierre</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Zhao</LastName><ForeName>Zhigan</ForeName><Initials>Z</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, Black Mountain, Australian Capital Territory 2601, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Ewert</LastName><ForeName>Frank</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Maiorano</LastName><ForeName>Andrea</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>UMR LEPSE, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, 2 Place Viala, 34 060 Montpellier, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Rötter</LastName><ForeName>Reimund P</ForeName><Initials>RP</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Crop Sciences, University of Goettingen, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling (TROPAGS), 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre of Biodiversity and Sustainable Land Use (CBL), University of Goettingen, Büsgenweg 1, 37077 Göttingen, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kimball</LastName><ForeName>Bruce A</ForeName><Initials>BA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Ottman</LastName><ForeName>Michael J</ForeName><Initials>MJ</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>The School of Plant Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wall</LastName><ForeName>Gerard W</ForeName><Initials>GW</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>White</LastName><ForeName>Jeffrey W</ForeName><Initials>JW</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>USDA, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Arid-Land Agricultural Research Center, Maricopa, Arizona 85138, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Reynolds</LastName><ForeName>Matthew P</ForeName><Initials>MP</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Alderman</LastName><ForeName>Phillip D</ForeName><Initials>PD</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Global Wheat Program, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) Apdo, 06600 Mexico, D.F, Mexico.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Aggarwal</LastName><ForeName>Pramod K</ForeName><Initials>PK</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, Borlaug Institute for South Asia, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), New Delhi 110012, India.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Anothai</LastName><ForeName>Jakarat</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Basso</LastName><ForeName>Bruno</ForeName><Initials>B</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Biernath</LastName><ForeName>Christian</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Cammarano</LastName><ForeName>Davide</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Challinor</LastName><ForeName>Andrew J</ForeName><Initials>AJ</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8551-6617</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Km 17, Recta Cali-Palmira Apartado Aéreo 6713, Cali, Colombia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>De Sanctis</LastName><ForeName>Giacomo</ForeName><Initials>G</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>GMO Unit, European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Via Carlo Magno, 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Doltra</LastName><ForeName>Jordi</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Cantabrian Agricultural Research and Training Centre (CIFA), 39600 Muriedas, Spain.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Fereres</LastName><ForeName>Elias</ForeName><Initials>E</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>IAS-CSIC, Cordoba 14080, Spain.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Garcia-Vila</LastName><ForeName>Margarita</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5737-4669</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Dep. Agronomia, University of Cordoba, Apartado 3048, 14080 Cordoba, Spain.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>IAS-CSIC, Cordoba 14080, Spain.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Gayler</LastName><ForeName>Sebastian</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hoogenboom</LastName><ForeName>Gerrit</ForeName><Initials>G</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1555-0537</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>AgWeatherNet Program, Washington State University, Prosser, Washington 99350-8694, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hunt</LastName><ForeName>Leslie A</ForeName><Initials>LA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Plant Agriculture, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Izaurralde</LastName><ForeName>Roberto C</ForeName><Initials>RC</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Texas A&M AgriLife Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M University, Temple, Texas 76502, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Jabloun</LastName><ForeName>Mohamed</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Jones</LastName><ForeName>Curtis D</ForeName><Initials>CD</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kersebaum</LastName><ForeName>Kurt C</ForeName><Initials>KC</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Koehler</LastName><ForeName>Ann-Kristin</ForeName><Initials>AK</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS29JT, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Liu</LastName><ForeName>Leilei</ForeName><Initials>L</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Müller</LastName><ForeName>Christoph</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9491-3550</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Naresh Kumar</LastName><ForeName>Soora</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Environment Science and Climate Resilient Agriculture, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, IARI PUSA, New Delhi 110 012, India.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Nendel</LastName><ForeName>Claas</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7608-9097</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>O'Leary</LastName><ForeName>Garry</ForeName><Initials>G</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Economic Development, Landscape &Water Sciences, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Horsham 3400, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Olesen</LastName><ForeName>Jørgen E</ForeName><Initials>JE</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6639-1273</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University, 8830 Tjele, Denmark.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Palosuo</LastName><ForeName>Taru</ForeName><Initials>T</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Priesack</LastName><ForeName>Eckart</ForeName><Initials>E</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5088-9528</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology, Neuherberg, 85764, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Eyshi Rezaei</LastName><ForeName>Ehsan</ForeName><Initials>E</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2603-8034</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Ripoche</LastName><ForeName>Dominique</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INRA, US1116 AgroClim, 84 914 Avignon, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Ruane</LastName><ForeName>Alex C</ForeName><Initials>AC</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Semenov</LastName><ForeName>Mikhail A</ForeName><Initials>MA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Shcherbak</LastName><ForeName>Iurii</ForeName><Initials>I</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4153-3770</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences and W.K. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University East Lansing, Michigan 48823, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Stöckle</LastName><ForeName>Claudio</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Biological Systems Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6120, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Stratonovitch</LastName><ForeName>Pierre</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Computational and Systems Biology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Herts AL5 2JQ, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Streck</LastName><ForeName>Thilo</ForeName><Initials>T</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Soil Science and Land Evaluation, University of Hohenheim, 70599 Stuttgart, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Supit</LastName><ForeName>Iwan</ForeName><Initials>I</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8031-5162</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Tao</LastName><ForeName>Fulu</ForeName><Initials>F</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100101, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Thorburn</LastName><ForeName>Peter</ForeName><Initials>P</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CSIRO Agriculture and Food, St Lucia, Queensland 4067, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Waha</LastName><ForeName>Katharina</ForeName><Initials>K</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wallach</LastName><ForeName>Daniel</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>INRA, UMR 1248 Agrosystèmes et développement territorial (AGIR), 31 326 Castanet-Tolosan, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wang</LastName><ForeName>Zhimin</ForeName><Initials>Z</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wolf</LastName><ForeName>Joost</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>PPS and WSG &CALM, Wageningen University, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Zhu</LastName><ForeName>Yan</ForeName><Initials>Y</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210095, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Asseng</LastName><ForeName>Senthold</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2017</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>17</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>Nat Plants</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101651677</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>2055-0278</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><CommentsCorrectionsList><CommentsCorrections RefType="ErratumIn"><RefSource>Nat Plants. 2017 Aug 03;3:17125</RefSource><PMID Version="1">28770816</PMID></CommentsCorrections><CommentsCorrections RefType="ErratumIn"><RefSource>Nat Plants. 2017 Aug 03;3(8):17125</RefSource><PMID Version="1">28770821</PMID></CommentsCorrections></CommentsCorrectionsList><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000383" MajorTopicYN="Y">Agriculture</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003198" MajorTopicYN="N">Computer Simulation</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D018556" MajorTopicYN="N">Crops, Agricultural</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000254" MajorTopicYN="Y">growth & development</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008954" MajorTopicYN="N">Models, Biological</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D013696" MajorTopicYN="Y">Temperature</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2016</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>06</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2017</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>05</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2017</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>18</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2017</Year><Month>7</Month><Day>18</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2017</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>14</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>epublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">28714956</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">nplants2017102</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1038/nplants.2017.102</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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