Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study
Identifieur interne : 003426 ( PascalFrancis/Curation ); précédent : 003425; suivant : 003427Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study
Auteurs : A. J. Pitman [Australie] ; N. De Noblet-Ducoudre [France] ; F. T. Cruz [Australie] ; E. L. Davin [France, Suisse] ; G. B. Bonan [États-Unis] ; V. Brovkin [Allemagne] ; M. Claussen [Allemagne] ; C. Delire [France] ; L. Ganzeveld [Pays-Bas] ; V. Gayler [Allemagne] ; B. J. J. M. Van Den Hurk [Pays-Bas] ; P. J. Lawrence [États-Unis] ; M. K. Van Der Molen [Pays-Bas] ; C. Müller [Allemagne, Pays-Bas] ; C. H. Reick [Allemagne] ; S. I. Seneviratne [Suisse] ; B. J. Strengers [Pays-Bas] ; A. Voldoire [France]Source :
- Geophysical research letters [ 0094-8276 ] ; 2009.
Descripteurs français
- Pascal (Inist)
- Incertitude, Climat, Occupation sol, Modèle climat, Echelon régional, Monde, Hémisphère Nord, Eté, Chaleur latente, Flux chaleur, Transfert chaleur, Refroidissement, Température surface, Température superficielle, Réchauffement, Précipitation atmosphérique, Consistance, Carte, Phénologie, Paramétrisation, Albedo, Evapotranspiration.
- Wicri :
- topic : Climat.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Climate models, Consistency, Northern Hemisphere, Phenology, Regional scope, Summer, Surface temperature, albedo, atmospheric precipitation, climate, cooling, evapotranspiration, global, heat flux, heat transfer, land cover, latent heat, maps, parametrization, surface temperature, uncertainties, warming.
Abstract
[1] Seven climate models were used to explore the biogeophysical impacts of human-induced land cover change (LCC) at regional and global scales. The imposed LCC led to statistically significant decreases in the northern hemisphere summer latent heat flux in three models, and increases in three models. Five models simulated statistically significant cooling in summer in near-surface temperature over regions of LCC and one simulated warming. There were few significant changes in precipitation. Our results show no common remote impacts of LCC. The lack of consistency among the seven models was due to: 1) the implementation of LCC despite agreed maps of agricultural land, 2) the representation of crop phenology, 3) the parameterisation of albedo, and 4) the representation of evapotranspiration for different land cover types. This study highlights a dilemma: LCC is regionally significant, but it is not feasible to impose a common LCC across multiple models for the next IPCC assessment.
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<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a">Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study</title>
<author><name sortKey="Pitman, A J" sort="Pitman, A J" uniqKey="Pitman A" first="A. J." last="Pitman">A. J. Pitman</name>
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<author><name sortKey="De Noblet Ducoudre, N" sort="De Noblet Ducoudre, N" uniqKey="De Noblet Ducoudre N" first="N." last="De Noblet-Ducoudre">N. De Noblet-Ducoudre</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="02"><s1>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UVSQ, CEA, CNRS</s1>
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<author><name sortKey="Cruz, F T" sort="Cruz, F T" uniqKey="Cruz F" first="F. T." last="Cruz">F. T. Cruz</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales</s1>
<s2>Sydney, New South Wales</s2>
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<author><name sortKey="Davin, E L" sort="Davin, E L" uniqKey="Davin E" first="E. L." last="Davin">E. L. Davin</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="02"><s1>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UVSQ, CEA, CNRS</s1>
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<author><name sortKey="Bonan, G B" sort="Bonan, G B" uniqKey="Bonan G" first="G. B." last="Bonan">G. B. Bonan</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Brovkin, V" sort="Brovkin, V" uniqKey="Brovkin V" first="V." last="Brovkin">V. Brovkin</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="05"><s1>Max Planck Institute for Meteorology</s1>
<s2>Hamburg</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
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<author><name sortKey="Claussen, M" sort="Claussen, M" uniqKey="Claussen M" first="M." last="Claussen">M. Claussen</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Delire, C" sort="Delire, C" uniqKey="Delire C" first="C." last="Delire">C. Delire</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Ganzeveld, L" sort="Ganzeveld, L" uniqKey="Ganzeveld L" first="L." last="Ganzeveld">L. Ganzeveld</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Gayler, V" sort="Gayler, V" uniqKey="Gayler V" first="V." last="Gayler">V. Gayler</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Van Den Hurk, B J J M" sort="Van Den Hurk, B J J M" uniqKey="Van Den Hurk B" first="B. J. J. M." last="Van Den Hurk">B. J. J. M. Van Den Hurk</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Lawrence, P J" sort="Lawrence, P J" uniqKey="Lawrence P" first="P. J." last="Lawrence">P. J. Lawrence</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Van Der Molen, M K" sort="Van Der Molen, M K" uniqKey="Van Der Molen M" first="M. K." last="Van Der Molen">M. K. Van Der Molen</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Muller, C" sort="Muller, C" uniqKey="Muller C" first="C." last="Müller">C. Müller</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="10"><s1>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research</s1>
<s2>Potsdam</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
</inist:fA14>
<country>Allemagne</country>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="11"><s1>Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency</s1>
<s2>Bilthoven</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>17 aut.</sZ>
</inist:fA14>
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</affiliation>
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<author><name sortKey="Reick, C H" sort="Reick, C H" uniqKey="Reick C" first="C. H." last="Reick">C. H. Reick</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="05"><s1>Max Planck Institute for Meteorology</s1>
<s2>Hamburg</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
<sZ>6 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>7 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>10 aut.</sZ>
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</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Seneviratne, S I" sort="Seneviratne, S I" uniqKey="Seneviratne S" first="S. I." last="Seneviratne">S. I. Seneviratne</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich</s1>
<s2>Zurich</s2>
<s3>CHE</s3>
<sZ>4 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>16 aut.</sZ>
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</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Strengers, B J" sort="Strengers, B J" uniqKey="Strengers B" first="B. J." last="Strengers">B. J. Strengers</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="11"><s1>Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency</s1>
<s2>Bilthoven</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>17 aut.</sZ>
</inist:fA14>
<country>Pays-Bas</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Voldoire, A" sort="Voldoire, A" uniqKey="Voldoire A" first="A." last="Voldoire">A. Voldoire</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="06"><s1>Groupe d'étude de l'Atmosphère Météorologique, Météo-France, CNRS</s1>
<s2>Toulouse</s2>
<s3>FRA</s3>
<sZ>8 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>18 aut.</sZ>
</inist:fA14>
<country>France</country>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j" type="main">Geophysical research letters</title>
<title level="j" type="abbreviated">Geophys. res. lett.</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno>
<imprint><date when="2009">2009</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
<seriesStmt><title level="j" type="main">Geophysical research letters</title>
<title level="j" type="abbreviated">Geophys. res. lett.</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno>
</seriesStmt>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Climate models</term>
<term>Consistency</term>
<term>Northern Hemisphere</term>
<term>Phenology</term>
<term>Regional scope</term>
<term>Summer</term>
<term>Surface temperature</term>
<term>albedo</term>
<term>atmospheric precipitation</term>
<term>climate</term>
<term>cooling</term>
<term>evapotranspiration</term>
<term>global</term>
<term>heat flux</term>
<term>heat transfer</term>
<term>land cover</term>
<term>latent heat</term>
<term>maps</term>
<term>parametrization</term>
<term>surface temperature</term>
<term>uncertainties</term>
<term>warming</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Incertitude</term>
<term>Climat</term>
<term>Occupation sol</term>
<term>Modèle climat</term>
<term>Echelon régional</term>
<term>Monde</term>
<term>Hémisphère Nord</term>
<term>Eté</term>
<term>Chaleur latente</term>
<term>Flux chaleur</term>
<term>Transfert chaleur</term>
<term>Refroidissement</term>
<term>Température surface</term>
<term>Température superficielle</term>
<term>Réchauffement</term>
<term>Précipitation atmosphérique</term>
<term>Consistance</term>
<term>Carte</term>
<term>Phénologie</term>
<term>Paramétrisation</term>
<term>Albedo</term>
<term>Evapotranspiration</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="topic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Climat</term>
</keywords>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">[1] Seven climate models were used to explore the biogeophysical impacts of human-induced land cover change (LCC) at regional and global scales. The imposed LCC led to statistically significant decreases in the northern hemisphere summer latent heat flux in three models, and increases in three models. Five models simulated statistically significant cooling in summer in near-surface temperature over regions of LCC and one simulated warming. There were few significant changes in precipitation. Our results show no common remote impacts of LCC. The lack of consistency among the seven models was due to: 1) the implementation of LCC despite agreed maps of agricultural land, 2) the representation of crop phenology, 3) the parameterisation of albedo, and 4) the representation of evapotranspiration for different land cover types. This study highlights a dilemma: LCC is regionally significant, but it is not feasible to impose a common LCC across multiple models for the next IPCC assessment.</div>
</front>
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<fA03 i2="1"><s0>Geophys. res. lett.</s0>
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<fA05><s2>36</s2>
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<fA06><s2>14</s2>
</fA06>
<fA08 i1="01" i2="1" l="ENG"><s1>Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study</s1>
</fA08>
<fA11 i1="01" i2="1"><s1>PITMAN (A. J.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="02" i2="1"><s1>DE NOBLET-DUCOUDRE (N.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="03" i2="1"><s1>CRUZ (F. T.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="04" i2="1"><s1>DAVIN (E. L.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="05" i2="1"><s1>BONAN (G. B.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="06" i2="1"><s1>BROVKIN (V.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="07" i2="1"><s1>CLAUSSEN (M.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="08" i2="1"><s1>DELIRE (C.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="11" i2="1"><s1>VAN DEN HURK (B. J. J. M.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="12" i2="1"><s1>LAWRENCE (P. J.)</s1>
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<fA11 i1="13" i2="1"><s1>VAN DER MOLEN (M. K.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="14" i2="1"><s1>MÜLLER (C.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="15" i2="1"><s1>REICK (C. H.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="16" i2="1"><s1>SENEVIRATNE (S. I.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="17" i2="1"><s1>STRENGERS (B. J.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA11 i1="18" i2="1"><s1>VOLDOIRE (A.)</s1>
</fA11>
<fA14 i1="01"><s1>Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales</s1>
<s2>Sydney, New South Wales</s2>
<s3>AUS</s3>
<sZ>1 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>3 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="02"><s1>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UVSQ, CEA, CNRS</s1>
<s2>Gif-sur-Yvette</s2>
<s3>FRA</s3>
<sZ>2 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>4 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="03"><s1>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich</s1>
<s2>Zurich</s2>
<s3>CHE</s3>
<sZ>4 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>16 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="04"><s1>National Center for Atmospheric Research</s1>
<s2>Boulder, Colorado</s2>
<s3>USA</s3>
<sZ>5 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>12 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="05"><s1>Max Planck Institute for Meteorology</s1>
<s2>Hamburg</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
<sZ>6 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>7 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>10 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>15 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="06"><s1>Groupe d'étude de l'Atmosphère Météorologique, Météo-France, CNRS</s1>
<s2>Toulouse</s2>
<s3>FRA</s3>
<sZ>8 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>18 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="07"><s1>Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University and Research Centre</s1>
<s2>Wageningen</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>9 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="08"><s1>Netherlands Royal Meteorological Institute</s1>
<s2>De Bilt</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>11 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>13 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="09"><s1>Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam</s1>
<s2>Amsterdam</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>13 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="10"><s1>Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research</s1>
<s2>Potsdam</s2>
<s3>DEU</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA14 i1="11"><s1>Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency</s1>
<s2>Bilthoven</s2>
<s3>NLD</s3>
<sZ>14 aut.</sZ>
<sZ>17 aut.</sZ>
</fA14>
<fA20><s2>L14814.1-L14814.6</s2>
</fA20>
<fA21><s1>2009</s1>
</fA21>
<fA23 i1="01"><s0>ENG</s0>
</fA23>
<fA43 i1="01"><s1>INIST</s1>
<s2>16687</s2>
<s5>354000171883280490</s5>
</fA43>
<fA44><s0>0000</s0>
<s1>© 2009 INIST-CNRS. All rights reserved.</s1>
</fA44>
<fA45><s0>1/2 p.</s0>
</fA45>
<fA47 i1="01" i2="1"><s0>09-0383299</s0>
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<fA60><s1>P</s1>
</fA60>
<fA61><s0>A</s0>
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<fA64 i1="01" i2="1"><s0>Geophysical research letters</s0>
</fA64>
<fA66 i1="01"><s0>USA</s0>
</fA66>
<fC01 i1="01" l="ENG"><s0>[1] Seven climate models were used to explore the biogeophysical impacts of human-induced land cover change (LCC) at regional and global scales. The imposed LCC led to statistically significant decreases in the northern hemisphere summer latent heat flux in three models, and increases in three models. Five models simulated statistically significant cooling in summer in near-surface temperature over regions of LCC and one simulated warming. There were few significant changes in precipitation. Our results show no common remote impacts of LCC. The lack of consistency among the seven models was due to: 1) the implementation of LCC despite agreed maps of agricultural land, 2) the representation of crop phenology, 3) the parameterisation of albedo, and 4) the representation of evapotranspiration for different land cover types. This study highlights a dilemma: LCC is regionally significant, but it is not feasible to impose a common LCC across multiple models for the next IPCC assessment.</s0>
</fC01>
<fC02 i1="01" i2="3"><s0>001E</s0>
</fC02>
<fC02 i1="02" i2="2"><s0>001E01</s0>
</fC02>
<fC02 i1="03" i2="2"><s0>220</s0>
</fC02>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Incertitude</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="01" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>uncertainties</s0>
<s5>01</s5>
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<fC03 i1="02" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Climat</s0>
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<fC03 i1="02" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>climate</s0>
<s5>02</s5>
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<s5>02</s5>
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<fC03 i1="03" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Occupation sol</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
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<fC03 i1="03" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>land cover</s0>
<s5>03</s5>
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<fC03 i1="04" i2="3" l="FRE"><s0>Modèle climat</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
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<fC03 i1="04" i2="3" l="ENG"><s0>Climate models</s0>
<s5>04</s5>
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<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Echelon régional</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
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<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Regional scope</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
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<fC03 i1="05" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Escala regional</s0>
<s5>05</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Monde</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>global</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="06" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Mundo</s0>
<s5>06</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Hémisphère Nord</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>Northern Hemisphere</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="07" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Hemisferio norte</s0>
<s5>07</s5>
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<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Eté</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Summer</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="08" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Verano</s0>
<s5>08</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Chaleur latente</s0>
<s5>09</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="09" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>latent heat</s0>
<s5>09</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Flux chaleur</s0>
<s5>10</s5>
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<fC03 i1="10" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>heat flux</s0>
<s5>10</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="10" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Flujo calor</s0>
<s5>10</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Transfert chaleur</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>heat transfer</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="11" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Transferencia térmica</s0>
<s5>11</s5>
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<fC03 i1="12" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Refroidissement</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>cooling</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="12" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Enfriamiento</s0>
<s5>12</s5>
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<fC03 i1="13" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Température surface</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
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<fC03 i1="13" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>surface temperature</s0>
<s5>13</s5>
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<fC03 i1="14" i2="X" l="FRE"><s0>Température superficielle</s0>
<s5>14</s5>
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<fC03 i1="14" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Surface temperature</s0>
<s5>14</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="14" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Temperatura superficial</s0>
<s5>14</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="15" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Réchauffement</s0>
<s5>15</s5>
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<fC03 i1="15" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>warming</s0>
<s5>15</s5>
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<fC03 i1="16" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Précipitation atmosphérique</s0>
<s5>16</s5>
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<fC03 i1="16" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>atmospheric precipitation</s0>
<s5>16</s5>
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<fC03 i1="16" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Precipitación atmosférica</s0>
<s5>16</s5>
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<s5>17</s5>
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<fC03 i1="17" i2="X" l="ENG"><s0>Consistency</s0>
<s5>17</s5>
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<fC03 i1="17" i2="X" l="SPA"><s0>Consistencia</s0>
<s5>17</s5>
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<fC03 i1="18" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Carte</s0>
<s5>18</s5>
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<s5>18</s5>
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<s5>19</s5>
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<s5>19</s5>
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<s5>20</s5>
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<s5>20</s5>
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<fC03 i1="21" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Albedo</s0>
<s5>21</s5>
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<fC03 i1="21" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>albedo</s0>
<s5>21</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="21" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Albedo</s0>
<s5>21</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="22" i2="2" l="FRE"><s0>Evapotranspiration</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="22" i2="2" l="ENG"><s0>evapotranspiration</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fC03 i1="22" i2="2" l="SPA"><s0>Evapotranspiración</s0>
<s5>23</s5>
</fC03>
<fN21><s1>278</s1>
</fN21>
<fN44 i1="01"><s1>OTO</s1>
</fN44>
<fN82><s1>OTO</s1>
</fN82>
</pA>
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