Biotic and Human Vulnerability to Projected Changes in Ocean Biogeochemistry over the 21st Century
Identifieur interne : 001528 ( Ncbi/Merge ); précédent : 001527; suivant : 001529Biotic and Human Vulnerability to Projected Changes in Ocean Biogeochemistry over the 21st Century
Auteurs : Camilo Mora [États-Unis] ; Chih-Lin Wei [Canada] ; Audrey Rollo [États-Unis] ; Teresa Amaro [Norvège] ; Amy R. Baco [États-Unis] ; David Billett [Royaume-Uni] ; Laurent Bopp [France] ; Qi Chen [États-Unis] ; Mark Collier [Australie] ; Roberto Danovaro [Italie] ; Andrew J. Gooday [Royaume-Uni] ; Benjamin M. Grupe [États-Unis] ; Paul R. Halloran [Royaume-Uni] ; Jeroen Ingels [Belgique, Royaume-Uni] ; Daniel O. B. Jones [Royaume-Uni] ; Lisa A. Levin [États-Unis] ; Hideyuki Nakano [Japon] ; Karl Norling [Norvège] ; Eva Ramirez-Llodra [Espagne] ; Michael Rex [États-Unis] ; Henry A. Ruhl [Royaume-Uni] ; Craig R. Smith [États-Unis] ; Andrew K. Sweetman [Norvège] ; Andrew R. Thurber [États-Unis] ; Jerry F. Tjiputra [Norvège] ; Paolo Usseglio [États-Unis, Espagne] ; Les Watling [États-Unis] ; Tongwen Wu [République populaire de Chine] ; Moriaki Yasuhara [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- PLoS Biology [ 1544-9173 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
Mora and colleagues show that ongoing greenhouse gas emissions are likely to have a considerable effect on several biogeochemical properties of the world's oceans, with potentially serious consequences for biodiversity and human welfare.
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1001682
PubMed: 24143135
PubMed Central: 3797030
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xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Centro de innovacion Fundacion In-nova Castilla La Mancha, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Watling, Les" sort="Watling, Les" uniqKey="Watling L" first="Les" last="Watling">Les Watling</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff23"><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wu, Tongwen" sort="Wu, Tongwen" uniqKey="Wu T" first="Tongwen" last="Wu">Tongwen Wu</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff25"><addr-line>Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yasuhara, Moriaki" sort="Yasuhara, Moriaki" uniqKey="Yasuhara M" first="Moriaki" last="Yasuhara">Moriaki Yasuhara</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff26"><addr-line>School of Biological Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>School of Biological Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Hong 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Biogeochemistry over the 21st Century</title><author><name sortKey="Mora, Camilo" sort="Mora, Camilo" uniqKey="Mora C" first="Camilo" last="Mora">Camilo Mora</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wei, Chih Lin" sort="Wei, Chih Lin" uniqKey="Wei C" first="Chih-Lin" last="Wei">Chih-Lin Wei</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Ocean Science Centre, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, Canada</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Canada</country><wicri:regionArea>Ocean Science Centre, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Newfoundland</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rollo, Audrey" sort="Rollo, Audrey" uniqKey="Rollo A" first="Audrey" last="Rollo">Audrey Rollo</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Amaro, Teresa" sort="Amaro, Teresa" uniqKey="Amaro T" first="Teresa" last="Amaro">Teresa Amaro</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff4"><addr-line>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Bergen</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bergen</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Baco, Amy R" sort="Baco, Amy R" uniqKey="Baco A" first="Amy R." last="Baco">Amy R. Baco</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff5"><addr-line>Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Floride</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Billett, David" sort="Billett, David" uniqKey="Billett D" first="David" last="Billett">David Billett</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Southampton</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bopp, Laurent" sort="Bopp, Laurent" uniqKey="Bopp L" first="Laurent" last="Bopp">Laurent Bopp</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff7"><addr-line>Institut Pierre Simon Laplace/Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Gif sur Yvette, France</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut Pierre Simon Laplace/Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Gif sur Yvette</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region><settlement type="city">Gif-sur-Yvette</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Chen, Qi" sort="Chen, Qi" uniqKey="Chen Q" first="Qi" last="Chen">Qi Chen</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff1"><addr-line>Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Collier, Mark" sort="Collier, Mark" uniqKey="Collier M" first="Mark" last="Collier">Mark Collier</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff8"><addr-line>The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Victoria</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Danovaro, Roberto" sort="Danovaro, Roberto" uniqKey="Danovaro R" first="Roberto" last="Danovaro">Roberto Danovaro</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff9"><addr-line>Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Italy</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ancona</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gooday, Andrew J" sort="Gooday, Andrew J" uniqKey="Gooday A" first="Andrew J." last="Gooday">Andrew J. Gooday</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Southampton</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Grupe, Benjamin M" sort="Grupe, Benjamin M" uniqKey="Grupe B" first="Benjamin M." last="Grupe">Benjamin M. Grupe</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff10"><addr-line>Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Californie</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Halloran, Paul R" sort="Halloran, Paul R" uniqKey="Halloran P" first="Paul R." last="Halloran">Paul R. Halloran</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff11"><addr-line>Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Exeter</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff12"><addr-line>College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Exeter</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ingels, Jeroen" sort="Ingels, Jeroen" uniqKey="Ingels J" first="Jeroen" last="Ingels">Jeroen Ingels</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff13"><addr-line>Marine Biology Research Group, Biology Department, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Marine Biology Research Group, Biology Department, Ghent University, Ghent</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Gand</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Gand</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province de Flandre-Orientale</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff14"><addr-line>Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Plymouth</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jones, Daniel O B" sort="Jones, Daniel O B" uniqKey="Jones D" first="Daniel O. B." last="Jones">Daniel O. B. Jones</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Southampton</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Levin, Lisa A" sort="Levin, Lisa A" uniqKey="Levin L" first="Lisa A." last="Levin">Lisa A. Levin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff10"><addr-line>Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Californie</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nakano, Hideyuki" sort="Nakano, Hideyuki" uniqKey="Nakano H" first="Hideyuki" last="Nakano">Hideyuki Nakano</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff15"><addr-line>Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Tsukuba</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Norling, Karl" sort="Norling, Karl" uniqKey="Norling K" first="Karl" last="Norling">Karl Norling</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff16"><addr-line>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Oslo, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Oslo</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Oslo</settlement><region nuts="2">Østlandet</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ramirez Llodra, Eva" sort="Ramirez Llodra, Eva" uniqKey="Ramirez Llodra E" first="Eva" last="Ramirez-Llodra">Eva Ramirez-Llodra</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff17"><addr-line>Institut de Ciències Marines, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Barcelona, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut de Ciències Marines, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Barcelona</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Barcelone</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Catalogne</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rex, Michael" sort="Rex, Michael" uniqKey="Rex M" first="Michael" last="Rex">Michael Rex</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff18"><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Massachusetts, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, University of Massachusetts, Boston, Massachusetts</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region><settlement type="city">Amherst (Massachusetts)</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université du Massachusetts</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ruhl, Henry A" sort="Ruhl, Henry A" uniqKey="Ruhl H" first="Henry A." last="Ruhl">Henry A. Ruhl</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Southampton</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Smith, Craig R" sort="Smith, Craig R" uniqKey="Smith C" first="Craig R." last="Smith">Craig R. Smith</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff19"><addr-line>Department of Oceanography, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Oceanography, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sweetman, Andrew K" sort="Sweetman, Andrew K" uniqKey="Sweetman A" first="Andrew K." last="Sweetman">Andrew K. Sweetman</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff20"><addr-line>International Research Institute of Stavanger, Thormøhlensgate, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>International Research Institute of Stavanger, Thormøhlensgate, Bergen</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bergen</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thurber, Andrew R" sort="Thurber, Andrew R" uniqKey="Thurber A" first="Andrew R." last="Thurber">Andrew R. Thurber</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff21"><addr-line>College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Oregon</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tjiputra, Jerry F" sort="Tjiputra, Jerry F" uniqKey="Tjiputra J" first="Jerry F." last="Tjiputra">Jerry F. Tjiputra</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff22"><addr-line>Uni Climate, Uni Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Uni Climate, Uni Research, Bergen</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bergen</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Usseglio, Paolo" sort="Usseglio, Paolo" uniqKey="Usseglio P" first="Paolo" last="Usseglio">Paolo Usseglio</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff23"><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff24"><addr-line>Centro de innovacion Fundacion In-nova Castilla La Mancha, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Centro de innovacion Fundacion In-nova Castilla La Mancha, Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Madrid</settlement><region nuts="2" type="region">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Watling, Les" sort="Watling, Les" uniqKey="Watling L" first="Les" last="Watling">Les Watling</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff23"><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Hawaï</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wu, Tongwen" sort="Wu, Tongwen" uniqKey="Wu T" first="Tongwen" last="Wu">Tongwen Wu</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff25"><addr-line>Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Pékin</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Yasuhara, Moriaki" sort="Yasuhara, Moriaki" uniqKey="Yasuhara M" first="Moriaki" last="Yasuhara">Moriaki Yasuhara</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff26"><addr-line>School of Biological Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>School of Biological Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PLoS Biology</title><idno type="ISSN">1544-9173</idno><idno type="eISSN">1545-7885</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Mora and colleagues show that ongoing greenhouse gas emissions are likely to have a considerable effect on several biogeochemical properties of the world's oceans, with potentially serious consequences for biodiversity and human welfare.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hoegh Guldberg, O" uniqKey="Hoegh Guldberg O">O Hoegh-Guldberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bruno, Jf" uniqKey="Bruno J">JF Bruno</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Hoegh Guldberg, O" uniqKey="Hoegh 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<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">PLoS Biol</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">PLoS Biol</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">plos</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">plosbiol</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>PLoS Biology</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1544-9173</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1545-7885</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Public Library of Science</publisher-name><publisher-loc>San Francisco, USA</publisher-loc></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">24143135</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3797030</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">PBIOLOGY-D-13-01193</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1371/journal.pbio.1001682</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Biotic and Human Vulnerability to Projected Changes in Ocean Biogeochemistry over the 21st Century</article-title><alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Anthropogenic Ocean Biogeochemistry Change</alt-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Mora</surname><given-names>Camilo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1"><sup>*</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Wei</surname><given-names>Chih-Lin</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Rollo</surname><given-names>Audrey</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Amaro</surname><given-names>Teresa</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Baco</surname><given-names>Amy R.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Billett</surname><given-names>David</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Bopp</surname><given-names>Laurent</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"><sup>7</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Chen</surname><given-names>Qi</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Collier</surname><given-names>Mark</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"><sup>8</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Danovaro</surname><given-names>Roberto</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9"><sup>9</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Gooday</surname><given-names>Andrew J.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Grupe</surname><given-names>Benjamin M.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10"><sup>10</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Halloran</surname><given-names>Paul R.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11"><sup>11</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12"><sup>12</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ingels</surname><given-names>Jeroen</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13"><sup>13</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14"><sup>14</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Jones</surname><given-names>Daniel O. B.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Levin</surname><given-names>Lisa A.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10"><sup>10</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Nakano</surname><given-names>Hideyuki</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15"><sup>15</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Norling</surname><given-names>Karl</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16"><sup>16</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ramirez-Llodra</surname><given-names>Eva</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17"><sup>17</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Rex</surname><given-names>Michael</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18"><sup>18</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Ruhl</surname><given-names>Henry A.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Smith</surname><given-names>Craig R.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19"><sup>19</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Sweetman</surname><given-names>Andrew K.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20"><sup>20</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Thurber</surname><given-names>Andrew R.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21"><sup>21</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Tjiputra</surname><given-names>Jerry F.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff22"><sup>22</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Usseglio</surname><given-names>Paolo</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23"><sup>23</sup></xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff24"><sup>24</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Watling</surname><given-names>Les</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23"><sup>23</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Wu</surname><given-names>Tongwen</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff25"><sup>25</sup></xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Yasuhara</surname><given-names>Moriaki</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff26"><sup>26</sup></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><addr-line>Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><addr-line>Ocean Science Centre, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, Canada</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><addr-line>Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><addr-line>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><addr-line>Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><addr-line>Institut Pierre Simon Laplace/Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Gif sur Yvette, France</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff8"><label>8</label><addr-line>The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff9"><label>9</label><addr-line>Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Italy</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff10"><label>10</label><addr-line>Center for Marine Biodiversity and Conservation, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff11"><label>11</label><addr-line>Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff12"><label>12</label><addr-line>College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff13"><label>13</label><addr-line>Marine Biology Research Group, Biology Department, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff14"><label>14</label><addr-line>Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff15"><label>15</label><addr-line>Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff16"><label>16</label><addr-line>Norwegian Institute for Water Research, Oslo, Norway</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff17"><label>17</label><addr-line>Institut de Ciències Marines, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Barcelona, Spain</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff18"><label>18</label><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Massachusetts, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff19"><label>19</label><addr-line>Department of Oceanography, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff20"><label>20</label><addr-line>International Research Institute of Stavanger, Thormøhlensgate, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff21"><label>21</label><addr-line>College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff22"><label>22</label><addr-line>Uni Climate, Uni Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff23"><label>23</label><addr-line>Department of Biology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, United States of America</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff24"><label>24</label><addr-line>Centro de innovacion Fundacion In-nova Castilla La Mancha, Madrid, Spain</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff25"><label>25</label><addr-line>Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China</addr-line></aff><aff id="aff26"><label>26</label><addr-line>School of Biological Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China</addr-line></aff><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Mace</surname><given-names>Georgina M.</given-names></name><role>Academic Editor</role><xref ref-type="aff" rid="edit1"></xref></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="edit1"><addr-line>University College London, United Kingdom</addr-line></aff><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">* E-mail: <email>cmora@hawaii.edu</email></corresp><fn fn-type="COI-statement"><p>The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.</p></fn><fn fn-type="con"><p>The author(s) have made the following declarations about their contributions: Conceived and designed the experiments: CM CLW AR TA ARB DB LB QC MC RD AJG BMG PRH JI DOBJ LAL HN KN ERL MR HAR CRS AKS ART JFT PU LW TW MY. Performed the experiments: CM AR. Analyzed the data: CM QC CLW. Wrote the paper: CM CLW AR TA ARB DB LB QC MC RD AJG BMG PRH JI DOBJ LAL HN KN ERL MR HAR CRS AKS ART JFT PU LW TW MY.</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="collection"><month>10</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>15</day><month>10</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="pmc-release"><day>15</day><month>10</month><year>2013</year></pub-date><pmc-comment> PMC Release delay is 0 months and 0 days and was based on the
<volume>11</volume><issue>10</issue><elocation-id>e1001682</elocation-id><history><date date-type="received"><day>26</day><month>3</month><year>2013</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>3</day><month>9</month><year>2013</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2013 Mora et al</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2013</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Mora et al</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.</license-p></license></permissions><related-article id="RA1" related-article-type="companion" vol="" page="e1001683" ext-link-type="pmc"><pmc-comment>related-article was converted to @ext-link-type="pmc" and original @xlink:href value
was info:doi/10.1371/journal.pbio.1001683</pmc-comment>
<article-title>A Sea of Change</article-title></related-article><abstract abstract-type="toc"><p>Mora and colleagues show that ongoing greenhouse gas emissions are likely to have a considerable effect on several biogeochemical properties of the world's oceans, with potentially serious consequences for biodiversity and human welfare.</p></abstract><abstract><p>Ongoing greenhouse gas emissions can modify climate processes and induce shifts in ocean temperature, pH, oxygen concentration, and productivity, which in turn could alter biological and social systems. Here, we provide a synoptic global assessment of the simultaneous changes in future ocean biogeochemical variables over marine biota and their broader implications for people. We analyzed modern Earth System Models forced by greenhouse gas concentration pathways until 2100 and showed that the entire world's ocean surface will be simultaneously impacted by varying intensities of ocean warming, acidification, oxygen depletion, or shortfalls in productivity. In contrast, only a small fraction of the world's ocean surface, mostly in polar regions, will experience increased oxygenation and productivity, while almost nowhere will there be ocean cooling or pH elevation. We compiled the global distribution of 32 marine habitats and biodiversity hotspots and found that they would all experience simultaneous exposure to changes in multiple biogeochemical variables. This superposition highlights the high risk for synergistic ecosystem responses, the suite of physiological adaptations needed to cope with future climate change, and the potential for reorganization of global biodiversity patterns. If co-occurring biogeochemical changes influence the delivery of ocean goods and services, then they could also have a considerable effect on human welfare. Approximately 470 to 870 million of the poorest people in the world rely heavily on the ocean for food, jobs, and revenues and live in countries that will be most affected by simultaneous changes in ocean biogeochemistry. These results highlight the high risk of degradation of marine ecosystems and associated human hardship expected in a future following current trends in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.</p></abstract><abstract abstract-type="summary"><title>Author Summary</title><p>Climate change caused by human activity could damage biological and social systems. Here we gathered climate, biological, and socioeconomic data to describe some of the events by which ocean biogeochemical changes triggered by ongoing greenhouse gas emissions could cascade through marine habitats and organisms, eventually influencing humans. Our results suggest that the entire world's ocean surface will be simultaneously impacted by varying intensities of ocean warming, acidification, oxygen depletion, or shortfalls in productivity. Only a very small fraction of the oceans, mostly in polar regions, will face the opposing effects of increases in oxygen or productivity, and almost nowhere will there be cooling or pH increase. The biological responses to such biogeochemical changes could be considerable since marine habitats and hotspots for several marine taxa will be simultaneously exposed to biogeochemical changes known to be deleterious. The social ramifications are also likely to be massive and challenging as some 470 to 870 million people – who can least afford dramatic changes to their livelihoods – live in areas where ocean goods and services could be compromised by substantial changes in ocean biogeochemistry. These results underline the need for urgent mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions if degradation of marine ecosystems and associated human hardship are to be prevented.</p></abstract><funding-group><funding-statement>This study was funded by the University of Hawaii Sea Grant (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://seagrant.soest.hawaii.edu/">http://seagrant.soest.hawaii.edu/</ext-link>). We thank the Norwegian Research Council (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.forskningsradet.no/en/">www.forskningsradet.no/en/</ext-link>) for funding a workshop on Climate Change Stress on Deep-Sea Benthic Ecosystems (CLIDEEP), the Sloan Foundation through the Census of Marine Life Program (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.coml.org">www.coml.org</ext-link>) and the Total Foundation (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://foundation.total.com/">http://foundation.total.com/</ext-link>) for funding several meetings as part of the International Network for Scientific Investigations of Deep-Sea Ecosystems (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://INDEEP,www.indeep-project.org">INDEEP, www.indeep-project.org</ext-link>) and the First Global Synthesis of Biodiversity, Biogeography and Ecosystem Function in the Deep Sea (SYNDEEP) that led to the idea of this paper. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.</funding-statement></funding-group><counts><page-count count="14"></page-count></counts></article-meta></front></pmc><affiliations><list><country><li>Australie</li><li>Belgique</li><li>Canada</li><li>Espagne</li><li>France</li><li>Italie</li><li>Japon</li><li>Norvège</li><li>Royaume-Uni</li><li>République populaire de Chine</li><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Californie</li><li>Catalogne</li><li>Communauté de Madrid</li><li>Floride</li><li>Hawaï</li><li>Massachusetts</li><li>Oregon</li><li>Province de Flandre-Orientale</li><li>Région flamande</li><li>Île-de-France</li><li>Østlandet</li></region><settlement><li>Amherst (Massachusetts)</li><li>Barcelone</li><li>Gand</li><li>Gif-sur-Yvette</li><li>Madrid</li><li>Oslo</li><li>Pékin</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université de Gand</li><li>Université du Massachusetts</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Hawaï"><name sortKey="Mora, Camilo" sort="Mora, Camilo" uniqKey="Mora C" first="Camilo" last="Mora">Camilo Mora</name></region><name sortKey="Baco, Amy R" sort="Baco, Amy R" uniqKey="Baco A" first="Amy R." last="Baco">Amy R. Baco</name><name sortKey="Chen, Qi" sort="Chen, Qi" uniqKey="Chen Q" first="Qi" last="Chen">Qi Chen</name><name sortKey="Grupe, Benjamin M" sort="Grupe, Benjamin M" uniqKey="Grupe B" first="Benjamin M." last="Grupe">Benjamin M. Grupe</name><name sortKey="Levin, Lisa A" sort="Levin, Lisa A" uniqKey="Levin L" first="Lisa A." last="Levin">Lisa A. Levin</name><name sortKey="Rex, Michael" sort="Rex, Michael" uniqKey="Rex M" first="Michael" last="Rex">Michael Rex</name><name sortKey="Rollo, Audrey" sort="Rollo, Audrey" uniqKey="Rollo A" first="Audrey" last="Rollo">Audrey Rollo</name><name sortKey="Smith, Craig R" sort="Smith, Craig R" uniqKey="Smith C" first="Craig R." last="Smith">Craig R. Smith</name><name sortKey="Thurber, Andrew R" sort="Thurber, Andrew R" uniqKey="Thurber A" first="Andrew R." last="Thurber">Andrew R. Thurber</name><name sortKey="Usseglio, Paolo" sort="Usseglio, Paolo" uniqKey="Usseglio P" first="Paolo" last="Usseglio">Paolo Usseglio</name><name sortKey="Watling, Les" sort="Watling, Les" uniqKey="Watling L" first="Les" last="Watling">Les Watling</name></country><country name="Canada"><noRegion><name sortKey="Wei, Chih Lin" sort="Wei, Chih Lin" uniqKey="Wei C" first="Chih-Lin" last="Wei">Chih-Lin Wei</name></noRegion></country><country name="Norvège"><noRegion><name sortKey="Amaro, Teresa" sort="Amaro, Teresa" uniqKey="Amaro T" first="Teresa" last="Amaro">Teresa Amaro</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Norling, Karl" sort="Norling, Karl" uniqKey="Norling K" first="Karl" last="Norling">Karl Norling</name><name sortKey="Sweetman, Andrew K" sort="Sweetman, Andrew K" uniqKey="Sweetman A" first="Andrew K." last="Sweetman">Andrew K. Sweetman</name><name sortKey="Tjiputra, Jerry F" sort="Tjiputra, Jerry F" uniqKey="Tjiputra J" first="Jerry F." last="Tjiputra">Jerry F. Tjiputra</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><noRegion><name sortKey="Billett, David" sort="Billett, David" uniqKey="Billett D" first="David" last="Billett">David Billett</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Gooday, Andrew J" sort="Gooday, Andrew J" uniqKey="Gooday A" first="Andrew J." last="Gooday">Andrew J. Gooday</name><name sortKey="Halloran, Paul R" sort="Halloran, Paul R" uniqKey="Halloran P" first="Paul R." last="Halloran">Paul R. Halloran</name><name sortKey="Halloran, Paul R" sort="Halloran, Paul R" uniqKey="Halloran P" first="Paul R." last="Halloran">Paul R. Halloran</name><name sortKey="Ingels, Jeroen" sort="Ingels, Jeroen" uniqKey="Ingels J" first="Jeroen" last="Ingels">Jeroen Ingels</name><name sortKey="Jones, Daniel O B" sort="Jones, Daniel O B" uniqKey="Jones D" first="Daniel O. B." last="Jones">Daniel O. B. Jones</name><name sortKey="Ruhl, Henry A" sort="Ruhl, Henry A" uniqKey="Ruhl H" first="Henry A." last="Ruhl">Henry A. Ruhl</name></country><country name="France"><region name="Île-de-France"><name sortKey="Bopp, Laurent" sort="Bopp, Laurent" uniqKey="Bopp L" first="Laurent" last="Bopp">Laurent Bopp</name></region></country><country name="Australie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Collier, Mark" sort="Collier, Mark" uniqKey="Collier M" first="Mark" last="Collier">Mark Collier</name></noRegion></country><country name="Italie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Danovaro, Roberto" sort="Danovaro, Roberto" uniqKey="Danovaro R" first="Roberto" last="Danovaro">Roberto Danovaro</name></noRegion></country><country name="Belgique"><region name="Région flamande"><name sortKey="Ingels, Jeroen" sort="Ingels, Jeroen" uniqKey="Ingels J" first="Jeroen" last="Ingels">Jeroen Ingels</name></region></country><country name="Japon"><noRegion><name sortKey="Nakano, Hideyuki" sort="Nakano, Hideyuki" uniqKey="Nakano H" first="Hideyuki" last="Nakano">Hideyuki Nakano</name></noRegion></country><country name="Espagne"><region name="Catalogne"><name sortKey="Ramirez Llodra, Eva" sort="Ramirez Llodra, Eva" uniqKey="Ramirez Llodra E" first="Eva" last="Ramirez-Llodra">Eva Ramirez-Llodra</name></region><name sortKey="Usseglio, Paolo" sort="Usseglio, Paolo" uniqKey="Usseglio P" first="Paolo" last="Usseglio">Paolo Usseglio</name></country><country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Wu, Tongwen" sort="Wu, Tongwen" uniqKey="Wu T" first="Tongwen" last="Wu">Tongwen Wu</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Yasuhara, Moriaki" sort="Yasuhara, Moriaki" uniqKey="Yasuhara M" first="Moriaki" last="Yasuhara">Moriaki Yasuhara</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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