A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village
Identifieur interne : 001493 ( Istex/Corpus ); précédent : 001492; suivant : 001494A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village
Auteurs : Shah Jamal Alam ; Ruth Meyer ; Emma NorlingSource :
- Lecture Notes in Computer Science [ 0302-9743 ] ; 2009.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- African village, Alam, Anecdotal evidence, Aspiration level, Average percentage, Better understanding, Case study area, Coital, Concurrent partners, Condom usage, Constant transmission rate, Courtship, Courtship duration, Courtship offer, Different probabilities, Different settings, Different stages, Different transmission rates, Epidemiological component, Exogenous, Exogenous incidence, Female agent, Female agents, Friendship links, Health status, Heterosexual community, Individual agents, Last stage, Likoma island, Limpopo province, Male agents, Maximum number, Migrant agents, Model parameters, Modelling, Network characteristics, Next steps, Norling, Other stds, Previous section, Sekhukhune district, Several studies, Sexual activities, Sexual interaction, Sexual intercourse, Sexual network, Sexual networks, Sexual partner, Sexual partners, Sexual partnerships, Sexual transmission, Simulation, Simulation proceeds, Social network, Social networks, Social norms, Socioeconomic stressors, Time step, Time steps, Transmission probabilities, Transmission probability, Transmission rates, Vertical transmission.
- Teeft :
- African village, Alam, Anecdotal evidence, Aspiration level, Average percentage, Better understanding, Case study area, Coital, Concurrent partners, Condom usage, Constant transmission rate, Courtship, Courtship duration, Courtship offer, Different probabilities, Different settings, Different stages, Different transmission rates, Epidemiological component, Exogenous, Exogenous incidence, Female agent, Female agents, Friendship links, Health status, Heterosexual community, Individual agents, Last stage, Likoma island, Limpopo province, Male agents, Maximum number, Migrant agents, Model parameters, Modelling, Network characteristics, Next steps, Norling, Other stds, Previous section, Sekhukhune district, Several studies, Sexual activities, Sexual interaction, Sexual intercourse, Sexual network, Sexual networks, Sexual partner, Sexual partners, Sexual partnerships, Sexual transmission, Simulation, Simulation proceeds, Social network, Social networks, Social norms, Socioeconomic stressors, Time step, Time steps, Transmission probabilities, Transmission probability, Transmission rates, Vertical transmission.
Abstract
Abstract: This paper describes an agent-based simulation model of the spread of HIV/AIDS in the Sub-Saharan region. The model is part of our studying social complexity in the Sekhukhune district of the Limpopo province in South Africa. The model presents a coherent framework and identifies the essential factors agent-based modellers need to take into account when modelling HIV spread. The necessary empirical data are drawn from the villagers’ accounts during our fieldtrip to the case study region and reports from the available epidemiological and demographic literature. The results presented here demonstrate how agent-based simulation can aid in a better understanding of this complex interplay of various factors responsible for the spread of the epidemic. Although the model is specific to the case study area, the general framework described in this paper can easily be extended and adapted for other regions.
Url:
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-01991-3_3
Links to Exploration step
ISTEX:4046D8BF7E56A18E48A02E3564ED981D3DE05566Le document en format XML
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The model is part of our studying social complexity in the Sekhukhune district of the Limpopo province in South Africa. The model presents a coherent framework and identifies the essential factors agent-based modellers need to take into account when modelling HIV spread. The necessary empirical data are drawn from the villagers’ accounts during our fieldtrip to the case study region and reports from the available epidemiological and demographic literature. The results presented here demonstrate how agent-based simulation can aid in a better understanding of this complex interplay of various factors responsible for the spread of the epidemic. 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Prof. Luciano Gualberto, tv.3, 158, 05508-970, São Paulo, Brazil</affiliation></editor><imprint><publisher>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><pubPlace>Berlin, Heidelberg</pubPlace><date type="published" when="2009"></date><biblScope unit="volume">5269</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" from="33">33</biblScope><biblScope unit="page" to="45">45</biblScope></imprint></monogr><series><title level="s">Lecture Notes in Computer Science</title><editor xml:id="serie-author-0000"><persName><forename type="first">David</forename><surname>Hutchison</surname></persName><affiliation>Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0001"><persName><forename type="first">Takeo</forename><surname>Kanade</surname></persName><affiliation>Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0002"><persName><forename type="first">Josef</forename><surname>Kittler</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Surrey, 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type="first">Oscar</forename><surname>Nierstrasz</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0008"><persName><forename type="first">C.</forename><surname>Pandu Rangan</surname></persName><affiliation>Indian Institute of Technology, Madras, India</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0009"><persName><forename type="first">Bernhard</forename><surname>Steffen</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Dortmund, Dortmund, Germany</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0010"><persName><forename type="first">Madhu</forename><surname>Sudan</surname></persName><affiliation>Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MA, USA</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0011"><persName><forename type="first">Demetri</forename><surname>Terzopoulos</surname></persName><affiliation>University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA</affiliation></editor><editor 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type="first">David</forename><surname>Hutchison</surname></persName><affiliation>Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0001"><persName><forename type="first">Takeo</forename><surname>Kanade</surname></persName><affiliation>Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0002"><persName><forename type="first">Josef</forename><surname>Kittler</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Surrey, Guildford, UK</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0003"><persName><forename type="first">Jon</forename><forename type="first">M.</forename><surname>Kleinberg</surname></persName><affiliation>Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0004"><persName><forename type="first">Friedemann</forename><surname>Mattern</surname></persName><affiliation>ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland</affiliation></editor><editor 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type="first">Gerhard</forename><surname>Weikum</surname></persName><affiliation>Max-Planck Institute of Computer Science, Saarbrücken, Germany</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0015"><persName><forename type="first">Randy</forename><surname>Goebel</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0016"><persName><forename type="first">Jörg</forename><surname>Siekmann</surname></persName><affiliation>University of Saarland, Saarbrücken, Germany</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0017"><persName><forename type="first">Wolfgang</forename><surname>Wahlster</surname></persName><affiliation>DFKI and University of Saarland, Saarbrücken, Germany</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0018"><persName><forename type="first">Nuno</forename><surname>David</surname></persName><email>Nuno.David@iscte.pt</email><affiliation>ISCTE - Lisbon University Institute, Av. das Forças Armadas, 1649-026, Lisboa, Portugal</affiliation></editor><editor xml:id="serie-author-0019"><persName><forename type="first">Jaime</forename><forename type="first">Simão</forename><surname>Sichman</surname></persName><email>jaime.sichman@poli.usp.br</email><affiliation>Computer Engineering Department, University of São Paulo, Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, tv.3, 158, 05508-970, São Paulo, Brazil</affiliation></editor><idno type="pISSN">0302-9743</idno><idno type="eISSN">1611-3349</idno><biblScope unit="seriesId">1244</biblScope></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><creation><date>2009</date></creation><langUsage><language ident="en">en</language></langUsage><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Abstract: This paper describes an agent-based simulation model of the spread of HIV/AIDS in the Sub-Saharan region. The model is part of our studying social complexity in the Sekhukhune district of the Limpopo province in South Africa. The model presents a coherent framework and identifies the essential factors agent-based modellers need to take into account when modelling HIV spread. The necessary empirical data are drawn from the villagers’ accounts during our fieldtrip to the case study region and reports from the available epidemiological and demographic literature. The results presented here demonstrate how agent-based simulation can aid in a better understanding of this complex interplay of various factors responsible for the spread of the epidemic. Although the model is specific to the case study area, the general framework described in this paper can easily be extended and adapted for other regions.</p></abstract><textClass><keywords scheme="Book-Subject-Collection"><list><label>SUCO11645</label><item><term>Computer Science</term></item></list></keywords></textClass><textClass><keywords scheme="Book-Subject-Group"><list><label>I</label><label>I21017</label><label>I21025</label><label>I13022</label><label>I23028</label><label>I18040</label><label>X00000</label><item><term>Computer Science</term></item><item><term>Artificial Intelligence (incl. 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Language="En" MediaType="eBook" NumberingDepth="2" NumberingStyle="ContentOnly" OutputMedium="All" TocLevels="0"><BookID>978-3-642-01991-3</BookID><BookTitle>Multi-Agent-Based Simulation IX</BookTitle><BookSubTitle>International Workshop, MABS 2008, Estoril, Portugal, May 12-13, 2008, Revised Selected Papers</BookSubTitle><BookVolumeNumber>5269</BookVolumeNumber><BookSequenceNumber>5269</BookSequenceNumber><BookDOI>10.1007/978-3-642-01991-3</BookDOI><BookTitleID>188347</BookTitleID><BookPrintISBN>978-3-642-01990-6</BookPrintISBN><BookElectronicISBN>978-3-642-01991-3</BookElectronicISBN><BookChapterCount>15</BookChapterCount><BookCopyright><CopyrightHolderName>Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg</CopyrightHolderName><CopyrightYear>2009</CopyrightYear></BookCopyright><BookSubjectGroup><BookSubject Code="I" Type="Primary">Computer Science</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="I21017" Priority="1" Type="Secondary">Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics)</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="I21025" Priority="2" Type="Secondary">Simulation and Modeling</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="I13022" Priority="3" Type="Secondary">Computer Communication Networks</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="I23028" Priority="4" Type="Secondary">Computer Appl. in Social and Behavioral Sciences</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="I18040" Priority="5" Type="Secondary">Information Systems Applications (incl.Internet)</BookSubject><BookSubject Code="X00000" Priority="6" Type="Secondary">Social Sciences, general</BookSubject><SubjectCollection Code="SUCO11645">Computer Science</SubjectCollection></BookSubjectGroup><BookContext><SeriesID>558</SeriesID><SubSeriesID>1244</SubSeriesID></BookContext></BookInfo><BookHeader><EditorGroup><Editor AffiliationIDS="Aff19"><EditorName DisplayOrder="Western"><GivenName>Nuno</GivenName><FamilyName>David</FamilyName></EditorName><Contact><Email>Nuno.David@iscte.pt</Email></Contact></Editor><Editor AffiliationIDS="Aff20"><EditorName DisplayOrder="Western"><GivenName>Jaime</GivenName><GivenName>Simão</GivenName><FamilyName>Sichman</FamilyName></EditorName><Contact><Email>jaime.sichman@poli.usp.br</Email></Contact></Editor><Affiliation ID="Aff19"><OrgName>ISCTE - Lisbon University Institute</OrgName><OrgAddress><Street>Av. das Forças Armadas</Street><Postcode>1649-026</Postcode><City>Lisboa</City><Country>Portugal</Country></OrgAddress></Affiliation><Affiliation ID="Aff20"><OrgDivision>Computer Engineering Department</OrgDivision><OrgName>University of São Paulo</OrgName><OrgAddress><Street>Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, tv.3, 158</Street><Postcode>05508-970</Postcode><State>São Paulo</State><Country>Brazil</Country></OrgAddress></Affiliation></EditorGroup></BookHeader><Part ID="Part2"><PartInfo TocLevels="0"><PartID>2</PartID><PartSequenceNumber>2</PartSequenceNumber><PartTitle>Modelling and Simulation of Social Behaviour</PartTitle><PartChapterCount>3</PartChapterCount><PartContext><SeriesID>558</SeriesID><BookTitle>Multi-Agent-Based Simulation IX</BookTitle></PartContext></PartInfo><Chapter ID="Chap3" Language="En"><ChapterInfo ChapterType="OriginalPaper" ContainsESM="No" NumberingDepth="2" NumberingStyle="ContentOnly" TocLevels="0"><ChapterID>3</ChapterID><ChapterDOI>10.1007/978-3-642-01991-3_3</ChapterDOI><ChapterSequenceNumber>3</ChapterSequenceNumber><ChapterTitle Language="En">A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village</ChapterTitle><ChapterFirstPage>33</ChapterFirstPage><ChapterLastPage>45</ChapterLastPage><ChapterCopyright><CopyrightHolderName>Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg</CopyrightHolderName><CopyrightYear>2009</CopyrightYear></ChapterCopyright><ChapterGrants Type="Regular"><MetadataGrant Grant="OpenAccess"></MetadataGrant><AbstractGrant Grant="OpenAccess"></AbstractGrant><BodyPDFGrant Grant="Restricted"></BodyPDFGrant><BodyHTMLGrant Grant="Restricted"></BodyHTMLGrant><BibliographyGrant Grant="Restricted"></BibliographyGrant><ESMGrant Grant="Restricted"></ESMGrant></ChapterGrants><ChapterContext><SeriesID>558</SeriesID><PartID>2</PartID><BookID>978-3-642-01991-3</BookID><BookTitle>Multi-Agent-Based Simulation IX</BookTitle></ChapterContext></ChapterInfo><ChapterHeader><AuthorGroup><Author AffiliationIDS="Aff21"><AuthorName DisplayOrder="Western"><GivenName>Shah</GivenName><GivenName>Jamal</GivenName><FamilyName>Alam</FamilyName></AuthorName><Contact><Email>shah@cfpm.org</Email></Contact></Author><Author AffiliationIDS="Aff21"><AuthorName DisplayOrder="Western"><GivenName>Ruth</GivenName><FamilyName>Meyer</FamilyName></AuthorName><Contact><Email>ruth@cfpm.org</Email></Contact></Author><Author AffiliationIDS="Aff21"><AuthorName DisplayOrder="Western"><GivenName>Emma</GivenName><FamilyName>Norling</FamilyName></AuthorName><Contact><Email>emma@cfpm.org</Email></Contact></Author><Affiliation ID="Aff21"><OrgDivision>Centre for Policy Modelling</OrgDivision><OrgName>Manchester Metropolitan University Business School</OrgName><OrgAddress><Postcode>M13GH</Postcode><City>Manchester</City><Country>U.K.</Country></OrgAddress></Affiliation></AuthorGroup><Abstract ID="Abs1" Language="En"><Heading>Abstract</Heading><Para>This paper describes an agent-based simulation model of the spread of HIV/AIDS in the Sub-Saharan region. The model is part of our studying social complexity in the Sekhukhune district of the Limpopo province in South Africa. The model presents a coherent framework and identifies the essential factors agent-based modellers need to take into account when modelling HIV spread. The necessary empirical data are drawn from the villagers’ accounts during our fieldtrip to the case study region and reports from the available epidemiological and demographic literature. The results presented here demonstrate how agent-based simulation can aid in a better understanding of this complex interplay of various factors responsible for the spread of the epidemic. Although the model is specific to the case study area, the general framework described in this paper can easily be extended and adapted for other regions.</Para></Abstract><KeywordGroup Language="En"><Heading>Keywords</Heading><Keyword>HIV/AIDS</Keyword><Keyword>evidence-driven modelling</Keyword><Keyword>sexual networks</Keyword></KeywordGroup></ChapterHeader><NoBody></NoBody></Chapter></Part></Book></Series></Publisher></istex:document></istex:metadataXml><mods version="3.6"><titleInfo lang="en"><title>A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village</title></titleInfo><titleInfo type="alternative" contentType="CDATA" lang="en"><title>A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Shah</namePart><namePart type="given">Jamal</namePart><namePart type="family">Alam</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, M13GH, Manchester, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: shah@cfpm.org</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Ruth</namePart><namePart type="family">Meyer</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, M13GH, Manchester, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: ruth@cfpm.org</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Emma</namePart><namePart type="family">Norling</namePart><affiliation>Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, M13GH, Manchester, U.K.</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: emma@cfpm.org</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm></role></name><typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource><genre displayLabel="OriginalPaper" authority="ISTEX" authorityURI="https://content-type.data.istex.fr" type="conference" valueURI="https://content-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/XTP-BFHXPBJJ-3">conference</genre><originInfo><publisher>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><place><placeTerm type="text">Berlin, Heidelberg</placeTerm></place><dateIssued encoding="w3cdtf">2009</dateIssued><dateIssued encoding="w3cdtf">2009</dateIssued><copyrightDate encoding="w3cdtf">2009</copyrightDate></originInfo><language><languageTerm type="code" authority="rfc3066">en</languageTerm><languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm></language><abstract lang="en">Abstract: This paper describes an agent-based simulation model of the spread of HIV/AIDS in the Sub-Saharan region. The model is part of our studying social complexity in the Sekhukhune district of the Limpopo province in South Africa. The model presents a coherent framework and identifies the essential factors agent-based modellers need to take into account when modelling HIV spread. The necessary empirical data are drawn from the villagers’ accounts during our fieldtrip to the case study region and reports from the available epidemiological and demographic literature. The results presented here demonstrate how agent-based simulation can aid in a better understanding of this complex interplay of various factors responsible for the spread of the epidemic. Although the model is specific to the case study area, the general framework described in this paper can easily be extended and adapted for other regions.</abstract><relatedItem type="host"><titleInfo><title>Multi-Agent-Based Simulation IX</title><subTitle>International Workshop, MABS 2008, Estoril, Portugal, May 12-13, 2008, Revised Selected Papers</subTitle></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Nuno</namePart><namePart type="family">David</namePart><affiliation>ISCTE - Lisbon University Institute, Av. das Forças Armadas, 1649-026, Lisboa, Portugal</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: Nuno.David@iscte.pt</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Jaime</namePart><namePart type="given">Simão</namePart><namePart type="family">Sichman</namePart><affiliation>Computer Engineering Department, University of São Paulo, Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, tv.3, 158, 05508-970, São Paulo, Brazil</affiliation><affiliation>E-mail: jaime.sichman@poli.usp.br</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><genre type="book-series" displayLabel="Proceedings" authority="ISTEX" authorityURI="https://publication-type.data.istex.fr" valueURI="https://publication-type.data.istex.fr/ark:/67375/JMC-0G6R5W5T-Z">book-series</genre><originInfo><publisher>Springer</publisher><copyrightDate encoding="w3cdtf">2009</copyrightDate><issuance>monographic</issuance></originInfo><subject><genre>Book-Subject-Collection</genre><topic authority="SpringerSubjectCodes" authorityURI="SUCO11645">Computer Science</topic></subject><subject><genre>Book-Subject-Group</genre><topic authority="SpringerSubjectCodes" authorityURI="I">Computer Science</topic><topic authority="SpringerSubjectCodes" authorityURI="I21017">Artificial Intelligence (incl. 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type="BookVolumeNumber">5269</identifier><identifier type="BookSequenceNumber">5269</identifier><identifier type="PartChapterCount">3</identifier><part><date>2009</date><detail type="part"><title>Modelling and Simulation of Social Behaviour</title></detail><detail type="volume"><number>5269</number><caption>vol.</caption></detail><extent unit="pages"><start>33</start><end>45</end></extent></part><recordInfo><recordOrigin>Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2009</recordOrigin></recordInfo></relatedItem><relatedItem type="series"><titleInfo><title>Lecture Notes in Computer Science</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">David</namePart><namePart type="family">Hutchison</namePart><affiliation>Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Takeo</namePart><namePart type="family">Kanade</namePart><affiliation>Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Josef</namePart><namePart type="family">Kittler</namePart><affiliation>University of Surrey, Guildford, UK</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Jon</namePart><namePart type="given">M.</namePart><namePart type="family">Kleinberg</namePart><affiliation>Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Friedemann</namePart><namePart type="family">Mattern</namePart><affiliation>ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">John</namePart><namePart type="given">C.</namePart><namePart type="family">Mitchell</namePart><affiliation>Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 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type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Madhu</namePart><namePart type="family">Sudan</namePart><affiliation>Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MA, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Demetri</namePart><namePart type="family">Terzopoulos</namePart><affiliation>University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Doug</namePart><namePart type="family">Tygar</namePart><affiliation>University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Moshe</namePart><namePart type="given">Y.</namePart><namePart type="family">Vardi</namePart><affiliation>Rice University, Houston, TX, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Gerhard</namePart><namePart type="family">Weikum</namePart><affiliation>Max-Planck Institute of Computer Science, Saarbrücken, Germany</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><originInfo><publisher>Springer</publisher><copyrightDate encoding="w3cdtf">2009</copyrightDate><issuance>serial</issuance></originInfo><relatedItem type="constituent"><titleInfo><title>Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence</title></titleInfo><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">David</namePart><namePart type="family">Hutchison</namePart><affiliation>Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK</affiliation><role><roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm></role></name><name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Takeo</namePart><namePart type="family">Kanade</namePart><affiliation>Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA</affiliation><role><roleTerm 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